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Guy on Rocks: Running the Rule over uranium, and… he’s right

Everyone seems to have a view on uranium, however Rick Rule thinks “you ain’t seen nothing yet”. I think he … Read More
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‘Guy on Rocks’ is a Stockhead series looking at the significant happenings of the resources market each week. Former geologist and experienced stockbroker Guy Le Page, director and responsible executive at Perth-based financial services provider RM Corporate Finance, shares his high conviction views on the market and his “hot stocks to watch”.

 

A volatile week on the precious metals front with gold off 2.1% closing at US$1,789/ounce on the back of a stronger US$.

PGMs took an even bigger hit with platinum down US$70 to close at US$951/ounce and palladium (figure 1), the big mover down US$295 for the week to close at US$2,070/ounce.

Figure 1: 5-year Palladium price (Source: www.kitcometals.com, 10 September 2021).

Base metals had a good week as China released stockpiles.

Copper finished at US$4.39/lb (it was up to US$4.44/lb at one stage during the week) and remains at strong contango around 3-4 cents.

Aluminium hit a 13-year high, nickel (figure 2), one of my favourite picks, hit a 7-year high and is currently trading around US$9.20/lb.

Metallurgical coal also hit US$600/tonne in China.

Figure 2: 5-year nickel price (Source: www.Kitcometals.com, 10 September 2021).

Everyone seems to have a view on uranium (figure 3) however Rick Rule thinks “you ain’t seen nothing yet”.

He is always one to have a massive swing and I think he is right.

With the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund (SRUUF) putting to bed liquidity issues, uranium hit US$40/lb on Friday.

Rule further pointed out that most uranium producers in North America can’t yet restart operations even with $40/lb.

Going back a few years I looked at local projects such as Lake Way near Wiluna in Western Australia. Toro Energy (ASX:TOE) needed circa US$70/lb to make a reasonable rate of return.

As many of the Stockhead luminaries would be aware, the market tends to overshoot so I am thinking uranium might well go straight past US$70/lb into unchartered territory (for the last 10 years at least).

My opinion is that the yellow metal is going to take us to the promised land of clean, green energy, so a move to +US$70/lb is entirely justified.

Figure 3: Uranium 5-year spot price (Source: www.://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/uranium.com, 10 September 2021).

Apparently Sprott is going to make an application to list the trust on the NYSE which will really put U in the spotlight.

Spare a thought for the iron ore sector which has gone from making outrageous profits to spectacular returns on the back of a 40% fall in iron ore, which according to Citi’s mining analyst Paul McTaggart should make for more believable earnings (figure 4) forecasts in the next few years.

McTaggart also pointed out that iron ore prices around these levels were likely to put the brakes on higher-cost producers outside of Australia and Brazil.

Citi estimate that if iron ore fell below $US100/tonne, China’s import from outside the major producing nations would fall from 200 to 120 million tonnes per annum.

China must deliver strong economic growth to keep the punters happy so putting the brakes on the property market (which accounts for 28% of Chinese GDP) and steel production longer term is not an option.

The cash costs of Rio, BHP and Fortescue are between US$15 to US$20/tonne so there is plenty of fat to withstand more iron ore price volatility.

I was dreaming of a supersized wall as the iron ore price (62% fines) hit US$237.57/tonne back in May of this year.

However, McGowan’s Wall (I believe the WA Premier has modelled himself on the Roman Emperor Hadrian; 117-138AD) between Western Australia and the east is now purportedly only going to be six metres high and made of stainless steel…

Hopefully when steel production resumes and the property market recovers from a 21% year-on-year decline we should see a corresponding increase in the iron ore price.

Given Africa’s love of coup-d’états (e.g., Guinea) the supply side looks as tight as ever. The Simandou iron ore deposit, 650km from port, now looks like a distance dream.

Figure 3: 5-year iron ore price (Source: https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/iron-ore-price 10 September 2021).

 

Company News

Fenix Resources (ASX:FEX) is looking like a hero, having entered into iron ore swap arrangements for around 600,000 tonnes from October 2021 to September 2022 at an average of approximately US$230/dmt against a current spot price of around A$178/dmt.

I believe the Chinese philosopher Ti-Ming was consulted on this trade.

Figure 4: SRK 12 month share price (Source: CMC Markets, 10 September 2021).

Strike Resources (ASX:SRK) (figure 4) also announced (ASX Announcement, 9th September 2021) it has scheduled a shipment of 15,000 tonnes to a South American buyer of low impurity 66% Apurimac Premium Lump DSO from Peru in October of this year.

The objective is to secure a longer-term offtake arrangement, should this trial shipment be successful.

