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Senate Passes $3.5T Infrastructure Bill Including Nuclear, 3 Uranium Stocks You Should Know About

November 2020 marked an inflection point for uranium stocks, which have been rising ever since. The two leading US-listed uranium miners are both up about 150% over the past three months. Even smaller miners like Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. (CSE:

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November 2020 marked an inflection point for uranium stocks, which have been rising ever since. The two leading US-listed uranium miners are both up about 150% over the past three months. Even smaller miners like Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. (CSE: WUC)(OTCQX:WSTRF) and Fission Uranium Corp. (TSX: FCU)(OTCQX: FCUUF) have seen gains of around 70% over the past 3 months.

The trend for some of the uranium miners mentioned above is difficult to explain at the levels we are seeing. Uranium prices have picked up since about mid-March, but not enough to justify the more than 150% we have seen for some of these stocks. 

Shifting Tides and Opinions

Much of the talk in the past around uranium has been lukewarm at best. The world backed off of nuclear power after a few accidents caused disasters in Japan, Russia, and a few more regions. The public perception of nuclear power was that of a dangerous and violent power, because of the shocking images those reactor explosions produced. The risk seemed high even though they were rare events. The reason was the impact. The probability is low, but the stakes are so high. Our radar was pinging off the charts because of the kind of destruction those accidents caused. 

However, for the coming change in renewable energy, we will need to wean ourselves off of the fossil fuels that have powered the world for the past few hundred years. As we advance, it will be imperative for countries and companies to rally behind the transition to green energy. One of the tools we can use to get there is uranium for nuclear power generation. Currently, nuclear reactors could feasibly replace much of the US power grid if done correctly. While the public relations nightmare of an accident could cost us any progress, the technology is modernized and safer, and the risk of an accident much lower. 

For nuclear power to be an appropriate aid in a rapid transition to green energy, uranium will be needed in much larger quantities. Mining will need to begin and expand in domestic markets to keep steep prices at bay. According to Jack Lifton, host of The Technology Metals Show, “The USA imports 95% of the uranium it needs to operate its 25% of the worlds civilian nuclear reactors that provide almost 30% of American baseload (available at any time) electricity needs and accounts for more than half of all carbon-free power generation in the USA. It’s imperative, therefore, that America produces uranium domestically for its security of supply of carbon-free electric power. The US Congress has recognized this need and recently funded a program to buy domestic uranium.”

A Budding Bull Market Begins

Industry insiders and mining company executives agree that a bull market is building, and the forward guidance for spot uranium prices and mining companies extracting the material is upward, to say the least. 

At least part of uranium’s pickup has been due to the Biden victory. The US President set a target of 100% carbon-free electricity by 2035, an ambitious one. Part of his strategy will likely include subsidies and investment in companies that can help reach that goal; this includes companies in the nuclear power space. Markets believe and are beginning to price in the fact that Biden will probably need to support nuclear energy as a way of reaching that target in just fourteen years. 

The lack of domestic production and plans has also meant supply issues. As demand continues to rise and supply constricts, prices have risen to match the situation. This is primarily a domestic issue, as the Uranium Committee of the Energy Minerals Division of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists commented in their released 2020 Annual Report that prices and supplies of uranium worldwide look good. There is no shortage of uranium in the market around the world, but without domestic production, many countries will be caught out buying abroad for higher prices. It is essential that governments continue to expand their uranium plans and ensure that miners have the resources and clearance to expand their uranium production now. 

Risks of Underdeveloped Domestic Uranium Production

Ranger Uranium mine in the Northern Territory, Australia.

After the pandemic exposed some of the flimsiness of global supply chains, the realisation that the rare metals supply issues need to be addressed now. Metals like lithium, cobalt, vanadium, and neodymium are often not produced in the US but imported from other countries like China. Being dependent on other countries isn’t just a logistical issue when governments can’t get stocks to fill demand, but potentially a national security risk.

