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Guy on Rocks: This platinum group metals stock represents ‘value for money’

‘Guy on Rocks’ is a Stockhead series looking at the significant happenings of the resources market each week. Former geologist … Read More
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‘Guy on Rocks’ is a Stockhead series looking at the significant happenings of the resources market each week. Former geologist and experienced stockbroker Guy Le Page, director, and responsible executive at Perth-based financial services provider RM Corporate Finance, shares his high conviction views on the market and his “hot stocks to watch”.

 

Market Ructions

The copper market continues its wild ride with China copper premiums reaching seven-year highs on dwindling stocks (figure 1) and the imposition of a VAT on copper imports.

KGMKRMCopper was trading just above US$4.44/lb at the open on Tuesday.  

Figure 1: 60-day LME copper stockpiles (source: www. http://www.kitcometals.com/charts/copper_historical.html).

Copper 3-month backwardation spreads have collapsed down from a record US$0.50 to 0.70 cents however the cash premium in Shanghai is currently US$120/tonne on fears surrounding refined exports going to LME warehouses.

There is no sign of copper volatility abating particularly in the light of rampant inflation.

Figure 2: 60-day spot gold price (Source: www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html)

The slow-moving train-wreck otherwise known as the Federal Reserve continues to calm the nerves of the great unwashed with the re-appointment in February 2022 of Chairman Jerome “steady as—it-goes” Powell (who has been doing the job of two men, Laurel and Hardy) to another term.

For some reason the broader market saw this as a positive resulting in a sell off in the precious metals sector with gold retreating to US$1,785 (down over US$19/oz in trading on Tuesday) at the time of writing and off from its recent five-month highs of US$1,872/ounce last week. The US dollar hit is highest level since July 2020.

Given Powell has the US economy sailing on  an easy monetary trajectory straight into the eye of an inflation hurricane (already at 6.2% a 31 year high), I think his appointment will ultimately be good for gold.

“Now is not the time to raise rates” according to Powell, may as well wait until hyperinflation turns up and maybe he could reconsider his position?

Anyway, I shouldn’t be too harsh on him, at least he hasn’t  done a Joe Biden and ripped one off with a member of the Royal Family downwind from the blast…

It is clear that (figure 3) the broader market is not convinced that gold’s short to medium term price outlook is positive with Swap Dealer Net positions still in decline.

Figure 3: Gold EFT inflows (Source: Bloomberg, November 2021)

Not surprisingly nickel processing costs have continued rising sharply over 2021 (figure 4), particularly with regard to the energy intensive laterite ores.

Chinese nickel pig iron costs are projected to be in the order of  US$19,000/t according to Macquarie Strategy (2021) up from around US$11,000/t in early 2020.

Indonesian nickel pig iron costs are also estimated to have risen from US$7,000/t to over $11,000/t over the last rolling 12 months.

This is likely to support the nickel price in the short-medium term (figure 5) which recently broke through US$9.50/lb.

Figure 4: NPI price v Cash Costs (grid power). (Source: Macquarie, Metal and Bulks, November 2021).
Figure 5: 1 year nickel spot price (Source: http://www.kitcometals.com/charts/nickel_historical_large.html#1year).

 

New Ideas

Figure 6: KRM 2-year price chart (Source: ASX Announcement, 17 November 2021).

For those of you looking for another PGM play you may want to take a closer look at Kingsrose Mining Ltd (ASX:KRM) (figure 6).

The share price has responded positively to the proposed acquisition of Element 46 earlier in November which has title to the ‘Penikat’ high-grade PGE-nickel-copper-gold deposit hosted within a layered intrusion (figure 7).

Figure 7: Location of the Penikat Project and Porsanger Project within Scandinavia (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

Mineralisation at Penikat is hosted in three outcropping parallel reefs with an apparent strike of approximately 25 kilometres with 4,158 meters of historical drilling that only reached an average depth 43 metres.

Not surprisingly, the company believes that mineralisation remains open at depth.