The stock has had a wild ride since our recommendation at 9 cents back in November last year.

Figure 5: FFX 12 month share price (Source: CMC Markets, 10 September 2021).

Firefinch (ASX:FFX) (figure 5) recently announced (ASX Announcement, 2 September 2021) that all approvals are now in place for the Ganfeng funding package (US$194 million) that will see the 50:50 JV develop the Goulamina Lithium Project.

This positive news has seen the stock move from 15 cents in October when it was first recommended to the last trade of 67 cents.

I’ll drink to that…

Figure 6: DLC 12 month share price (Source: CMC Markets, 10 September 2021).

With uranium on a tear looks like there is serious land grab going on with the likes of former peep show merchant Delecta (ASX:DLC) (figure 6) launching into uranium exploration with the stock up 30% to close at 1.3 cents on heavy volume.

The company announced some high-grade uranium and vanadium results including 12 samples that recorded an average grade of 2,246ppm U3O8 (0.22%) with a peak value of 5,280ppm U3O8 (0.53%) at its Rex Uranium Project in the Uravan Mineral Belt of Colorado.

Early days but at a $13 million market capitalisation, I think another run on the stock is more than likely.

Just a warning, DLC  is rated R 18+ and material is restricted to adults as it contains content that is considered high in impact for viewers.

 

New Ideas

Figure 7: MHK 12 month share price (Source: CMC Markets, 10 September 2021).

Nothing like hitting nickel in a nickel boom and right on cue there’s Metal Hawk Limited, ASX:MHK) with BVNC002  intersecting 2 metres of massive sulphide nickel mineralisation from 144-146 metres downhole (figure 9) at its 100% owned Berehaven Nickel Project (figure 8), situated 20km east of Kalgoorlie.

While assays are pending, portable-XRF analysis of reverse circulation drill chips has confirmed the high-grade tenor of mineralisation which characterises a number of the nickel deposits around Kambalda.

The Commodore Nickel Project is situated 5km north of the Blair Nickel Min (past production of 1.26Mt @ 2.62% Nickel for 39,200 tonnes of nickel) -figure 8.

Three RC drill holes targeted anomalous aircore holes containing end-of-hole Ni-Cu-PGE.

Early days and you may want to watch the price settle from its 270% jump to 69 cents today, but a good start and with a market capitalisation of around $30 million there may be some good opportunities to take a position here…

Figure 8: Berehaven Nickel Project (source: MHK ASX Announcement, 10 September 2021).
Figure 9: BVNC002 samples– nickel sulphide mineralisation highlighted (source: MHK ASX Announcement, 10 September 2021).

At RM Corporate Finance, Guy Le Page is involved in a range of corporate initiatives from mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings to valuations, consulting, and corporate advisory roles.

He was head of research at Morgan Stockbroking Limited (Perth) prior to joining Tolhurst Noall as a Corporate Advisor in July 1998. Prior to entering the stockbroking industry, he spent 10 years as an exploration and mining geologist in Australia, Canada, and the United States. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the interview in this article are solely those of the interviewee and do not represent the views of Stockhead.

 

Stockhead has not provided, endorsed, or otherwise assumed responsibility for any financial product advice contained in this article.

The post Guy on Rocks: Running the Rule over uranium, and… he’s right appeared first on Stockhead.

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Aldoro Resources covering all bases with rubidium, lithium, nickel, copper, gold and more in rock chip samples

Special Report: Aldoro Resources is covering all bases across its diverse prospects in WA, posting high-grade rock chip assays for … Read More
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Aldoro Resources is covering all bases across its diverse prospects in WA, posting high-grade rock chip assays for a suite of metals including gold, copper, nickel, lithium and rubidium.

Junior explorer Aldoro (ASX:ARN), is using grassroots exploration techniques to improve the surface geochemical knowledge of its tenements across the Wyemandoo pegmatite, Narndee Igneous Complex, and Quandong Well target, collecting 20 rock chip samples.

Evidence of mineralisation across pegmatite, magmatic nickel-copper gossan and VMHS gold-copper targets was uncovered at all three targets.

Samples from the Wyemandoo pegmatite returned top grades of 0.80% rubidium and 0.81% lithium.

A high-grade rubidium-lithium lepidolite pegmatite sample from Wyemandoo. Pic: Aldoro Resources

The results are exciting after Aldoro recently identified world-class rubidium potential of its nearby Niobe project, and warrant drilling investigation.

At Narndee, top results from samples included up to 0.37% nickel, 0.15% copper, 0.09% cobalt, 27ppb palladium and 22ppb gold.