When countries control the supply of a resource, it can become a bargaining tool. Monopolies or strong control of a market means a company or country can often dictate prices, particularly when demand begins to rise. 

Painting a Rosier Picture

Positive strength and a turning tide in the public perception of nuclear power have benefited the United States, and the country is the world’s largest producer of nuclear power. Of the total share of global nuclear generation for electricity, the US accounts for more than 30%. It seems that uranium supply isn’t the crisis we are likely to deal with in the nuclear industry. Right now, the main problems are a lack of a large domestic market for new reactors and the costs of keeping the plants that are operating now at profitable levels. 

Globally, the picture is rosier, with the most recently released World Nuclear Association’s Fuel Report noting that “…there are 53 new reactors under construction, more than 100 reactors in the planning stage, and another 320 in the proposal stage.” Production has fallen, though, with only 123 million lbs. produced last year, according to UxC, a nuclear-fuel data and research company. 

Expanding projects and starting new ones will be essential to meeting the domestic demand in North American in the coming years as the electrification of the economy accelerates. Right now, efforts are not hitting the mark. A 33 million lb. uranium is forecast for 2021 by BMO Capital Markets, representing 18% of current demand. That gap needs to be filled, but there also needs to be a surplus goal to keep prices under control. 

Three Top Uranium Miners

For the miners extracting and producing uranium, this is a golden moment. They have a confluence of events and plans that are lining up for their benefit and putting them in a position to profit for decades. Even when the transition is mostly complete, there will be an ongoing need for uranium for energy production. Here are the three companies poised to win in this clean energy game:

1. Cameco (NYSE:CCJ)

As the world’s largest publicly traded uranium company, Cameco is uniquely positioned to expand its control over the market. First-mover advantage and size means that its footprint in Kazakhstan, Canada, and the US will only grow. The company holds 455 million pounds of proven and probable mineral reserves, with a licensed capacity to produce upwards of 53 million pounds of uranium concentrates. As demand increases, Cameco (NYSE:CCJ) will be one of the biggest winners. 

2. Ur-Energy (NYSE:URG)

Ur-Energy is a junior miner, and as such, has a lot of room to grow. The company’s latest project, Shirley Basin, was acquired in 2013. As progress continues on assessments and planning, up to 6.3 million pounds of U3O8, a uranium compound, might be produced by this up-and-comer. Its main Lost Creek uranium facility in Wyoming has a capacity of two million pounds per year, limited by physical design. This may be a good value play if the company can scale up in preparation for the demand increases for uranium around the world. 

3. Uranium Energy Corp. (NYSE:UEC)

With a wide footprint and reach, Uranium Energy Corp. has projects in Wyoming, Texas, New Mexico, Paraguay, Colorado, Arizona, and Canada. The benefit of this diversification is that the company can more easily avoid geopolitical risks over the long term while setting itself up for success no matter where it operates. By spreading risks around to different regions, this company may be more stable than many of the junior uranium mining companies out there. Its other unique quality may be that it is entirely unhedged. The company holds zero contracts at pre-set prices and is massively leveraged to uranium’s price as a result. Compared to most other uranium mining companies, Uranium Energy Corp. is more likely to be able to take advantage of a rising price for spot uranium if supply is not expanded quickly. 

The Future

Nuclear energy is still a tiny portion of energy production in the US. In recent years, it reached up to 20% of total energy production. Compared to countries like France that use nuclear energy for about 70% of total energy production, this is a pretty low number. There is plenty of room to grow for the industry. More nuclear projects continue to be approved, and governments are realising that nuclear energy is a better, cleaner option for the transition to renewables. It is a powerful, dense energy that could ease the way from fossil fuels to solar and wind energy. 

Uranium stocks will be an attractive option for investors looking for a middle ground and something to gain exposure to this transition and the lofty decarbonisation goals set by the US government, as well as other developed economies around the world. 

