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Futures Rise To 4,700 “Max Gamma” As Oil Slide Accelerates

Futures Rise To 4,700 "Max Gamma" As Oil Slide Accelerates

U.S. index futures rose again, trading on top of the massive 4700 "max gamma" level…

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This article was originally published by Zero Hedge

Futures Rise To 4,700 “Max Gamma” As Oil Slide Accelerates

U.S. index futures rose again, trading on top of the massive 4700 “max gamma” level despite downbeat data out of Chinese tech names, as investors awaited the latest batch of unemployment data and taking comfort from signals that central banks will stay far behind the curve and keep pledges to overlook faster inflation rather than rush into rate hikes.

European stocks were steady and Asian equities fell as Chinese tech stocks tumbled after poor results from Baidu and Bilibili. Treasury yields edged higher, the dollar was little changed and gold declined. Bitcoin retreated for a fifth straight day. Oil prices skidded to a six-week low on concern about a supply overhang and the prospect of China, Japan and the United States dipping in to their fuel reserves, with Brent futures last at $79.77, more than 8% off last month’s three-year high. Nasdaq futures rose 86.25 points or 0.53% outperforming S&P 500 futs which were up 11.50 points or 0.25% to 4697.75, after chip giant Nvidia jumped 7% after a sales forecast by the world’s largest chipmaker.

Elsewhere in premarket trading, Cisco dropped 6.6% after the computer networking equipment group’s growth and earnings forecast fell short of expectations while Alibaba slid after reporting sales that missed analyst estimates for a second straight quarter. Some other notable premarket movers:

  • EV makers are mixed in U.S. premarket trading, with Rivian Automotive (RIVN US), Lucid (LCID US) and Canoo (GOEV US) all declining and newly-listed Sono (SEV US) extending its bounce
  • Nvidia (NVDA US) shares gain 7% in U.S. premarket trading, with analysts saying the chipmaker delivered a strong enough quarter to justify its punchy valuation
  • Amtech (ASYS US) fell 22% in post-market trading after reporting fourth quarter revenue that missed estimates from two analysts. The semiconductor stock has risen 139% this year through Wednesday’s trading.
  • Kraft Heinz (KHC US) fell 1.6% in postmarket trading on Wednesday after announcing one of its top holders was selling a portion of its stake.
  • Victoria’s Secret (VSCO US) shares gain 13% in U.S. premarket trading as analysts highlight “better-than- feared” 3Q results for the lingerie retailer.
  • JD.com (JD US) shares advanced 2.2% premarket after it reported net revenue for the third quarter that beat the average analyst estimate.

“While companies are managing to report solid third-quarter numbers, the ability to do so is being tempered by concerns about slimmer margins,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets in London. “One positive thing, aside from the concern over rising inflation, has been the resilience of labor markets, on both sides of the Atlantic.”

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index was little changed with most cash indexes giving back early gains or losses to trade flat as travel and consumer companies gained while the energy and minings industries retreated. FTSE 100 underperformed slightly. Oil & gas was the weakest sector followed by mining stocks. European metals and mining stocks fall 0.8%, the second worst performing sub-index on the benchmark Stoxx 600, amid sinking iron ore futures and copper prices. Iron ore retreated as investors weighed a top producer’s forecasts of a balanced market next year and the impact on miners amid a price collapse in recent months. Diversified miners drop, Glencore -0.8%, Anglo American -1%, BHP -0.7%, Rio Tinto -1.1%; the four stocks account for more than 60% of the SXPP.

Earlier in the session, Asian stocks fell, on track for a second day of losses, as Baidu helped lead a slump in Chinese technology giants.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped as much as 0.4%, extending its two-day slide to about 0.9%. The Hang Seng Tech Index lost about 3%, as search engine giant Baidu tumbled on worries over the advertising outlook and video-streaming firm Bilibili dropped after posting a larger-than-expected loss. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and China’s CSI 300 benchmark were the worst performing national benchmarks Thursday, while Taiwan’s Taiex managed a small gain. Alibaba also fell, ahead of its highly awaited earnings report later today that may show the impact of Beijing’s regulatory curbs. Japan’s Nikkei was down 0.6% in early trade.

“We do seem to have stalled somewhat as we head into the year end,” said Jun Bei Liu, a portfolio manager at Tribeca Investment Partners in Sydney. “Investors perhaps are just taking a bit of pause,” she said, in the wake of a strong U.S. results season, but as inflation and China’s slowdown loom as macroeconomic headwinds.

“With a bout of earnings having been released and put behind the market, we’re in an environment where investors are inclined to take profits,” said Takashi Ito, an equity market strategist at Nomura Securities in Tokyo. “Investors are likely to cherry pick stocks that have high earnings and ROE and have strong momentum for growth.”  The region’s equities are now poised for a weekly drop after wiping out gains from earlier this week. Anxiety over global inflation has weighed on sentiment as investors search for clues on when central banks will start raising interest rates. Indonesia and the Philippines kept borrowing costs unchanged, as expected, to aid two economies that bore the brunt of Covid-19 outbreaks in Southeast Asia this year.

