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How to Navigate a “Risk-Off” Market – and Find Where to Profit

The “risk-on” trade is off… or at least slightly less on.

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In less than the time it takes to click the “sell” button…

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This article was originally published by Investor Place

The “risk-on” trade is off… or at least slightly less on.

Source: Shutterstock

In less than the time it takes to click the “sell” button in an online brokerage account, the pervasive investor sentiment has shifted from greed to caution.

Gone are the swarms of swashbuckling investors who would eagerly bid up even the most speculative of stocks. The investors who remain active today are much less courageous… and much more skittish.

As a result, most stocks are struggling to make headway, even when they deliver positive surprises to the market. Worse, stocks that disappoint in any way are receiving a swift and severe reckoning from investors.

“Risk-off” phases like these are normal parts of stock market cycles, but that doesn’t make them any less frustrating… or anxiety-inducing.

At the “big picture” level, the broad stock market is struggling, which creates a headwind for individual stocks.

One small wrinkle could boost your returns 5X

Even though the S&P 500 index notched a new all-time high as recently as Sept. 2, many major stock market sectors topped out months ago. Even many of the tech-focused sectors that had been leading the market for the last couple of years have been losing steam.

In no particular order, the:

  • Russell 2000 index topped out March 15 and has slumped 7% since then.
  • MSCI Emerging Market index topped out Feb. 16 and has dropped 15% since then.
  • Dow Jones Transportation index topped out May 10 and has slipped 9% since then.
  • High-profile ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK) run by celebrity manager Cathie Wood topped out Feb. 16 and has tumbled 30% since then.
  • Invesco Solar ETF (NYSEARCA:TAN) topped out January 25 and has plummeted 35% since then.
  • Amplify Online Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:IBUY) topped out February 16 and has dropped 17% since then.
  • VanEck Vectors Video Gaming and eSports ETF (NASDAQ:ESPO) topped out February 16 and has dropped 16% since then.

These poor results reflect the significant underlying weakness of our “record-setting” market. Its knees are wobbling a bit.

As one popular gauge of stock market vitality shows, the stock market has been losing strength since last May.

Specifically, the number of new 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange is hitting a one-year low, while the number of new lows is hitting a one-year high.

A chart showing the number of new 52-week highs and new 52-week lows on the NYSE over the last year.

These bearish readings are not the typical vital signs of a healthy stock market.

Fortunately, the news is not all doom and gloom.

This simple strategy could transform a small stock move into a huge gain – see how it works here

Remember, even in the midst of challenging market conditions, it is possible to capture meaningful gains. Identifying megatrends is one of the best ways to achieve market-indifferent success.

After all, our goal as investors is not to simply drift along in the market’s ever-changing currents… and to go wherever it happens to take us. Our goal is to identify the powerful trends that can chart their own course to investment gains, no matter what the market “currents” may be.

Identifying megatrends is not always easy, but the search is well worth the effort. A couple of years ago, I highlighted the “battery metal” sector as a megatrend investment play on the nascent boom in EVs and energy storage.

Over the ensuing months, I urged subscribers of The Speculator to buy select battery metal plays like in Galaxy Resources (OTCMKTS:GALXF), Eramet SA (OTCMKTS:ERMAY), Ivanhoe Mines (OTCMKTS:IVPAF), Lynas Rare Earths (OTCMKTS:LYSCF), and Nickel 28 Capital (OTCMKTS:CONXF).

During the last 12 months, all five of these recommendations produced gains ranging from 100% to 300%, compared to the S&P 500’s 30% advance.

More to the point, these stocks did not slavishly follow the stock market’s day-to-day price action; they produced their triple-digit gains by charting an independent course that was not closely correlated with the S&P 500.

The ability to deliver non-correlated gains is a rare and valuable quality during challenging stock market phases.

I believe battery metal stocks still offer plenty of upside, and I continue to make select recommendations in the sector. But the battery metal sector is not the only mega-trend beneficiary that has caught my eye.

I have identified two others that I believe will reward investors handsomely over the coming years, even if the overall stock market takes a breather for a while.

Obviously, investment success is never easily won, nor is it often immediate. Even modest gains usually take time to play out, but investing selectively in megatrends can increase the odds of success.