The company has identified a number of high-grade targets. Previous drilling suggests widths range from 0.50 to 2 metres with mineralisation believe to be similar to that found in the Bushveld complex of South Africa.

Figure 8: Thematic historic surface samples showing PdEq distribution and select highlight drill intercepts, overlain on geology, Penikat Project (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

Better intersections from higher grade “potholes” have included:

  • SI/KI-34 with 8 metres downhole at 10.9 g/t PdEq from surface
  • SI/KI-33 with 6 metres downhole at 4.9 g/t PdEq from surface.

The Porsanger Project is another focus of exploration in 2022 with 50km2 of licenses covering the Krasjok Greenstone Belt, and PGE-copper mineralisation analogous to Anglo American’s Sakatti nickel-copper-PGE deposit.

Previous drilling into outcropping magmatic sulphide PGE-copper mineralisation has returned a number of encouraging intersections including PV-01 with 43.2 metres at 1.2 g/t PdEq (0.9 g/t Pd, 0.4 g/t Pt, 0.1 % Cu) from 67 metres downhole. (figure 9)

Figure 9:Cross section through the Porsvann prospect showing historical drill intercepts. (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

High-grade copper mineralisation over 10 kilometres of strike length has also been outlined from rock sampling (Figure 10).

Figure 10: Porsanger exploration licences, geology and historical drill collars and thematic historical rock chip samples attributed by copper grade. (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

The Company also recently announced (24th November 2021) results from re-assaying of core not previously assayed for PGM’s with some impressive numbers.

Figure 11: AP Ballroom with historical drill collar locations and resampling results (Modified after Halkoaho 1989). (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

SI/KI-456 and SI/KI-457 (figure 11) were not assayed historically for PGE with resampling returning some impressive grades and extending near surface mineralisation by 20 metres to thenorth, supporting the model that mineralisation remains open along strike.

I think the grades and dimensions of Penikat are quite compelling as to the enterprise value at just under $30 million this does actually represent value for money.

I note in their recent presentation a plot of global PGE deposits interestingly showing Julimar (Chalice Mining ASX:CHN) near the bottom of the pile (from a grade perspective) (figure 12).

I think CHN have outlined an interesting and very large resource but even the higher-grade core of 74Mt @ 1.8g/t 3E, 0.22% Ni, 0.21% Cu, 0.021% Co (~1.0% NiEq or ~2.8g/t PdEq) is not high grade as such and does have a significant strip component.

It has been a great ride but I would venture to say the market capitalisation has gone a little over the top at $3.4 billion (for basically an in-ground resource of 3.3Mt of Nickel equivalent) and is either factoring in very large Net Present Value or significant exploration upside or possibly both.

Time will tell but I think higher-grade core of mineralisation is needed to make Julimar work — hopefully exploration will find additional near surface, higher grade mineralisation along strike.

Figure 12: Global PGE Deposits (Source: ASX Announcement, 10 November 2021).

 

At RM Corporate Finance, Guy Le Page is involved in a range of corporate initiatives from mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings to valuations, consulting, and corporate advisory roles.

He was head of research at Morgan Stockbroking Limited (Perth) prior to joining Tolhurst Noall as a Corporate Advisor in July 1998. Prior to entering the stockbroking industry, he spent 10 years as an exploration and mining geologist in Australia, Canada, and the United States. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the interview in this article are solely those of the interviewee and do not represent the views of Stockhead.

 

Stockhead has not provided, endorsed, or otherwise assumed responsibility for any financial product advice contained in this article.

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Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at This Month

Will these mining stocks make your watchlist? When discussing mining penny stocks,…
The post Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at…

Will these mining stocks make your watchlist?

When discussing mining penny stocks, it is difficult not to highlight how well they have performed over the last year and a half. It all started with the pandemic, which pushed precious commodities like gold and silver to new highs. As a result, more types of mining equities began to perform better. There are far more of these assets than many investors think.