In rates, treasuries were slightly cheaper across long-end of the curve after S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures breached Wednesday’s highs. Yields are higher by ~1bp in 30-year sector, with 2s10s steeper by ~1bp, 5s30s by ~0.5bp; 10-year is ~1.60%, trailing bunds by ~2bp as traders push back on ECB rate-hike pricing. Focal points Thursday include several Fed speakers and a potentially historic 10-year TIPS auction at 1pm ET – at $14BN, the 10Y TIPS reopening is poised to draw a record low yield near -1.14%; breakeven inflation rate at ~2.71% is within 7bp of Monday’s YTD high. Elsewhere, Gilts outperformed richening ~2.5bps across the curve. Peripheral spreads tighten, semi-core widens marginally.

In FX, the U.S. dollar erased an earlier modest loss and was flat, with majors mostly range-bound. Treasury yields stabilized from overnight declines; the greenback traded mixed versus its Group-of-10 peers, though most were confined to tight ranges, New Zealand’s dollar led G-10 gains after two-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.96% in the fourth quarter from 2.27% in the third, according to survey of businesses published by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Support in euro- Swiss franc at 1.0500 holds for now and consolidation for risk reversals this week suggests that a breach of the key level may not see a big follow through. The pound inched up and is on its longest winning streak in nearly seven months after this week’s jobs and inflation data fueled confidence that the Bank of England will hike rates.

The Turkish lira plunged to a new all time low, with the USDTRY rising to 10.93 after the central bank cut rates by 100bps.

Currency traders are also assessing a sharp downdraft in the Aussie/yen cross, often a barometer of market sentiment. It fell through its 200-day moving average on Tuesday and has lost almost 4% in a dozen sessions .

“You’ve got the perfect storm there for bears,” said Matt Simpson, senior analyst at brokerage City Index. “Fundamentally and technically Aussie/yen looks pretty good with lower oil prices.”

In commodities, crude futures remained in the red but bounce off worst levels as the potential for SPR releases remains center stage. WTI finds support near $77, recovering toward $78; Brent regains a $80-handle. Spot gold gives back Asia’s small gains, dropping ~$7 to trade near $1,860/oz. Base metals trade poorly, LME zinc and lead underperform.

Looking at the day ahead now, and data releases from the US include the weekly initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed’s business outlook for November, the Kansas City Fed’s manufacturing index for November, and the Conference Board’s leading index for October. Central bank speakers include PBoC Governor Yi Gang, the ECB’s Centeno, Panetta and Lane, and the Fed’s Bostic, Williams, Evans and Daly. There’ll also be a number of decisions from EM central banks, including Bank Indonesia, the Central Bank of Turkey and the South African Reserve Bank. Finally, earnings releases include Intuit, Applied Materials and TJX.

Market Snapshot

  • S&P 500 futures up 0.4% to 4,703.25
  • STOXX Europe 600 up 0.1% to 490.50
  • MXAP down 0.3% to 199.31
  • MXAPJ down 0.6% to 650.79
  • Nikkei down 0.3% to 29,598.66
  • Topix down 0.1% to 2,035.52
  • Hang Seng Index down 1.3% to 25,319.72
  • Shanghai Composite down 0.5% to 3,520.71
  • Sensex down 0.4% to 59,755.91
  • Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 0.1% to 7,379.20
  • Kospi down 0.5% to 2,947.38
  • Brent Futures down 0.1% to $80.18/bbl
  • Gold spot down 0.2% to $1,863.45
  • U.S. Dollar Index little changed at 95.75
  • German 10Y yield little changed at -0.26%
  • Euro little changed at $1.1327

Top Overnight News from Bloomberg

  • More Wall Street banks are wagering that the Federal Reserve will hike rates at a faster-than-expected pace, with Citigroup Inc. joining Morgan Stanley in backing trades that will profit if the central bank does just that
  • China is releasing some oil from its strategic reserves days after the U.S. invited it to participate in a joint sale, suggesting the world’s two biggest oil consumers are willing to work together to keep a lid on energy costs
  • European countries are increasingly forcing reluctant companies to let employees work from home in an effort to break the rapidly spreading fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic

A more in depth look at global markets courtesy of Newsqauwk

Asia-Pac stocks traded mostly negative with sentiment in the region subdued amid a lack of significant macro drivers and following the uninspired lead from the US – where the major indices finished a choppy session in the red and the DJIA gave up the 36k status. Nonetheless, the ASX 200 (+0.1%) remained afloat with notable strength in gold miners, as well as some consumer stocks, although advances in the index were limited by losses in the financial and energy sectors after similar underperformance stateside amid a decline in yields and oil prices. The Nikkei 225 (-0.3%) was initially dragged lower by unfavourable currency inflows which overshadowed reports that Japan wants to enhance tax breaks for corporations that raise wages, while shares in Eisai were hit after EU regulators placed doubts regarding the approval of Co. and Biogen’s co-developed Alzheimer’s drug and SoftBank also declined after the US regulator raised concerns regarding Nvidia’s acquisition of Arm. However, the index then briefly returned flat in late trade on reports that the Japanese stimulus package is to require JPY 55.7tln of fiscal spending which is higher than the previously speculated of around JPY 40tln. The Hang Seng (-1.3%) and Shanghai Comp. (-0.5%) weakened after another liquidity drain by the PBoC and with the declines in Hong Kong exacerbated by tech selling, while the losses in the mainland were to a lesser extent with China said to be mulling additional industrial policies aimed to support growth and SGH Macro sources suggested the US and China agreed there would be some substantial progress on trade such as the removal of some punitive tariffs by the US and increased purchases of US products by China, although the report highlighted that it was unclear if this would be from a high-profile announcement or a discrete relaxing of tariffs. Finally, 10yr JGBs were initially flat as prices failed to benefit from the subdued risk appetite in Japan and rebound in global peers, while firmer metrics at the 20yr JGB bond auction provided a mild tailwind in late trade although the support was only brief and prices were then pressured on news of the potentially larger than anticipated fiscal spending in PM Kishida’s stimulus package.