 

The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a licensed professional for investment advice. The author is not an insider or shareholder of any of the companies mentioned above. 

The post Uranium Is Having a Comeback, Here Are Three Stocks You Should Know About appeared first on MiningFeeds.

Energy & Critical Metals

Coal Generation In UK Jumps As Wind Speed Drops

Coal Generation In UK Jumps As Wind Speed Drops

Authored by Charles Kennedy via OilPrice.com,

Coal met some 3 percent of the UK’s electricity…

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Coal Generation In UK Jumps As Wind Speed Drops

Authored by Charles Kennedy via OilPrice.com,

Coal met some 3 percent of the UK’s electricity demand on Friday morning, reaching its highest level of Britain’s power generation in one month, amid lower wind speeds this week and an outage at a gas-powered plant, Bloomberg reports.

The last time the UK generated 3 percent of its electricity from coal was in early September when low wind generation reduced renewable power supply and triggered the massive spikes in UK wholesale electricity prices.

Utility Uniper fired up its coal-powered plant in Ratcliffe early on Friday, while the gas-fired plant in Pembroke, Wales, operated by RWE, suffered an unplanned outage.

Over the past week, gas has consistently accounted for the largest share of the UK’s electricity generation, according to data from National Grid ESO. For example, on Wednesday, gas produced 44.8 percent of Britain’s electricity, more than wind with 19.2 percent and nuclear with 12.6 percent.

Surging natural gas prices and warm and still weather in September forced the UK to fire up an old coal plant that was on standby in order to meet its electricity demand.

The UK has pledged to phase out coal-fired power generation by October 2024.

UK power company Drax could have its last two coal-fired plants in the country operating beyond the 2022 deadline it had set for closure if the UK government asks it to keep them operational amid the energy crisis in the country and the whole of Europe.

“If the government wants us to rethink our plans, we need to talk to them in the next few months,” Drax’s chief executive Will Gardiner told the Financial Times at the end of September.

Last week, the UK government committed to decarbonizing the country’s electricity system by 2035.

“While gas generation continues to play a critical role in keeping the UK electricity system secure and stable, the development of clean energy technologies means it will be used less frequently in the future,” the UK government said.

Last year, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that the United Kingdom would aim to become a global leader in offshore wind energypowering every home in the country with wind by 2030.

Tyler Durden Sun, 10/17/2021 - 08:10
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Energy & Critical Metals

Will Texas choose to be pro-business or pro-market?

Tesla recent announced plans to move its corporate headquarters from California to Texas.  But there are some ironies associated with this action:
And…

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Tesla recent announced plans to move its corporate headquarters from California to Texas.  But there are some ironies associated with this action:

And despite the state’s business-friendly reputation, Tesla can’t sell vehicles directly to customers there because of a law that protects car dealerships, which Tesla does not use.

I would challenge the reporter’s use of the term ‘despite’.  Indeed, in a sense the Texas ban on direct sales from auto manufacturers is because they are pro-business, specifically, pro-car dealership business.

Another irony is that Tesla produces a type of battery that can be combined with renewable energy sources, which is not exactly the most popular type of energy in Texas:

In February, a rare winter storm caused the Texas electric grid to collapse, leaving millions of people without electricity and heat for days. Soon after, the state’s leaders sought — falsely, according to many energy experts — to blame the blackout on renewable energy.

“This shows how the Green New Deal would be a deadly deal for the United States of America,” Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said on Fox News of the blackout. “It just shows that fossil fuel is necessary for the state of Texas as well as other states to make sure we will be able to heat our homes in the wintertimes and cool our homes in the summertimes.”

Musk, a Texas resident since last year, seemed to offer a very different take Thursday, suggesting that renewable energy could, in fact, protect people from power outages.

“I was actually in Austin for that snowstorm, in a house with no electricity, no lights, no power, no heating, no internet,” he said. “This went on for several days. However, if we had the solar plus Powerwall, we would have had lights and electricity.”

