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Monsters of Rock: Hydrogen an investor gold mine, actual gold looks ‘asthmatic’

The Materials sector – comprising mostly large and mid-cap miners – edged lower today but preserves a healthy +6% gain … Read More
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This article was originally published by Stockhead

The Materials sector – comprising mostly large and mid-cap miners – edged lower today but preserves a healthy +6% gain over the past month.

The iron ore miners fell marginally – sans FMG – despite the steelmaking ingredient’s move above $US110/t over the last few days.

The day was dominated by mid-cap Vulcan Energy (ASX:VUL) which announced a binding lithium offtake deal with behemoth Volkswagen Group — the world’s largest automaker by revenue and the largest company in Germany.

Daily Large Cap Materials heat map. Pic: CommSec.

Hydrogen remains an investor gold mine

FMG’s (ASX:FMG) positive move (1.5%) may have been hydrogen related.

It’s renewable energy arm, Fortescue Future Industries (FFI), has formed a JV with domestic utility AGL Energy to look at  converting two coal-fired power plants to produce hydrogen.

FFI is looking to repurpose infrastructure at the 1,680MW Liddell power station in the Hunter Valley region of NSW — earmarked to fully close by April 2023 — along with the 2,640MW Bayswater power station that is forecast to close by 2036.

Initial renewable electricity production through new wind and solar capacity could be 250MW, generating 30,000 t/yr of green hydrogen at a Hunter Energy Hub, FFI said.

Meanwhile, global commodities trading firm Trafigura has announced plans to build an ammonia and hydrogen plant at Port Pirie in South Australia with an initial production capacity of 20 t/d of green ammonia for export by 2025.

Trafigura plans to make a final investment decision by the end of next year, with construction starting in 2023.

 

…while actual gold looks ‘asthmatic’

Gold also edged higher to $US1,786/oz ($2,490/oz Aussie) with the big miners Kirkland Lake (ASX:KLA), and Newcrest (ASX:NCM) responding in kind.

Australia’s biggest gold miner NCM – which is making substantial profits at current prices — is down 5.65% over the past month and 12.81% year-to-date.


 

Jeffrey Halley Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, OANDA says golds “asthmatic” attempt to rise overnight “is a warning that bullishness is very fragile and that selling will resume at the first sign of trouble”.

“The downside continues to be very clearly, the path of least resistance,” he says.

“In the bigger picture, gold still looks confined to a US$1,770.00 to US$1,800.00 range this week, unable to sustain momentum above or below those levels.”

“The 50,100 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs), clustered between US$1,790.30 and US$1,795.50 are capping gains.”

“$1800.00 and $1810.00 will prove equally formidable. Support lies at US$1,770.00 and US$1,760.00.”

The post Monsters of Rock: Hydrogen an investor gold mine, actual gold looks ‘asthmatic’ appeared first on Stockhead.



Author: Reuben Adams

Precious Metals

Lundin Gold Sees BMO Reiterate $14 Price Target After Production Beat

On January 10th, Lundin Gold Inc. (TSX: LUG) announced its 2021 full-year production results. The company announced that it produced
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On January 10th, Lundin Gold Inc. (TSX: LUG) announced its 2021 full-year production results. The company announced that it produced 428,514 ounces of gold, beating their own high range of guidance, which was 420,000 ounces. The breakdown was 289,499 ounces of concentrate and 139,015 ounces of Doré. The company processed 1,415,634 tonnes this year with an average throughput of 4,121 tonnes per day and a recovery rate of 88.6%.

Lundin Gold currently has 9 analysts covering the stock with an average 12-month price target of C$13.69, or a 36% upside to the current stock price. Out of the 9 analysts, 8 have buy ratings and 1 analyst has a hold rating. The street high sits at C$15.50, or a 54% upside from Stifel-GMP. While the lowest 12-month price target is C$11.75.

In BMO Capital Markets’ note, they reiterated their C$14.00 12-month price target and Outperform rating on Lundin Gold, saying that the company had strong fourth-quarter production.