Top Asian News

  • China Property Stocks Sink, $4.2 Billion Rush: Evergrande Update
  • Japan’s Kishida Eyes Record Fiscal Firepower to Boost Recovery
  • China Property Firm Shinsun’s Shares and Bonds Slump
  • JD.com Sales Beat Estimates as Investments Start to Pay Off

Major bourses in Europe are choppy, although sentiment picked up following a subdued APAC session but despite a distinct lack of fresh catalysts. US equity futures have also been grinding higher in early European hours, with the NQ (+0.6%) outpacing the ES (+0.3%), RTY (+0.2%) and YM (+0.2%). Back to European cash – broad-based gains are seen across the Euro bourses – which lifted the CAC, DAX and SMI to notch record intraday highs, whilst upside in the UK’s FTSE 100 (-0.2%) has been hampered by hefty losses in today’s lagging sectors– the Energy and Basic Resources – amid price action in the respective markets. Tech names also see a strong performance thus far as chip names cheer NVIDIA (+6% pre-market) earnings yesterday. Overall, sectors have maintained a similarly mixed picture vs the cash open, with no overarching theme. In terms of individual movers, Swatch (+2.8%) and Richemont (+0.6) piggyback on the increase in Swiss Watch Exports vs 2020 and 2019. Metro Bank (-20%) plumbed the depths after terminating takeover talks with Carlyle.

Top European News

  • Royal Mail Hands Investors $540 Million Amid Parcel Surge
  • German Coalition Plans Stricter Rent Increase Regulation: Bild
  • HSBC Sees ECB Sticking With Easy Stance Despite Record Inflation
  • Astra Covid Antibody Data Shows Long-Lasting Protection

In FX, the Kiwi has extended its recovery on heightened RBNZ tightening expectations prompted by significant increases in Q4 inflation projections, with some pundits now assigning a greater probability to the OCR rising 50 bp compared to the 25 bp more generally forecast and factored in. Nzd/Usd is eyeing 0.7050 and the 50 DMA just above (at 0.7054 today) having breached the 100 DMA (0.7026), while the Aud/Nzd cross is probing further below 1.0350 even though the Aussie has found some support into 0.7250 against its US rival and will be encouraged by news that COVID-19 restrictions in the state of Victoria are on the verge of being completely lifted.

  • GBP/EUR/DXY – Notwithstanding Kiwi outperformance, the Dollar has lost a bit more of its bullish momentum to the benefit of most rivals, and several of those that compose the basket. Indeed, Cable has popped above 1.3500, while the Euro is looking more comfortable on the 1.1300 handle as the index retreats further from Wednesday’s new y-t-d peak and away from the psychological 96.000 level into a 95.840-642 range. Ahead, IJC and Philly Fed are due amidst another decent slate of Fed speakers, while Eur/Usd will also be eyeing the latest ECB orators for some direction and Eur/Gbp is back around 0.8400 where decent option expiry interest resides (1.1 bn), but perhaps more focused on latest talks between the UK and EU on the NI dispute.
  • CHF/CAD/JPY – The Franc has pared more declines vs the Buck from sub-0.9300 and remains firm against the Euro near 1.0500 in wake of Swiss trade data showing a wider surplus and pick-up in key watch exports, but the Loonie looks a bit hampered by a more pronounced fall in the price of oil as the US calls on other countries for a concerted SPR tap and China is said to be working on the release of some crude stocks. Usd/Cad is tethered to 1.2600 and highly unlikely to threaten 1.1 bn option expiries at the 1.2500 strike in contrast to the Yen that stalled above 114.00 and could be restrained by 1.4 bn between 113.90 and the round number or 1.3 bn from 114.20-25, if not reports that Japan’s stimulus package may require Jpy 55.7 tn of fiscal spending compared to Jpy 40 tn previously speculated.