That included two samples taken from gossans within a couple of kilometres of the VC1 target, where Aldoro struck magmatic sulphides in the first drilling undertaken at Narndee in a decade.

Aldoro Resources
Gossan 2, exposed in a historical exploration pit 1000m SSW of the significant VC1 drill hole. Pic: Aldoro Resources

Meanwhile, sampling at Quandong Well returned best results of 1.93g/t gold and 0.45% copper.

BHP subsidiary Dampier Mining explored Quandong Well in the 1970s, drilling 31 holes for 1731m that are yet to be compiled and validated by Aldoro.

The old timers reported significant copper, zinc, and gold results in oxide phases close to the surface, grading into a sulphide assemblage of pyrrhotite and chalcopyrite at depth.

Next steps

The rock sampling program was an important step for Aldoro, which noted the surface geochemical dataset is inadequate over most of its tenement package.

Initial results have enabled the company to develop an industry-standard database as a launchpad to future exploration success at Wyemandoo, Narndee and Quandong Well.

Aldoro plans to complete systematic rock chip and soils sampling programs and detailed mapping over the Wyemandoo pegmatite swarm.

This will identify the most prospective zones for drill targeting and locate pegmatite strike extensions and occurrences under soil cover.

The company said field reconnaissance and field mapping will continue to locate and assess all prospective areas of the tenement package for LCT pegmatites, nickel gossans, and copper-gold gossans.

 


 

 

This article was developed in collaboration with Aldoro Resources, a Stockhead advertiser at the time of publishing.

 

This article does not constitute financial product advice. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions.

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Cannindah up 21pc on gigantic copper hit

Special Report: First assays from an ongoing drilling program at the historic Mt Cannindah copper-gold-silver project in central Queensland are … Read…

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First assays from an ongoing drilling program at the historic Mt Cannindah copper-gold-silver project in central Queensland are in – and they look very good.

The recent increase in copper prices has underlined the significant value of Cannindah Resources’ (ASX:CAE) brownfields ‘Mt Cannindah’ copper-gold-silver project, which boasts an existing JORC resource of 5.5 million tonnes @ 0.93% copper and significant exploration upside.

The company is currently undertaking a 1,450m drilling program to explore both new and existing areas.

Mt Cannindah project: location of identified resources & known targets.

 

Success has come quickly, with the top portion of hole two hitting 117m at 1.01% copper, 0.39g/t gold and 28g/t silver from 34m to 151m.

Assays are pending for the subsequent 180m interval from 150m to 330m. This bottom portion “contains visual primary copper mineralisation, many metres of which looks similar in tenor to the 34m-151m interval”, the company says.

Coming next – hole 3 (21CAEDD003) — completed for 762.2m vs the planned 250m — has also encountered significant copper, the company says. The exciting visuals of the core has driven the significant increase in meterage.

The hole was drilled to the drill rig’s capacity and ended in copper-rich sulphidic breccia.

It is now the deepest hole drilled within the Mt Cannindah mine area, the company says.

“Copper assays are awaited, [but] preliminary tests from visual estimates of chalcopyrite, and PXRF analyses of sludge samples to date, all indicate significant copper values should be returned over large sections of at least the first 500m or so of hole 21CAEDD003,” Cannindah says.

Results received to date underpin potential extension of the current 5.5Mt JORC resource, with the supergene zones offering further grade upside upon incorporation.

“Although assays are needed to confirm the significance of the discovery, CAE are highly encouraged that this strategy has been successful and a major extension to the known Cu-Au-Ag resources at Mt Cannindah mine will likely follow from the drilling of hole 21CAEDD003,” the company says.

“This goal has eluded the major mining houses that have previously explored Mt Cannindah.”

New diamond drilling is yet to occur on other targets such as Cannindah East, where the explorer is also expecting encouraging results. Cannindah East has a non JORC gold resource of 245,000t grading 2.8g/t.

The $77m market cap stock is up 383% year-to-date.

 

Cannindah Resources share price today:


This article was developed in collaboration with Fresh Equities, a Stockhead advertiser at the time of publishing.

This article does not constitute financial product advice. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions.

 

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Devil in the detail for HWK gold explorer spinoff Diablo

It is unusual for an exploration company to come along with assets as advanced as those with which Hawkstone Mining … Read More
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It is unusual for an exploration company to come along with assets as advanced as those with which Hawkstone Mining spin-off Diablo Resources plans to list.

Diablo (to be ASX:DBO) will join the ASX boards in the coming weeks with a suite of three highly prospective US-based gold and copper projects – all of which are drill ready and proximate to projects of significance in their region.