For the fourth quarter Lundin Gold produced 107,900 ounces, beating BMO’s 104,600 ounces, and they note that the companies throughput and recovery rates have been steadily increasing each quarter in 2021.

Though the full year beat was unexpected by many, BMO believes that this was expected due to the strong production at Fruta del Norte with their throughput increasing 4,200 tonnes per day. Additionally, they expect Lundin Gold to come in at their own guidance for all-in sustaining costs.

Lastly, BMO believes that Fruta del Norte has started to accumulate high-grade stockpiles, which has only started in the last quarter or two. They believe that the building “of modest stockpiles as a positive for the mining operation.”

Below you can see BMO’s updated fourth quarter, 2021, and 2022 estimates.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and Refinitiv. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post Lundin Gold Sees BMO Reiterate $14 Price Target After Production Beat appeared first on the deep dive.



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Precious Metals

The Fed Has Triggered A Stagflationary Disaster That Will Hit Hard This Year

The Fed Has Triggered A Stagflationary Disaster That Will Hit Hard This Year

Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us,

I don’t think…

The Fed Has Triggered A Stagflationary Disaster That Will Hit Hard This Year

Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us,

I don’t think I can overstate the danger that the U.S. economy is in right now as we enter 2022. While most people are caught up in the ongoing drama of Covid-19, a REAL threat looms over the nation in the form of a stagflationary tidal wave. The mainstream media is attempting to place the blame on “supply chain disruptions,” but this is a misrepresentation of the issue.

The two factors are indeed intertwined, but the reality is that inflation is the cause of supply chain disruptions, not the result of supply chain disruptions. If we look at the underlying stats for price rises in essential products we can get a clearer picture.

Before I get into my argument, I really want to stress that this is a precarious time and I suggest that people prepare accordingly. In just the past few months I have seen personal expenses rise at least 20% overall, and I’m sure it’s the same or worse for most of you. Stocking necessities and safe-haven investments with intrinsic value like physical precious metals are a good choice for protecting whatever buying power your dollars have left…

Higher prices everywhere

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is officially at the highest levels in 40 years. CPI measurements often diminish the scale of the problem because they do not include things like food, energy and housing which are core expenses for the public. CPI calculations have also been “adjusted” over the past few decades by the government to express a more positive view on inflation. If we look at the inflation numbers at Shadowstats, calculated according to the same methods they used in the 1980’s, we see a dramatic increase in CPI which paints a more dire (but more accurate) picture.

U.S. food prices have spiked to levels not seen since 2008 at the onset of the credit and derivatives collapse that brought about tens of trillions of dollars in Federal Reserve bailouts.

If we look beyond the 2008 crisis, food costs do not see a similar jump until the 1980s. Rising food prices in the US are often obscured by creative accounting and “shrinkflation” (shrinking packages and rising prices), but if we look at global food prices the average is a 30% jump in the past year.

Rental and home prices have also gone into the stratosphere. Rental costs went up around 18% in 2021, and this is an extension of a trend that has been prevalent for the past decade. Prices have been rising for a while, it’s just that now the avalanche has accelerated.

Home prices are currently out of the range of most new potential home buyers. Values jumped 16% in the past year alone, with the average property costing $408,000. Home sales continue to remain elevated compared to two years ago despite inflating prices for one reason and one reason only – the mass migration of Americans away from the draconian mandates and bureaucracy of blue states into more conservative states.

I live in Montana, a primary destination for people relocating, and from my experience the majority of these people are conservatives seeking to escape the vaccine and lockdown mandates in places like California, New York and Illinois. They see the writing on the wall and they are trying to get ahead of the economic and social calamity that will surely befall such states.

I would also note that home sales have finally begun to flatten in the past six months but prices are not dropping, which is a trend that I think needs to be explored further because it illustrates the larger issue of stagflation.

When inflation becomes stagflation

Understand that prices are not just rising because of increased demand (demand is starting to fall in many sectors), prices are rising because of increased money supply and dollar devaluation which is not yet being reflected in the Dollar Index.