To learn more about how I identify, approach, and show my readers how to profit from megatrends, join my colleague Louis Navellier and me at our Escape Velocity Event.

There, we’ll go through how you can turn ordinary gains into extraordinary ones – even a 159% stock move into a 4,157% windfall.

Click here to see how.

Regards,

Eric Fry

P.S. Turning small stock moves into huge gains is one of the best-kept secrets in investing. Backtests show you could transform a triple-digit stock move into a staggering quadruple-digit win! Click here to get the full story.

On the date of publication, Eric Fry did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.

Eric Fry is an award-winning stock picker with numerous “10-bagger” calls — in good markets AND bad. How? By finding potent global megatrends… before they take off. In fact, Eric has recommended 41 different 1,000%+ stock market winners in his career. Plus, he beat 650 of the world’s most famous investors (including Bill Ackman and David Einhorn) in a contest. And today he’s revealing his next potential 1,000% winner for free, right here.

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Author: Eric Fry

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Collective Mining Makes a Significant New Discovery at the San Antonio Project, Drilling 710 Metres at 0.53 g/t Gold Equivalent from Surface

Collective Mining Ltd. (TSXV: CNL) (“Collective” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has…

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Collective Mining Ltd. (TSXV: CNL) (“Collective” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has made a significant grassroot discovery at the Pound target (“Pound”) within its San Antonio project, Colombia. Pound is one of three targets the Company has generated at the San Antonio project and assay results reported herein are from the recently completed Phase I reconnaissance drill program, which tested two of these targets.

Highlights (Tables and Figures 1 to 5)

  • Continuous gold (“Au”), silver (“Ag”) and base metal (copper and molybdenum) mineralization hasbeen intersected from surface, over the full core lengths of two reconnaissance diamond drill holes at Pound as follows:
    • 710 metres at 0.53 g/t gold equivalent from surface including 133 metres at 0.92 g/t gold equivalent from 470 metre depth (SAC-8); and
    • 750 metres at 0.41 g/t gold equivalent from surface including 187 metres at 0.59 g/t gold equivalent from 60 metre depth (SAC-6).
  • Importantly, both drill holes ended in mineralization with copper and molybdenum grades increasing at depth including:
    • 70 metres at 0.12% copper and 89 ppm molybdenum from 681 metre depth (SAC-6); and
    • 133 metres at 0.15% copper and 27 ppm molybdenum from 470 metre depth (SAC-8).

Pound mineralization is related to hydrothermal breccia and highly altered, quartz diorite intrusive which have been overprinted by late stage, polymetallic veins. Pound is located within a NE-SW trending corridor, as defined by mineralized breccia and altered intrusive, which is open in alldirections and has been mapped to date over a strike length of approximately 1.3 kilometres.The alteration system associated with Pound (advanced Argillic litho-cap) is related to the upper and peripheral portions of a porphyry system. The Company is currently reviewing its options for follow up exploration which would include initiating a Phase II diamond drill program and a high-resolution and deep penetrating IP survey as has recently and successfully been undertaken at the Guayabales project.

“The wide and continuous zones of mineralization intersected from surface at Pound are exciting and suggest we are either peripheral to or above a very large porphyry system,” commented Ari Sussman, Executive Chairman. “It is extremely pleasing that we have made brand new significant discoveries with the initial drill holes into grass root generated targets at both our Guayabales and San Antonio projects. With funding in place through 2022, the Company will become aggressive in the short-term with follow up drilling on our new discoveries and testing newly generated targets across the project portfolio.”

Table 1 Initial Diamond Drilling Results at the Pound Target

* AuEq (g/t) = (Au (g/t) x 0.95) + (Ag g/t x 0.013 x 0.90) + (Cu (%) x 1.83 x 0.92) + (Mo (%) x 4.57 x 0.92), utilizing metal prices of Cu – US$4.00/lb, Mo – US$10.00/lb, Ag – $20/oz and Au – US$1,500/oz and recovery rates of 95% for Au, 90% for Ag, 92% for Cu and Mo.
** a 0.1 g/t AuEq cut-off grade was employed with no more than 10% internal dilution. True widths are unknown and grades are uncut.