Many people think of gold and silver stocks when they think about mining assets. In reality, there are numerous different types of mining stocks. Companies in this category include those that look for copper, steel, uranium, lithium, lead, and other minerals. Bitcoin mining stocks, for example, can be considered for this type of asset.

What should you look for when investing in mining penny stocks, you may be wondering? There are a few critical actions that may be taken to ensure that the moment is perfect to invest in a company. The first and most obvious step is to read the news from across the world. Consider how the pandemic affected and continues to affect the mining industry. Sector news is also critical; for example, shortages and growing demand are useful pieces of information to have. Let’s look at three mining stocks performing well in December 2021.

Top Mining Stocks To Watch

Denison Mines Corp. (NYSE: DNN)

Denison Mines Corp. is a mining penny stock that just gained 2% on December 2nd. This is a mining business that is engaged in uranium development. The development business owns a 95 percent share in the Wheeler uranium project, which is located in the Athabasca Basin of northern Saskatchewan. This is a mining stock that has previously gotten a lot of attention on this site due to its consistent upward market momentum.

The corporation announced the adoption of an Indigenous Peoples Policy, or IPP, on December 2nd. The Board of Directors endorsed this, which indicates the company’s acknowledgment of the critical role of Canadian business in reconciling with Indigenous peoples in the country. This is consistent with Denison’s pledge to take action to advance reconciliation. This was critical for the corporation because it operates in several areas across Canada that are on Indigenous peoples’ traditional territory.

President and CEO of Denison, David Cates said, “I believe Industry has an important role to play in acknowledging, and building awareness of, the history of Indigenous people in Canada and the critical importance of pursuing the objectives of reconciliation. As such, the adoption of an Indigenous Peoples Policy is a notable step in our Company’s journey to bring reconciliation to the forefront of what we do and how we do it.” DNN stock has increased in value during the last six months. Will DNN stock be added to your watchlist as a result of its recent advancements?

IAMGOLD Corporation (NYSE: IAG)

IAMGOLD Corporation is a gold mining company that has seen its stock price rise in the previous 30 days. This firm looks for, develops, and manages land for the sale of gold in a variety of countries. IAMGOLD is a global company with operations in North America, South America, and West Africa. These territories are home to the Westwood mine, the Boto gold project, and a slew of other ventures.

IAMGOLD released their third-quarter results for 2021 on November 3rd. The firm released its third-quarter results for 2021 on November 3rd. IAMGOLD generated $121.6 million in mine-site free cash flow, while adjusted EBTIDA was $265.7 million. During the same time period, IAMGOLD reported a total net loss of $20.1 million, or $0.04 per share. Despite certain flaws in its financial results, IAMGOLD has had several moments of strong performance this year.

CEO and President of IAMGOLD, Gordon Stothart said, “The third quarter of 2021 saw improvement in our operating performance supported by the continued strong results at Essakane. Rosebel performed in line with the revised plan. Construction activities at Côté continue to proceed well, reaching 36% project completion at quarter-end.” Is IAG on your list of mining penny stocks to watch right now?

New Gold Inc. (NYSE: NGD)

We’ve previously identified New Gold Inc. as a mining penny stock with a lot of momentum on multiple occasions. This firm develops and manages a number of mineral properties throughout North America. The Rainy River gold-silver mine, which it controls 100 percent of, is one of its most important assets. The Rainy River mine is located in the Canadian province of Ontario. In addition, the corporation owns a 100% stake in the New Afton gold-copper mine. This mine is in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

On October 13th, the company revealed its third-quarter operational results. New Gold produced a total of 105,628 gold equivalent ounces throughout this time. Rainy River and New Afton mines yielded 60,785 and 44,843 gold equivalent ounces, respectively. Due to fewer tons milled, its gold equivalent production dropped in the third quarter.

President and CEO of New Gold, Renaud Adams said, “We remain on track to deliver on our updated guidance, and we continue to make progress towards securing the Company’s future growth at both assets. Our liquidity position improved for a third consecutive quarter, and I continue to expect meaningful free cash flow generation from our operations in the near-term” Amid these new developments, will NGD be on your mining penny stock watchlist?