In commodities, WTI and Brent front-month futures are off worst levels but still under pressure amid the prospect of looming crude reserves releases, with reports suggesting China is gearing up for its own release. There were also prior source reports that the US was said to have asked other countries to coordinate a release of strategic oil reserves and raised the oil reserve release request with Japan and China. Furthermore, the US tapping of the SPR could be either in the form of a sale and/or loan from the reserve, and the release from the reserve needs to be more than 20mln-30mln bbls to get the message to OPEC, while a source added that the US asked India, South Korea and large oil-consuming countries, but not European countries, to consider oil reserve releases after pleas to OPEC failed. This concoction of headlines guided Brent and WTI futures under USD 80/bbl and USD 78/bbl respectively with early selling also experienced as European players entered the fray. On the geopolitical front, US National security adviser Jake Sullivan raised with his Israeli counterpart the idea of an interim agreement with Iran to buy more time for nuclear negotiations, according to sources. However, two American sources familiar with the call said the officials were just “brainstorming” and that Sullivan passed along an idea put forward by a European ally. Next, participants should continue to expect jawboning from the larger economies that advocated OPEC+ to release more oil. OPEC+ is unlikely to react to prices ahead of next month’s meeting (barring any shocks). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver have been choppy within a tight range. Spot gold trades under USD 1,875/oz – with technicians flagging a Fib around USD 1,876/oz. Spot silver trades on either side of USD 25/oz. Base metals are on a softer footing amid the broader performance across industrial commodities – LME copper remains subdued under the USD 9,500/t level, whilst some reports suggest companies are attempting to arbitrage the copper spread between Shanghai and London.

US Event Calendar

  • 8:30am: Nov. Initial Jobless Claims, est. 260,000, prior 267,000; Continuing Claims, est. 2.12m, prior 2.16m
  • 8:30am: Nov. Philadelphia Fed Business Outl, est. 24.0, prior 23.8
  • 9:45am: Nov. Langer Consumer Comfort, prior 50.3, revised 50.3
  • 10am: Oct. Leading Index, est. 0.8%, prior 0.2%
  • 11am: Nov. Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity, est. 28, prior 31

Central banks

  • 8am: Fed’s Bostic Discusses Regional Outlook
  • 9:30am: Fed’s Williams speaks on Transatlantic responses to pandemic
  • 2pm: Fed’s Evans Takes Part in Moderated Q&A
  • 3:30pm: Fed’s Daly takes part in Fed Listens event

DB’s Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap

After 9 weeks since surgery, yesterday I got the green light to play golf again from my consultant. Yippee. However he said that he’ll likely see me in 3-5 years to do a procedure called distal femoral osteotomy where he’ll break my femur and realign the leg over the good part of the knee. Basically I have a knee that is very good on the inside half and very bad on the outer lateral side. He’s patched the bad side up but it’s unlikely to last more than a few years before the arthritis becomes too painful. This operation would be aimed at delaying knee replacement for as long as possible! Sounds painful and a bit crazy! Meanwhile I also have a painful slipped disc in my back at the moment that I’m going to have an injection for to hopefully avoid surgery after years of managing it. As you might imagine from reading my posts last week I don’t get much sympathy at home at the moment for my various ailments. In terms of operations and golf I’m turning into a very very poor man’s Tiger Woods!

Markets have been limping a bit over the last 24 hours too as the inflation realities seemed to be a bit more in focus. Those worries were given additional fuel from the UK CPI release for October, which followed the US and the Euro Area in delivering another upside surprise, just as a number of key agricultural prices continued to show significant strength. Oil was down notably though as we’ll discuss below. To add to the mix, the latest global Covid-19 wave has shown no sign of abating yet, even if some countries are better equipped for it than others.

Starting with inflation, one of the main pieces of news arrived yesterday morning, when the UK reported that CPI came in at +4.2% year-on-year in October. That was above every economist’s estimate on Bloomberg, surpassing the +3.9% consensus expectation that was also the BoE’s staff projection in their November Monetary Policy Report. That’s the fastest UK inflation since 2011, and core inflation also surprised on the upside with a +3.4% reading (vs. +3.1% expected). In response to this, our UK economist (link here) is now expecting that CPI will peak at +5.4% in April, with the 2022 annual average CPI still at +4.2%, which is more than double the BoE’s 2% target. The release was also seen as strengthening the case for a December rate hike by the BoE, and sterling was the second best performing G10 currency after being top the day before in response, strengthening +0.45% against the US dollar.

Even as inflation risks mounted however, the major equity indices demonstrated an impressive resilience, with the STOXX 600 (+0.14%) rising for the 17th time in the last 19 sessions. This is the best such streak since June this year, when the index managed to increase 18 of 20 days. We’ll see if that mark is matched today That was a better performance than the S&P 500 (-0.26%). 342 stocks were in the red today, the most in three weeks. Energy (-1.74%) and financials (-1.11%) each declined more than a percent, on lower oil prices and yields, respectively. Real estate (+0.65%) and consumer discretionary (+0.59%) led the way, driven by a +3.25% increase in Tesla. In line with the broad-based retreat, small-caps continued to put in a much weaker performance, with the Russell 2000 shedding -1.16% as it underperformed the S&P for a 4th consecutive session.

Sovereign bonds also managed to advance yesterday, with yields on 10yr Treasuries (-4.5bps) posting their biggest decline in over a week, taking them to 1.59%. Declining inflation expectations drove that move, with the 10yr breakeven down -3.2bps to 2.71%, which was its biggest decline in over two weeks. For Europe it was a different story however, with yields on 10yr bunds only down -0.3bps, just as those on 10yr OATs (+0.1bps) and BTPs (+0.5bps) both moved higher. Most of the Treasury rally was after Europe closed though.