Geological Details of the San Antonio Project

The San Antonio (“SA”) Project is located in the Middle Cauca Gold Belt (“MCB”), 80 km south of Medellin and 50 km north of Manizales, Department of Caldas, Colombia. The MCB has been the most prolific belt for Miocene aged, porphyry and epithermal vein discoveries within Colombia and multi-million ounce discoveries in recent years include Buriticá, La Colosa, Nueves Chaquiro and Marmato.

The SA covers an area of 3,853 hectares and hosts multiple quartz diorite, diorite intrusive and breccia bodies of Miocene age which intrude basement schists and younger volcano-sedimentary packages.

Three specific grassroots exploration targets have been outlined by surface mapping, sampling, soil geochemistry, geophysical modelling, and shallow scout drilling. These are referred to as the Dollar, COP and Pound targets.

The Pound target is located in the northern portion of the project, is defined by multiple hydrothermal breccia bodies hosted within highly altered diorite and quartz diorite intrusive and overprinted by late stage, polymetallic veins. This zone of altered intrusive and breccia bodies trends NE-SW and has been mapped for a strike length of plus 1.3 kilometres.  The zone is still open to the NE and SW. Outcrop exposures on the southern border of this target area include epithermal vein systems within a preserved lithocap of advanced argillic alteration which is superimposed on hydrothermal breccia bodies which grades laterally and downwards into intermediate argillic alteration assemblages. These rocks are interpreted to reflect preservation of the shallow levels of the porphyry system. The initial two reconnaissance diamond drill holes, SAC-6 and SAC-8, were drilled to respective downhole depths of 750 metres and 710 metres and intersected various hydrothermal breccia (pyrite matrix), altered quartz diorite intrusive and late-stage polymetallic veins. All the rock units have been hydrothermally altered with an earlier sericitic event overprinted by a strong, advanced argillic phase with various aluminosilicates. At depth, various diorite phases display disseminations and aggregates of chalcopyrite and molybdenite in contact with large blocks of metamorphic schist. The target remains open in all directions and further work is envisaged and will commence with a deep penetrating, high-resolution, induced polarization survey down to minimum depths of 900m below surface followed by a Phase II expanded diamond drilling program. Exploration targets include the mineralized breccia and a porphyry system postulated to occur below the lithocap.

The COP target is located 800 metres south of Pound and is defined by highly anomalous molybdenum (8 ppm to 108 ppm) and gold (up to 2.74 g/t) in soils in association with altered diorite porphyry and quartz veinlets over an area of 650 metres x 350 metres. The surface expression of the COP target is coincident with geophysical anomalies, at 200-300 metres depth which include a positive magnetic anomaly and IP chargeability and resistivity highs.  COP has not been tested, other than a single historical borehole drilled just south of the target area, returned an intercept of 99 metres at 0.42 g/t gold and 4.9 g/t silver within unmineralized country rocks partially intruded by mineralized porphyry quartz veins at a depth of 608 meter downhole. The mineralization encountered in the drill-hole is interpreted to be leakage from the COP target directly to the north.

The Dollar target is located 400 metres south of COP. At surface various outcrop of quartz diorite porphyry host stockwork and sheeted quartz-magnetite vein systems associated with disseminated pyrite covering a 500 metre radius. Shallow scout drilling (6 holes) to cover the target area, identified the main mineralized porphyry. Holes SAC-1 to SAC-5 and SAC-9 returned gold intercepts of 0.1 to 0.3 g/t over various angled intercepts of 100 metres to 600 metres length within or across the various outcrops of the mineralized stockwork system. Based on the shallow intercepts a deeper hole was drilled into the mineralized stockwork and returned the intercepts outlined in Table 2 below. Gold, copper and molybdenum grades improve with depth and further deeper drilling is warranted, particularly as the project area is located approximately 300 metres above an accessible valley floor.

Table 2 Initial Deep Diamond Drilling Hole at the Dollar Target

* AuEq (g/t) = (Au (g/t) x 0.95) + (Ag g/t x 0.013 x 0.90) + (Cu (%) x 1.83 x 0.92) + (Mo (%) x 4.57 x 0.92), utilizing metal prices of Cu – US$4.00/lb, Mo – US$10.00/lb, Ag – $20/oz and Au – US$1,500/oz and recovery rates of 95% for Au, 90% for Ag, 92% for Cu and Mo.
** a 0.1 g/t AuEq cut-off grade was employed with no more than 10% internal dilution. True widths are unknown, and grades are uncut.