Top Mining Penny Stocks To Buy?

Penny stocks are infamous for being extremely volatile and unpredictable. As a result, it is suggested that you concentrate on studying and investing carefully. No one knows what will happen to mining stocks in the market as long as inflation fears persist. As we approach 2022, only time will tell what happens to mining penny stocks. For the time being, which companies will you add to your watchlist?

The post Best Mining Penny Stocks to Buy Right Now? 3 To Look at This Month appeared first on Gold Stocks to Buy, Picks, News and Information | GoldStocks.com.








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Author: Jon Phillip

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7 Stocks to Buy If the Government Shuts Down in February 2022

Since Wall Street’s opening bell sounded on the day after Thanksgiving, clouds of uncertainty have hung over U.S. markets. Reports of what would soon…

Since Wall Street’s opening bell sounded on the day after Thanksgiving, clouds of uncertainty have hung over U.S. markets. Reports of what would soon be dubbed the omicron variant were quick to send shock waves across certain sectors. And since then, more news has risen from Capitol Hill that has proved unsettling for investors. Bipartisan bickering has led to increasing discussion of a government shutdown.

Fortunately, Democratic lawmakers managed to avert the shutdown just before a key Dec. 3 deadline, securing funding through February 2022. This represents only a temporary solution to a larger problem, though, leaving investors with pressing questions. What could a government shutdown mean for markets?

If you’re wondering what stocks to buy as the next funding, you’re not alone.
While we don’t know for sure what the immediate future will look like, if it does include a government shutdown, either partial or complete, it likely won’t be all bad news for investors. On the contrary, there are some industries that stand to benefit. Let’s take a look at some stocks to buy if a shutdown does occur.

  • Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG)
  • Campbell Soup (NYSE:CPB)
  • Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM)
  • Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO)
  • Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE:CL)
  • Altria Group (NUSE:MO)
  • Newmont (NYSE:NEM)

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shut Down: Procter & Gamble (PG)

Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com

As you can probably tell from the names on this list, the consumer staples sector is likely to benefit the most from a shutdown. No company produces more household items than Procter & Gamble. Its holdings are truly vast, spanning healthcare, home care, and baby and feminine care, to name just a few. And in each area, P&G has secured a significant market share.

Government shutdowns tend to induce strong feelings of uncertainty, compelling consumers to stock up on the items they don’t want to be without if things take a turn for the worst. During the shutdown of 2018, many government agency workers found themselves working without pay or with wages in furlough. They remember that feeling well and if a shutdown comes again, they don’t want to be ill-prepared.

We also know that during periods of uncertainty, nervous Americans tend to over-prepare by over-shopping. The kind of products they need are distributed by large companies, and Procter & Gamble controls many of the country’s most trusted brands.

PG stock has also been touted for its resistance to the inflationary trends that are also affecting consumer habits. If you’re looking for stocks to buy in preparation for a shutdown, there’s no better bet than this consumer staples giant.

Campbell Soup Company (CPB)

a grocery store aisle stocked with cans and cans of Campbell's SoupSource: HeinzTeh / Shutterstock.com

If Americans are going to be stocking up on essentials, they’ll be employing the same practice when it comes to food. And when it comes to stockpiling non-perishable food items, there’s no better bet than Campbell Soup.

The iconic brand is sold everywhere, from big-box markets to dollar stores, and it keeps for months upon months. Additionally, we’re heading into the coldest season and as temperatures drop, the need for warm items such as hearty soups will only mount. InvestorPlace contributor Joel Baglole named CPB as  stock to buy the next time a national event gives Americans apocalyptic anxieties. As he stated, “When people think of stockpiling food supplies, they turn to soup. It’s hearty, comforting, makes for a great lunch, and has a shelf life that can outdo most other canned goods.”