Those moves came against the backdrop of a fairly divergent performance among commodities. On the one hand oil prices fell back, with WTI (-2.97%) closing beneath $80/bbl for only the second time in the last month as speculation continued that the US would tap its strategic reserves. On the other hand, there was no sign of any relenting in European natural gas prices, which rose a further +0.79% yesterday to bring their gains over the last 7 days to +31.57%. That follows the German regulator’s decision to temporarily suspend certification for Nord Stream 2, which has added to fears that Europe will face major supply issues over the winter. And while we’re discussing the factors fuelling inflation, there were some fresh moves higher in agricultural prices as well yesterday, with wheat futures (+1.48%) hitting an 8-year high, and coffee futures (+4.75%) climbing to their highest level in almost a decade.

Central banks will be watching these trends closely. There’s still no word on who’s going to lead the Fed over the next 4 years, but yesterday’s news was that President Biden will make his pick by Thanksgiving. For those keeping track at home, on Tuesday the guidance was within the next four days. So, while it appears momentum toward an announcement is growing, take signaling of any particular day with a grain of salt. On the topic of the Fed, our US economists released their updated Fed outlook yesterday (link here) in which they brought forward their view of the expected liftoff to July 2022, with another rate increase following in Q4 2022. And although it’s not their base case, they acknowledge that incoming data could even push the Fed to speed up their taper and raise rates before June. They don’t see the choice of the next Fed Chair as having much impact on the broad policy trajectory, since inflation next year is likely to still be at high levels that makes most officials uncomfortable, plus the annual rotation of regional Fed presidents with an FOMC vote leans more hawkish next year. So that will constrain the extent to which a new chair could shift matters in a dovish direction, even if they wanted to.

Overnight in Asia stocks are trading mostly in the red outside of a flat KOSPI (+0.01%). The Shanghai Composite (-0.13%), CSI (-0.64%), Nikkei (-0.77%) and Hang Seng (-1.35%) are being dragged down by tech after a bout of Chinese IT companies missed earnings continuing a theme of this earnings season. Elsewhere in Japan, the Nikkei reported that the new economic stimulus package could be around YEN 78.9 tn ($691 bn). Prime Minister Fumio Kishida will announce the package on Friday. Elsewhere S&P 500 (+0.08%) and DAX futures (+0.01%) both fairly flat.

The House of Representatives is slated to begin debate on the Biden social and climate spending ‘build back better’ bill. Word from Congress suggested it could be tabled for a vote as soon as today, though the House has been as profligate missing self-imposed deadlines to vote on the bill as President Biden has been with the announcement of Fed Chair. In addition to the Build Back Better package, there’ll still be plenty of action in Congress over the next month, with another government shutdown looming on December 3, and then a debt ceiling deadline estimated on December 15. The House Budget Chair echoed Treasury Secretary Yellen’s exhortation, and urged Congress to raise the debt ceiling to avoid a government default. Treasury bills are pricing increasing debt ceiling uncertainty during December; yields on bills maturing from mid- to late-December are around double the yields of bills maturing in November and January.

Turning to the pandemic, cases have continued to rise at the global level over recent days, as alarm grows in a number of countries about the potential extent of the winter wave. In Germany, Chancellor Merkel and Vice Chancellor Scholz are taking part in a video conference with state leaders today on the pandemic amidst a major surge in cases. And Sweden’s government said that they planned to bring in a requirement for vaccine passports at indoor events with more than 100 people. In better news however, the UK’s 7-day average of reported cases moved lower for the first time in a week yesterday. Moderna also joined Pfizer in seeking emergency use authorization from the FDA for booster jabs of its Covid vaccines for all adults.

Looking at yesterday’s other data, US housing starts fell in October to an annualised rate of 1.520m (vs. 1.579m expected), whilst the previous months’ reading was also revised lower. Building permits rose by more than expected however, up to an annualised rate of 1.650m (vs. 1.630m expected). Finally, Canada’s CPI inflation reading rose to +4.7% in October as expected, marking the largest annual rise since February 2003.

To the day ahead now, and data releases from the US include the weekly initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed’s business outlook for November, the Kansas City Fed’s manufacturing index for November, and the Conference Board’s leading index for October. Central bank speakers include PBoC Governor Yi Gang, the ECB’s Centeno, Panetta and Lane, and the Fed’s Bostic, Williams, Evans and Daly. There’ll also be a number of decisions from EM central banks, including Bank Indonesia, the Central Bank of Turkey and the South African Reserve Bank. Finally, earnings releases include Intuit, Applied Materials and TJX.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 11/18/2021 – 08:05







Author: Tyler Durden

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Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at This Month

Will these mining stocks make your watchlist? When discussing mining penny stocks,…
The post Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at…

Will these mining stocks make your watchlist?

When discussing mining penny stocks, it is difficult not to highlight how well they have performed over the last year and a half. It all started with the pandemic, which pushed precious commodities like gold and silver to new highs. As a result, more types of mining equities began to perform better. There are far more of these assets than many investors think.