The San Antonio project benefits from favorable topography with approximately 600 vertical metres of elevation change from the mountain peaks to the various flat lying valleys. Additionally, the topography is not overly steep, lending itself to multiple potential infrastructure development scenarios should an economic deposit be discovered in the future.

Qualified Person (QP) and NI43-101 Disclosure

David J Reading is the designated Qualified Person for this news release within the meaning of National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”) and has reviewed and verified that the technical information contained herein is accurate and approves of the written disclosure of same. Mr. Reading has an MSc in Economic Geology and is a Fellow of the Institute of Materials, Minerals and Mining and of the Society of Economic Geology (SEG).

Technical Information

Rock samples have been prepared and analyzed at SGS laboratory facilities in Medellin, Colombia and Lima, Peru; and Actlabs laboratory facilities in Medellin, Colombia and Toronto, Canada. Certified reference standards are inserted into the sample stream to monitor laboratory performance. Crush rejects and pulps are kept and stored in a secured storage facility for future assay verification. No capping has been applied to sample composites. The Company utilizes a rigorous, industry-standard QA/QC program.

About Collective Mining Ltd.

Collective Mining is an exploration and development company focused on identifying and exploring prospective mineral projects in South America. Founded by the team that developed and sold Continental Gold Inc. to Zijin Mining for approximately $2 billion in enterprise value, the mission of the Company is to repeat its past success in Colombia by making a significant new mineral discovery and advancing the projection to production.  Management, insiders and close family and friends own approximately 40% of the outstanding shares of the Company and as a result are fully aligned with shareholders. Collective currently holds an option to earn up to a 100% interest in two projects located in Colombia. As a result of an aggressive exploration program on both the Guayabales and San Antonio projects a total of eight major targets have been defined. The Company is fortuitous to have made significant grass root discoveries on both projects with discovery holes of 104 metres @ 1.2 g/t gold and 12 g/t silver and 710 metres @ 0.53 AuEq at the Guayabales and San Antonio projects, respectfully.

Contact Information

Collective Mining Ltd.

Steve Gold, Vice President, Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Tel. (416) 648-4065

 

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This news release contains certain forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements about the drill programs, including timing of results, and Collective’s future and intentions. Wherever possible, words such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “could”, “expect”, “plan”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “predict” or “potential” or the negative or other variations of these words, or similar words or phrases, have been used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management as at the date hereof.

Forward-looking statements involve significant risk, uncertainties, and assumptions. Many factors could cause actual results, performance, or achievements to differ materially from the results discussed or implied in the forward-looking statements. These factors should be considered carefully, and readers should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this news release are based upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, Collective cannot assure readers that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this news release, and Collective assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances, except as required by law.

Neither the TSXV nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSXV) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

Figure 1: Plan View of the San Antonio Project and the Pound Target

Figure 2: Plan View of the Pound Target

Figure 3: Cross Section of Pound Drilling

Figure 4: Core Photos: Pound: SAC-6 and SAC-8

Hydrothermal breccias, cemented by sericite, carbonates, and sulphides are overprinted by strong advance argillic alteration with pyrite and chalcopyrite and molybdenite mineralization.


Carbonate base metals with galena, sphalerite and pyrite mineralization. Microdiorites and quartzodiorites with secondary biotite alteration with magnetite chacopyrite and pyrite mineralizattion.

Figure 5: Core Photos: Dollar, SAC-7. Clay Alteration Overprint Decreases With Depth

Quartz Diorites porphyry overprinted by strong Sericite alteration, quartz veinlets with magnetite, pyrite, and chalcopyrite.

 






Author: Resource World

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Base Metals

Teck Gets Boost From Coal – Q3 Earnings More Than Tripled

Teck Resources Ltd. (TECK.B-TSX, TECK.A-TSX, TECK-NYSE) said earnings more than tripled in the third quarter…

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[nxtlink id="268709"]Teck Resources[/nxtlink] Ltd. (TECK.B-TSX, TECK.A-TSX, TECK-NYSE) said earnings more than tripled in the third quarter of 2021, thanks to an “extremely favourable commodity price environment – particularly for steelmaking coal.”