Sales are likely to increase as the company heads into a winter marked by multiple events that could easily have Americans stocking up on food items. CPB stock should definitely be high on your list of stocks to buy for a shutdown, particularly as it’s been struggling lately, creating what could become a lucrative opportunity to buy the dip if such trends continue.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) logo on sign at office campusSource: Katherine Welles / Shutterstock.com

The company commonly referred to by its initials is known as a staple of food production and distribution. With a reach that extends far beyond that, though, it’s also a leader in the global field of agricultural processing. Throughout years of fairly steady growth, the company has worked to emphasize practices that center around health and sustainability. ADM doesn’t own farms, but it partners with them by supplying innovative technologies to help spur the growth and distribution of agricultural products.

It doesn’t stop with agricultural services, though. The company’s work spans areas including oilseeds and carbohydrate solutions as well as animal nutrition ingredients. Moreover, if it involves food and will be in demand as America faces a daunting economic outlook, ADM will be helping provide it.

It’s worth noting that while many consumers will absolutely be stocking up on items like Campbell soups, their more health-conscious peers will be more focused on the food items provided by companies like Archer-Daniels-Midland. ADM was recently named to a list of consumer staple stocks to buy for reasons even more pronounced today.

Coca-Cola Company (KO)

coca-cola (KO) bottles and cans. coke is a blue-chip stocksSource: Fotazdymak / Shutterstock.com

There’s likely no brand more iconically American than Coca-Cola. Even non-soda drinkers have sampled some product owned by the massive soft drink conglomerate whose holdings are also quite vast, encompassing brands such as Dasani Waters, Honest Tea and Minute Maid Beverages.

If nervous Americans are stocking up on food, they’ll also have to stock up on beverages and there is no beverage company better-known than Coca-Cola. Not all Americans drink the soda for which the company is named, but their beverage of choice is likely made by one of the company’s subsidiaries. With this type of empire, KO is a safe investment as the country prepares for a period of uncertainty.

Even in the face of inflation, KO stock appears to be standing its ground. As it turns out, there is plenty of reason, as the stock is touted for its inflation-proof qualities. As InvestorPlace contributor Alex Sirois noted in a recent list on exactly that topic, “the general thesis is that consumer goods bear the brunt of inflation.” KO stock should definitely should not be counted out of lists of stocks to buy in the face of a government shutdown.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Colgate-Palmolive (CL)

Image of the Colgate-Palmolive logo on a buildingSource: Shutterstock

It isn’t just food and beverages that Americans will be stocking up on if the shutdown proceeds, though. You probably associate the name with products such as toothpaste, but the multi-national corporation under which Colgate operates produces and distributes toothbrushes, mouthwashes, and rinses for both adults and children. It also produces products of general hygiene needs for both humans and animals. For anyone concerned with dental wellness or just general hygiene, Colgate’s products are essential, and they will be of paramount importance in a time of economic uncertainty. If you keep it next to your bathroom sink, Colgate-Palmolive probably made it.

Earlier this year, InvestorPlace contributor Josh Enomoto named CL among recession-resistant stocks to buy for nervous investors. “A recession would have to be pretty darn awful for people to skimp out on the bare necessities,” he noted.

While we’re not facing a recession just yet, it seems a safe assumption that Colgate-Palmolive will be a company that only sees business increases as nervous Americans prepare for the worst. The last government shutdown we saw led to considerable economic instability and plenty of anxiety among consumers. This time around, Americans will want to be prepared and shopping helps the nervous feel better, particularly for the type of essentials that Colgate-Palmolive provides.

Altria Group (MO)

a sign with the Altria (MO) logoSource: Kristi Blokhin / Shutterstock.com

We’ve discussed the essentials quite a bit throughout this list, but we all know that nervous Americans won’t just be buying what’s good for them. They’ll be stocking up on things that help them feel better, such as alcohol and cigarettes. Tobacco companies stand to benefit from an economic period where stress will be high. This giant of its sector owns several of the biggest names in big tobacco including PhilipMorrisUSA. It’s also worth noting that Altria has been exploring expansions into the fast-growing cannabis market. In 2018, it made a strategic investment in Canadian cannabis producer Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) and explored further investments more recently.