Many people think of gold and silver stocks when they think about mining assets. In reality, there are numerous different types of mining stocks. Companies in this category include those that look for copper, steel, uranium, lithium, lead, and other minerals. Bitcoin mining stocks, for example, can be considered for this type of asset.

What should you look for when investing in mining penny stocks, you may be wondering? There are a few critical actions that may be taken to ensure that the moment is perfect to invest in a company. The first and most obvious step is to read the news from across the world. Consider how the pandemic affected and continues to affect the mining industry. Sector news is also critical; for example, shortages and growing demand are useful pieces of information to have. Let’s look at three mining stocks performing well in December 2021.

Top Mining Stocks To Watch

Denison Mines Corp. (NYSE: DNN)

Denison Mines Corp. is a mining penny stock that just gained 2% on December 2nd. This is a mining business that is engaged in uranium development. The development business owns a 95 percent share in the Wheeler uranium project, which is located in the Athabasca Basin of northern Saskatchewan. This is a mining stock that has previously gotten a lot of attention on this site due to its consistent upward market momentum.

The corporation announced the adoption of an Indigenous Peoples Policy, or IPP, on December 2nd. The Board of Directors endorsed this, which indicates the company’s acknowledgment of the critical role of Canadian business in reconciling with Indigenous peoples in the country. This is consistent with Denison’s pledge to take action to advance reconciliation. This was critical for the corporation because it operates in several areas across Canada that are on Indigenous peoples’ traditional territory.

President and CEO of Denison, David Cates said, “I believe Industry has an important role to play in acknowledging, and building awareness of, the history of Indigenous people in Canada and the critical importance of pursuing the objectives of reconciliation. As such, the adoption of an Indigenous Peoples Policy is a notable step in our Company’s journey to bring reconciliation to the forefront of what we do and how we do it.” DNN stock has increased in value during the last six months. Will DNN stock be added to your watchlist as a result of its recent advancements?

IAMGOLD Corporation (NYSE: IAG)

IAMGOLD Corporation is a gold mining company that has seen its stock price rise in the previous 30 days. This firm looks for, develops, and manages land for the sale of gold in a variety of countries. IAMGOLD is a global company with operations in North America, South America, and West Africa. These territories are home to the Westwood mine, the Boto gold project, and a slew of other ventures.

IAMGOLD released their third-quarter results for 2021 on November 3rd. The firm released its third-quarter results for 2021 on November 3rd. IAMGOLD generated $121.6 million in mine-site free cash flow, while adjusted EBTIDA was $265.7 million. During the same time period, IAMGOLD reported a total net loss of $20.1 million, or $0.04 per share. Despite certain flaws in its financial results, IAMGOLD has had several moments of strong performance this year.

CEO and President of IAMGOLD, Gordon Stothart said, “The third quarter of 2021 saw improvement in our operating performance supported by the continued strong results at Essakane. Rosebel performed in line with the revised plan. Construction activities at Côté continue to proceed well, reaching 36% project completion at quarter-end.” Is IAG on your list of mining penny stocks to watch right now?

New Gold Inc. (NYSE: NGD)

We’ve previously identified New Gold Inc. as a mining penny stock with a lot of momentum on multiple occasions. This firm develops and manages a number of mineral properties throughout North America. The Rainy River gold-silver mine, which it controls 100 percent of, is one of its most important assets. The Rainy River mine is located in the Canadian province of Ontario. In addition, the corporation owns a 100% stake in the New Afton gold-copper mine. This mine is in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

On October 13th, the company revealed its third-quarter operational results. New Gold produced a total of 105,628 gold equivalent ounces throughout this time. Rainy River and New Afton mines yielded 60,785 and 44,843 gold equivalent ounces, respectively. Due to fewer tons milled, its gold equivalent production dropped in the third quarter.

President and CEO of New Gold, Renaud Adams said, “We remain on track to deliver on our updated guidance, and we continue to make progress towards securing the Company’s future growth at both assets. Our liquidity position improved for a third consecutive quarter, and I continue to expect meaningful free cash flow generation from our operations in the near-term” Amid these new developments, will NGD be on your mining penny stock watchlist?

Top Mining Penny Stocks To Buy?

Penny stocks are infamous for being extremely volatile and unpredictable. As a result, it is suggested that you concentrate on studying and investing carefully. No one knows what will happen to mining stocks in the market as long as inflation fears persist. As we approach 2022, only time will tell what happens to mining penny stocks. For the time being, which companies will you add to your watchlist?

The post Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at This Month appeared first on Gold Stocks to Buy, Picks, News and Information | GoldStocks.com.








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7 Stocks to Buy If the Government Shuts Down in February 2022

Since Wall Street’s opening bell sounded on the day after Thanksgiving, clouds of uncertainty have hung over U.S. markets. Reports of what would soon…

Since Wall Street’s opening bell sounded on the day after Thanksgiving, clouds of uncertainty have hung over U.S. markets. Reports of what would soon be dubbed the omicron variant were quick to send shock waves across certain sectors. And since then, more news has risen from Capitol Hill that has proved unsettling for investors. Bipartisan bickering has led to increasing discussion of a government shutdown.

Fortunately, Democratic lawmakers managed to avert the shutdown just before a key Dec. 3 deadline, securing funding through February 2022. This represents only a temporary solution to a larger problem, though, leaving investors with pressing questions. What could a government shutdown mean for markets?