The projects were formerly on the Hawkstone books, but that company has turned its full focus to lithium in Arizona (it’s literally on the cusp of changing its name to Arizona Lithium), leaving the highly prospective suite of assets to be spun into Diablo.

“I think our shareholders understand that the Big Sandy lithium project is such a large project, with lithium in Arizona ideally located, and it’s a big potential resource,” Hawkstone MD Paul Lloyd, who will also become Diablo chairman, told Stockhead.

“When we brought these gold projects into Hawkstone they were dwarfed by Big Sandy, and therefore we don’t think they ever got the market valuation that was warranted.

“We’ve done a lot of work on the projects to get them to the point where they are drlll-ready, and we think they’ll create a lot more value for shareholders in a separate entity.”

Diablo’s assets include the Devil’s Canyon gold project on the world-famous Carlin Trend in Nevada, the Western Desert gold-copper project 50km west of the Long Canyon gold mine in Utah, and the Lone Pine historical high-grade gold project 8km east of the 3-million-ounce Beartrack mine currently being explored by TSX-listed Revival Gold in Idaho.

Diablo’s exploration projects. Pic: Supplied.

Spicy project trio

Diablo’s name suggests heat, and the early signs suggest there’s plenty in the ground at each of its exploration projects.

At Devil’s Canyon, rock samples have returned astounding assays as high as 191.5 grams per tonne gold, 524g/t silver and 16.05% copper.

Samples from Western Desert have come in at 6.9g/t gold, 1495g/t silver and 5.09% copper, while historic drilling at Lone Pine returned assays including 1.2m at 17g/t gold and 1.9m at 12.9g/t gold with mineralisation open in all directions.

Lloyd isn’t planning on wasting any time in getting Diablo’s exploration efforts going, expecting to have approvals in place for drilling on at least one of the projects around the time of listing.

“It’s more than likely we’ll be able to commence drilling at Western Desert in Utah, which is very close to Long Canyon and a project where we’ve recorded some terrific surface numbers,” he said.

“The gravity of the work we’ve already done there to date and the other technical work we’ve completed really gives us a lot of upside and there’s potential for great early-stage results from drilling.”

Diablo
Priority targets at Western Desert. A1 and A3 rated as priority. Pic: Supplied.

Located in the prolific Carlin Trend, where almost 200 million ounces of gold have been produced over the years, Devil’s Canyon is likely to be the Diablo flagship.

Lloyd said he had long aspired to working with a project in the region, and will have the chance to do so with Diablo.

“There’s been some really impressive rock chip samples come out of there already, and it sits only 20km west of Kinross Gold Corporation’s in-production Bald Mountain mine,” he said.

“Devil’s Canyon has similar geology to that deposit. We’d love to get in there and have four or five holes completed before the weather changes.

“In this area, you’re hunting for elephants, and those rock chip samples give us an indication that there’s something serious there. We’re really looking forward to drilling it.”

Diablo
Devil’s Canyon is over the border from Western Desert in Nevada. Pic: Supplied.

Minimal modern-day exploration has been carried out at Lone Pine, where 18 shallow holes were drilled in the 1990s at the King Solomon prospect.

The project includes a high-grade zone mined prior to 1907, where maiden drilling in 2020 returned significant high-grade results.

Drone magnetics are planned for Lone Pine in Q3 2021.

Diablo
The Lone Pine project in Idaho. Pic: supplied.

Experience on the ground

Floated by the same team behind the IPOs of BPM Minerals (ASX:BPM) and Pantera Minerals (ASX:PFE), there are some familiar names at management level for Diablo.

Experienced gold geologist Lyle Thorne, who was previously exploration manager for NTM Gold prior to its Dacian merger, will join as CEO, while Barnaby Egerton-Warburton and Greg Smith will serve as non-executive directors.

On the ground, the company is drawing on expertise of Harrison Land Services – a Utah based consulting firm which has proved itself to have significant knowledge of the western US.

“These projects, being in Utah, Idaho and Nevada, are all fairly close to their base at Moab,” Lloyd said.

“The team is headed up by Gavin Harrison, who has more than 20 years’ experience with rigs and staking ground, and who helped us acquire these projects to begin with. He’s invaluable.”

When it lists, Diablo will do so with 74.5 million shares on issue and a market capitalisation of $14.9 million, with $6.5 million cash on listing before costs.

“I expect we’ll look really good in the first six months because we’ll have such great newsflow,” Lloyd said.

“Any exploration success should effect the share price significantly.”

Diablo is expected to list on the ASX on October 12, 2021.

At Stockhead, we tell it like it is. While Hawkstone is a Stockhead advertiser, it did not sponsor this article.

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