“Heading into the fourth quarter, we are focused on continuing to optimize sales and production to capitalize on high commodity prices and advancing our priority QB2 project,’’ said Teck President and CEO Don Lindsay.

The company said adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax and depreciation) was a record $2.1 billion in the third quarter, more than triple the same period last year. Profit attributable to shareholders was $816 million or $1.53 per share and adjusted profit attributable to shareholders was $1.0 billion or $1.91 per share in the third quarter, more than seven times higher than the same period last year.

Realized copper, zinc and steelmaking coal prices were US$4.25 per pound, US$1.38 per pound and US$277 per tonne respectively in the months of September (2021). As a result, Teck said its EBITDA for the month of September contributed approximately half of its adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter.

Sales of steelmaking coal were 5.9 million tonnes in the third quarter, with approximately 1.9 million tonnes or 32% sold to China significantly above FOB Australia prices. The FOB Australia price increased sharply in the latter half of the second quarter and continued to increase to unprecedented levels through the third quarter.

It is worth noting that these developments follow recent speculation that Teck was planning to unload its coal operations and increase the emphasis on copper production.

They also follow recent revisions to the company’s 2021 coal and zinc production forecasts. The revisions were driven by the impact of British Columbia wildfires and increased absenteeism associated with COVID-19 protocols.

Annual coal production is expected to be at the lower end of the annual guidance range of 25.0-26.0 million tonnes.

Due to the impact of wildfires, Teck trimmed its 2021 refined zinc production at the Trail, B.C. smelting operation by 3.0% and warned that copper sales at the Highland Valley operation, also in B.C., are unlikely to catch up to output due to logistical disruptions.

Meanwhile, the company has said it continues to makes solid progress at the Quebrada Blanca Phase 2 (QB2) copper project in Chile.

“Overall progress on our QB2 project is now past the two-thirds mark and we continue to expect first production in the second half of 2022,’’ Teck said.

QB2 is essentially as continuation of the existing Quebrada Blanca open pit operation, which is located in the Tarapaca Region of northern Chile, and is expected to produce up to 8,000 tonnes of cathode copper this year.

The copper growth from QB2 will, over time, help to balance Teck’s portfolio so that the contribution from the company’s copper business could be similar to its steelmaking coal business.

On October 26, 2021, Teck’s Class B common shares closed at $34.95. The shares are currently trading in a 52-week range of $37.00 and $15.81.

 

Author: Staff Writer

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Precious Metals

Equinox Gold Breaks Ground For Greenstone Mine, Targets First Gold Pour In H1 2024

Equinox Gold Corp. (TSX: EQX) announced today the groundbreaking for the construction of the Greenstone gold mine in Ontario. The
The post Equinox Gold…

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Equinox Gold Corp. (TSX: EQX) announced today the groundbreaking for the construction of the Greenstone gold mine in Ontario. The mine is being developed in a 60-40 partnership with Orion Mine Finance Group.

The initial capital cost is expected to be $1.23 billion, including $50 million spent to date and a $177 million contingency budget. It is estimated that 10% of the construction will happen for the rest of 2021, 40% in 2022, 35% in 2023, and the remaining 15% in 2024. The mining firm plans to finance its attributable portion of the capital expenditure through its existing treasury worth $330 million as of June 2021, cash flow from its producing mines, and a $400 million revolving credit facility.

Greenstone mine is reported to have an initial mine life of 14 years and total gold production of 5.05 million ounces. For the first five years, the average annual production is estimated to be 400,000 gold ounces, then it becomes 360,000 gold ounces annually for the rest of the mine’s life.

The mining is expected to start in Q4 2022 and the first gold pour is targeted in H1 2024.

Equinox Gold last traded at $9.86 on the TSX.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and the companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post Equinox Gold Breaks Ground For Greenstone Mine, Targets First Gold Pour In H1 2024 appeared first on the deep dive.


Author: ER Velasco

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