If you’re wondering what stocks to buy as the next funding, you’re not alone.
While we don’t know for sure what the immediate future will look like, if it does include a government shutdown, either partial or complete, it likely won’t be all bad news for investors. On the contrary, there are some industries that stand to benefit. Let’s take a look at some stocks to buy if a shutdown does occur.

  • Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG)
  • Campbell Soup (NYSE:CPB)
  • Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM)
  • Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO)
  • Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE:CL)
  • Altria Group (NUSE:MO)
  • Newmont (NYSE:NEM)

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shut Down: Procter & Gamble (PG)

Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com

As you can probably tell from the names on this list, the consumer staples sector is likely to benefit the most from a shutdown. No company produces more household items than Procter & Gamble. Its holdings are truly vast, spanning healthcare, home care, and baby and feminine care, to name just a few. And in each area, P&G has secured a significant market share.

Government shutdowns tend to induce strong feelings of uncertainty, compelling consumers to stock up on the items they don’t want to be without if things take a turn for the worst. During the shutdown of 2018, many government agency workers found themselves working without pay or with wages in furlough. They remember that feeling well and if a shutdown comes again, they don’t want to be ill-prepared.

We also know that during periods of uncertainty, nervous Americans tend to over-prepare by over-shopping. The kind of products they need are distributed by large companies, and Procter & Gamble controls many of the country’s most trusted brands.

PG stock has also been touted for its resistance to the inflationary trends that are also affecting consumer habits. If you’re looking for stocks to buy in preparation for a shutdown, there’s no better bet than this consumer staples giant.

Campbell Soup Company (CPB)

a grocery store aisle stocked with cans and cans of Campbell's SoupSource: HeinzTeh / Shutterstock.com

If Americans are going to be stocking up on essentials, they’ll be employing the same practice when it comes to food. And when it comes to stockpiling non-perishable food items, there’s no better bet than Campbell Soup.

The iconic brand is sold everywhere, from big-box markets to dollar stores, and it keeps for months upon months. Additionally, we’re heading into the coldest season and as temperatures drop, the need for warm items such as hearty soups will only mount. InvestorPlace contributor Joel Baglole named CPB as  stock to buy the next time a national event gives Americans apocalyptic anxieties. As he stated, “When people think of stockpiling food supplies, they turn to soup. It’s hearty, comforting, makes for a great lunch, and has a shelf life that can outdo most other canned goods.”

Sales are likely to increase as the company heads into a winter marked by multiple events that could easily have Americans stocking up on food items. CPB stock should definitely be high on your list of stocks to buy for a shutdown, particularly as it’s been struggling lately, creating what could become a lucrative opportunity to buy the dip if such trends continue.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) logo on sign at office campusSource: Katherine Welles / Shutterstock.com

The company commonly referred to by its initials is known as a staple of food production and distribution. With a reach that extends far beyond that, though, it’s also a leader in the global field of agricultural processing. Throughout years of fairly steady growth, the company has worked to emphasize practices that center around health and sustainability. ADM doesn’t own farms, but it partners with them by supplying innovative technologies to help spur the growth and distribution of agricultural products.

It doesn’t stop with agricultural services, though. The company’s work spans areas including oilseeds and carbohydrate solutions as well as animal nutrition ingredients. Moreover, if it involves food and will be in demand as America faces a daunting economic outlook, ADM will be helping provide it.

It’s worth noting that while many consumers will absolutely be stocking up on items like Campbell soups, their more health-conscious peers will be more focused on the food items provided by companies like Archer-Daniels-Midland. ADM was recently named to a list of consumer staple stocks to buy for reasons even more pronounced today.

Coca-Cola Company (KO)

coca-cola (KO) bottles and cans. coke is a blue-chip stocksSource: Fotazdymak / Shutterstock.com

There’s likely no brand more iconically American than Coca-Cola. Even non-soda drinkers have sampled some product owned by the massive soft drink conglomerate whose holdings are also quite vast, encompassing brands such as Dasani Waters, Honest Tea and Minute Maid Beverages.

If nervous Americans are stocking up on food, they’ll also have to stock up on beverages and there is no beverage company better-known than Coca-Cola. Not all Americans drink the soda for which the company is named, but their beverage of choice is likely made by one of the company’s subsidiaries. With this type of empire, KO is a safe investment as the country prepares for a period of uncertainty.

Even in the face of inflation, KO stock appears to be standing its ground. As it turns out, there is plenty of reason, as the stock is touted for its inflation-proof qualities. As InvestorPlace contributor Alex Sirois noted in a recent list on exactly that topic, “the general thesis is that consumer goods bear the brunt of inflation.” KO stock should definitely should not be counted out of lists of stocks to buy in the face of a government shutdown.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Colgate-Palmolive (CL)

Image of the Colgate-Palmolive logo on a buildingSource: Shutterstock

It isn’t just food and beverages that Americans will be stocking up on if the shutdown proceeds, though. You probably associate the name with products such as toothpaste, but the multi-national corporation under which Colgate operates produces and distributes toothbrushes, mouthwashes, and rinses for both adults and children. It also produces products of general hygiene needs for both humans and animals. For anyone concerned with dental wellness or just general hygiene, Colgate’s products are essential, and they will be of paramount importance in a time of economic uncertainty. If you keep it next to your bathroom sink, Colgate-Palmolive probably made it.