Take a look at U.S. GDP and you will see that for the past several years it has tracked in tandem with price inflation. Obviously, if prices inflate then this means people are spending more, which then leads to higher U.S. GDP; it’s like magic, right? In other words, inflation makes it seem as though U.S. GDP is always improving.

However, this has not been the case in the past couple of years.

Official GDP has flattened despite the fact that U.S. money supply and inflation have rocketed higher. What does this mean? I believe it is a sign of stagflation and a reckoning in 2022. If we examine inflation adjusted GDP numbers from Shadowstats we see that GDP has declined rather aggressively in the past couple of years.

We can also see odd tendencies in oil and gasoline prices. While it’s true that gas prices have been higher in the past, this does not address the full context of the situation. U.S. travel spending has declined 12% since 2019 and airline travel has dropped at least 21% in the past year. Average gasoline usage dropped after 2019 and still has not recovered. Yet, gas prices continue to rise? In other words, travel demand is stagnant but prices are INCREASING – this is another signal of inflationary pressures and dollar devaluation. Oil is priced in dollars globally, and therefore any inflation in the dollar will be readily visible in oil. This would help explain why pandemic paranoia and reduced travel have not caused gas prices to drop.

If the current momentum continues the majority of necessities in the U.S. will not be affordable for most people by next year. We are looking at a fast-moving decline in production along with a swift explosion in prices. In other words, a stagflationary disaster.

This is the Federal Reserve’s fault

I and many other alternative economists have been warning about the inevitable inflation/stagflation crisis for years, but the most important factor to understand is WHO is responsible this event?

The mainstream financial media is going to protect the government and the Federal Reserve at all costs during this breakdown. They are going to blame Covid, the lockdowns here and overseas as well as the supply chain bottleneck.

The Fed is the true culprit, though.

While there have been many American Presidents and other politicians that have supported the Fed in its inflationary activities, the central bank itself needs to be held accountable for the downturn that is about to occur. This is a process that started back at the founding of the Fed, but spread like cancer after the crash of 2008 and the introduction of 12+ years of stimulus and bailout measures along with near-zero interest rates.

The inflationary end-game

The pandemic is the perfect cover for the inflationary end game. In 2008 the response to the crisis was to print and pump dollars into banks and corporations in the U.S. and around the globe. This money supply was held in corporate coffers and in central banks overseas, which slowed the effects of inflation. This set the precedent for subversive stimulus policies by giving the Fed a blank check to do whatever it wanted.

In 2020, the Fed created trillions more but this time the money was injected directly into the U.S. economy through Covid stimulus checks, PPP loans and other measures. In the alternative economic field we call this “helicopter money.” These dollars triggered a massive retail buying spree in 2020, but with more dollars in the economy chasing less goods prices are now spiking much higher.

The big discussion today is whether or not the Fed will taper their asset purchases, reduce their balance sheet and raise interest rates to counter inflation?

The fact is it won’t matter; inflation/stagflation will continue or even accelerate as the Fed tapers. With a taper comes the threat of a flattening yield curve in Treasury bonds as well as the danger of bonds and dollars being dumped by foreign investors and central banks. If the trillions upon trillions of dollars being held overseas come flooding back into the U.S., inflation will continue at its current pace or erupt even higher. In fact, the world’s ownership of dollars reached a 26-year low recently. The global transition away from the dollar, toward inflation-resistant investments, has already begun.

This is not a policy error

I explained this Catch-22 threat in my recent article The Fed’s Catch-22 Taper Is a Weapon, Not a Policy Error. In that essay I outline the Fed’s documented history of creating economic disasters that conveniently end up benefiting their friends in the international banks.

I also explained (with evidence) how the Federal Reserve actually takes its marching orders from the Bank for International Settlements, a globalist institution which along with the International Monetary Fund and World Economic Forum is openly seeking a one-world economic system and one-world currency system.