As InvestorPlace contributor Chris Lau noted, “Some investors view tobacco as an unattractive investment. But people who smoke still need to buy the company’s products. Plus, Altria has a discount segment that is growing. It is careful not to gouge price-sensitive customers, especially its premium brands.”

Anyone seeking to capitalize on the increase in cigarette sales that the country could see would be well served to consider MO among shutdown stocks to buy.

Stocks to Buy for a Government Shutdown: Newmont (NEM)

Newmont (NEM) logo on a mobile phone screenSource: Piotr Swat/Shutterstock

While this name may seem like an odd choice for a list that primarily includes consumer staples stocks, it’s also worthwhile to consider a worst-case scenario play, examining the type of stock that stands to benefit if a shutdown is prolonged or leads to a worse economic landscape in which fears are amplified significantly.

If we start approaching that type of scenario, we’re likely to see companies with heavy ties to gold mining start to benefit as Americans seek the safest ways to store their money and protect their assets. As the country’s largest gold mining company, Newmont is worth a look if you’re seeking stocks to buy. The company’s mines can be found in the American west, but its mining reach has expanded to countries such as the Dominican Republic, Ghana and Australia.

We recently saw a rally in gold prices following the inflationary trends that came to define the late fall. While prices have fallen since then, fears are now rising for other reasons and if they continue to worsen, gold mining companies will be standing at the ready.

For anyone interested in stocks to buy for a time marked by panic and uncertainty, this could be a good time for a bullish play on gold mining.

On the date of publication, Samuel O’Brient did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

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Author: Samuel O'Brient

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BMO Resumes Coverage On MAG Silver Following US$46.0 Million Financing

On November 29, MAG Silver (TSX: MAG) closed their US$46 million offering wherein the company issued 2.69 million shares, which
The post BMO Resumes Coverage…

On November 29, MAG Silver (TSX: MAG) closed their US$46 million offering wherein the company issued 2.69 million shares, which included 15,700 shares to MAG insiders at US$17.15 per share. The company stated that they intend to use the proceeds of the offering, “to fund exploration on Juanicipio and its other projects including Deer Trail, and to fund certain sustaining capital requirements at the Juanicipio Project not included in the initial project capital estimates, and for working capital and general corporate purposes.”

MAG Silver currently has 10 analysts covering the stock with an average 12-month price target of C$28.83, or a 39% upside to the current stock price. Out of the 10 analysts, 7 have buy ratings and the other 3 have hold ratings. The street high sits at C$33.82 from Roth Capital while the lowest comes in at C$24.75.

On the 29th, BMO Capital Markets resumed their coverage on MAG Silver, reiterating their C$25 12-month price target and market perform rating. BMO says that this raise will help fund exploration and get Juanicipio across the finish line.

Additionally, it will help keep the companies cash balance strong. The company ended the third quarter with US$31.7 million. With this additional US$40 million on hand, they expect the company to make a $30 million capital contribution to their joint venture sometime in December. That will top the joint venture up to US$68 million in cash and MAG with roughly $34 million in cash, plus the cash flow from the business. They believe that MAG Silver will end out 2021 with US$44 million in cash.

BMO has updated their net asset value but believes the raise has only a modest impact since the increase in shares is roughly 3% with the overallotment, bringing the total shares outstanding to 97.8 million. This brings their NAV assumption to US$10.29 from US$10.19 prior.

Lastly, BMO says that the company is getting close to Juanicipio ramping up. The company noted that the plant is expected to come in on budget and expected to be completed by year-end.

Below you can see BMO’s full year 2022 assumptions.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and Refinitiv. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post BMO Resumes Coverage On MAG Silver Following US$46.0 Million Financing appeared first on the deep dive.


Author: Justin Young

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