Earlier this year, InvestorPlace contributor Josh Enomoto named CL among recession-resistant stocks to buy for nervous investors. “A recession would have to be pretty darn awful for people to skimp out on the bare necessities,” he noted.

While we’re not facing a recession just yet, it seems a safe assumption that Colgate-Palmolive will be a company that only sees business increases as nervous Americans prepare for the worst. The last government shutdown we saw led to considerable economic instability and plenty of anxiety among consumers. This time around, Americans will want to be prepared and shopping helps the nervous feel better, particularly for the type of essentials that Colgate-Palmolive provides.

Altria Group (MO)

a sign with the Altria (MO) logoSource: Kristi Blokhin / Shutterstock.com

We’ve discussed the essentials quite a bit throughout this list, but we all know that nervous Americans won’t just be buying what’s good for them. They’ll be stocking up on things that help them feel better, such as alcohol and cigarettes. Tobacco companies stand to benefit from an economic period where stress will be high. This giant of its sector owns several of the biggest names in big tobacco including PhilipMorrisUSA. It’s also worth noting that Altria has been exploring expansions into the fast-growing cannabis market. In 2018, it made a strategic investment in Canadian cannabis producer Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) and explored further investments more recently.

As InvestorPlace contributor Chris Lau noted, “Some investors view tobacco as an unattractive investment. But people who smoke still need to buy the company’s products. Plus, Altria has a discount segment that is growing. It is careful not to gouge price-sensitive customers, especially its premium brands.”

Anyone seeking to capitalize on the increase in cigarette sales that the country could see would be well served to consider MO among shutdown stocks to buy.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Newmont (NEM)

Newmont (NEM) logo on a mobile phone screenSource: Piotr Swat/Shutterstock

While this name may seem like an odd choice for a list that primarily includes consumer staples stocks, it’s also worthwhile to consider a worst-case scenario play, examining the type of stock that stands to benefit if a shutdown is prolonged or leads to a worse economic landscape in which fears are amplified significantly.

If we start approaching that type of scenario, we’re likely to see companies with heavy ties to gold mining start to benefit as Americans seek the safest ways to store their money and protect their assets. As the country’s largest gold mining company, Newmont is worth a look if you’re seeking stocks to buy. The company’s mines can be found in the American west, but its mining reach has expanded to countries such as the Dominican Republic, Ghana and Australia.

We recently saw a rally in gold prices following the inflationary trends that came to define the late fall. While prices have fallen since then, fears are now rising for other reasons and if they continue to worsen, gold mining companies will be standing at the ready.

For anyone interested in stocks to buy for a time marked by panic and uncertainty, this could be a good time for a bullish play on gold mining.

On the date of publication, Samuel O’Brient did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

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Author: Samuel O'Brient

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BMO Resumes Coverage On MAG Silver Following US$46.0 Million Financing

On November 29, MAG Silver (TSX: MAG) closed their US$46 million offering wherein the company issued 2.69 million shares, which
The post BMO Resumes Coverage…

On November 29, MAG Silver (TSX: MAG) closed their US$46 million offering wherein the company issued 2.69 million shares, which included 15,700 shares to MAG insiders at US$17.15 per share. The company stated that they intend to use the proceeds of the offering, “to fund exploration on Juanicipio and its other projects including Deer Trail, and to fund certain sustaining capital requirements at the Juanicipio Project not included in the initial project capital estimates, and for working capital and general corporate purposes.”

MAG Silver currently has 10 analysts covering the stock with an average 12-month price target of C$28.83, or a 39% upside to the current stock price. Out of the 10 analysts, 7 have buy ratings and the other 3 have hold ratings. The street high sits at C$33.82 from Roth Capital while the lowest comes in at C$24.75.

On the 29th, BMO Capital Markets resumed their coverage on MAG Silver, reiterating their C$25 12-month price target and market perform rating. BMO says that this raise will help fund exploration and get Juanicipio across the finish line.

Additionally, it will help keep the companies cash balance strong. The company ended the third quarter with US$31.7 million. With this additional US$40 million on hand, they expect the company to make a $30 million capital contribution to their joint venture sometime in December. That will top the joint venture up to US$68 million in cash and MAG with roughly $34 million in cash, plus the cash flow from the business. They believe that MAG Silver will end out 2021 with US$44 million in cash.

BMO has updated their net asset value but believes the raise has only a modest impact since the increase in shares is roughly 3% with the overallotment, bringing the total shares outstanding to 97.8 million. This brings their NAV assumption to US$10.29 from US$10.19 prior.

Lastly, BMO says that the company is getting close to Juanicipio ramping up. The company noted that the plant is expected to come in on budget and expected to be completed by year-end.

Below you can see BMO’s full year 2022 assumptions.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and Refinitiv. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post BMO Resumes Coverage On MAG Silver Following US$46.0 Million Financing appeared first on the deep dive.


Author: Justin Young

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