I do not believe that the Fed’s actions are a product of ignorance or stupidity or basic greed. I do not believe the Fed is scrambling to keep the U.S. economy afloat. I believe according to the evidence that the Fed knows exactly what it is doing. The pandemic offers a perfect scapegoat for an engineered crash of the U.S. economy which the Fed is trying to facilitate.

Why? Because the more desperate people are financially, the easier they are to buy off with false promises and a loaf of bread. They are easier to control. On top of that, with the U.S. economy reduced to second- or third-world status, it is easier to sell the public on the predetermined solution – total global centralization and far less freedom.

As the stagflationary crash plays out, never forget who was really the cause of the public’s suffering. In the fog of national crisis it is easy for the establishment to shift blame and responsibility and to cloud the truth. The inflation calamity is about to get much worse, and as it does we need to rally newly awakened people to take action against the central bankers and globalists behind it.

*  *  *

With global tensions spiking, thousands of Americans are moving their IRA or 401(k) into an IRA backed by physical gold. Now, thanks to a little-known IRS Tax Law, you can too. Learn how with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals how physical precious metals can protect your savings, and how to open a Gold IRA. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 01/14/2022 – 17:40

















Author: Tyler Durden

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Precious Metals

Scottie eyes gold expansion at B.C. project

  VANCOUVER – Scottie Resources Corp. [SCOT-TSXV] CEO Brad Rourke said the latest drill results from its Scottie Gold Mine project in British Columbia…

 

VANCOUVER – Scottie Resources Corp. [SCOT-TSXV] CEO Brad Rourke said the latest drill results from its Scottie Gold Mine project in British Columbia illustrate the potential for the expansion of the historic resource. He said drill results released on Friday have also revealed the potential of untested targets, notably the P zone, which had seen no drilling prior to the junior’s involvement.

“The Scottie gold mine target continues to deliver as a cornerstone to our primary goal of developing a road-accessible, one million ounce-plus high-grade gold resource at our Scottie gold mine project,’’ Rourke said in a press release.

The formerly producing high-grade Scottie gold mine is located on the Granduc Road, 35 kilometres north of Stewart, B.C., and north of Ascot Resources Ltd.’s [AOT-TSXV, OTVF-OTCQX] Premier project, which is in the process of refurbishing its mill in anticipation of production in the first quarter of 2023. The former Scottie mine is one of four primary targets that were tested during a 14,500-metre program in 2021, which also includes the rapidly advancing Blueberry zone.

Due to the parallel nature of the targeted veins, individual holes were designed to test multiple discreet targets. Highlight intercepts from the reported holes include 11.8 g/t gold over 6.57 metres, 20.6 g/t gold over 2.22 metres, and 37.2 g/t gold over 3.71 metres in the P, O, and M zones respectively.

Rourke said drilling is now returning intercepts comparable to the mined stopes of the past-producing mines.

Scottie shares were unchanged at 18.5 cents Friday and are trading in a 52-week range of 31.5 cents and 15.5 cents.

The Scottie Gold Mine project consists of the Scottie Gold Mine, Bow, Summit Lake and Stock claim groups. The project includes the past-producing Scottie Gold mine, which operated from 1981 to 1985, producing 95,426 ounces of gold from 183,147 tonnes of mineralization.

The Scottie mine was ultimately shut down due to a drop in the gold price combined with high interest rates.

While 13 distinct gold-bearing vein zones have been identified on the Scottie Gold Mine project, mine production was primarily from one vein.

The company said there are over 20 gold and/or silver bearing mineralized zones within the project area, and prior to the 2020 field season, only four had been drill tested.

The majority of historical drilling was done from underground, and therefore consisted of short holes with single targets – with very restricted drill pad locations. Recent exploration by Scottie has used the benefits of drilling from surface to target areas that were inaccessible with underground drill locations, and where possible to test multiple targets with individual holes.

The company is currently focused on expanding the known mineralization around the mine while advancing near mine-grade gold targets, with the purpose of delivering a potential resource.

 


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