I am in favor of shifting the economy toward more use of non-carbon sources of energy, such as nuclear, hydro, wind and solar.  For that reason, I am pleased with Tesla’s move, as I suspect it might begin to change the impact of the energy industry on Texas politics.  Here’s The Economist:

Even without subsidies, wind and solar power are often the cheapest new source available, so sure to grow. They are also popular, having created a lot of jobs, especially in Republican states. Iowa, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas are the country’s top wind-energy producers. Texas employs almost as many people in wind, solar and electricity storage as the entire mining industry that Mr Trump used to harp on.

A carbon tax would be much better than clean energy subsidies, but apparently a carbon tax is politically impossible at the moment.

In an ideal world, different energy sources could compete on a level playing field, perhaps after Pigovian taxes are implemented.  But politics will almost inevitably intrude; as it will be argued that non-monetary considerations (such as power outages) are also important.  Thus while many experts blamed Texas’s power outages last winter on problems in the natural gas industry, fossil fuel supporters blamed wind energy:

[Texas governor] Greg Abbott, blamed a catastrophic grid failure in February on intermittent wind power—despite official findings that poorly maintained gas power stations were mostly to blame—and ordered the state regulator to penalise the renewables industry. . . .

The Koch-linked Texas Public Policy Foundation made the running in blaming wind for the state’s recent blackout. Like the pro-gun lobby, another skilful circumventer of public opinion, the fossil-fuels camp has also propagated a powerful conservative mythology. In contrast to cosseted renewables, it claims to be a preserve of wildcatting free spirits, which is half true, and unsubsidised, which is not.

The renewables industry’s ability to fight back has until recently been limited. It was for years too small to lobby effectively and its diverse technologies made it slow to get organised. It was therefore chiefly represented in the battle for influence by environmentalists. This was a good way to woo Democrats. But it helped its enemies on the right misrepresent the industry—now the source of around 20% of America’s electricity and over 400,000 jobs—as a left-wing boondoggle.

It will be interesting to watch how this debate plays out in the next few decades.  Major automakers have announced plans to dramatically ramp up the production of electric cars.  These cars are becoming much more popular in the area where I live (Orange County.)  Just a few days ago, Ford announced plans for a massive new electric car and battery plant in Tennessee. Will Ford be able to convince conservative Texans to buy electric F-150 pickups?  The next decade will be very interesting.

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Marvel positioning itself as a major landowner in Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland

2021.10.16
Marvel Discovery Corp. (TSXV:MARV, Frankfurt:O4T1, MARVF:OTCQB) is a company on the move, with active projects in the Exploits Subzone of Central…

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2021.10.16

Marvel Discovery Corp. (TSXV:MARV, Frankfurt:O4T1, MARVF:OTCQB) is a company on the move, with active projects in the Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland and the Atikokan gold camp in northwestern Ontario where the junior has been reporting visible gold at its Blackfly project.

Marvel’s business strategy is fairly straightforward: identify virgin ground that has been “passed over” by larger companies, acquire the claims and begin exploring, first running geophysics to identify targets, then drilling them.

An example of this tactic is what Marvel has been doing in Central Newfoundland.

Exploits Subzone

The Vancouver-based company has assembled a sizeable land position, over 100,000 hectares, right in the thick of the Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland — potentially one of the world’s last easily accessible, district-scale gold camps. 

It is known to contain deep-seated gold-bearing structures of the Dog Bay-Appleton Fault — GRUB Line deformation corridor, and is home to the high-grade Keats Zone of New Found Gold (TSX:NFG).

See below for Marvel’s map of the area including the major faults shown as heavy black lines.

The Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland

This past summer, Marvel was busy snapping up claims and adding to its land package.

The Victoria Lake project is among the most prospective of Marvel Discovery Corp.’s seven Newfoundland properties.

Located within the Exploits Subzone, the property is bolted onto Marathon Gold’s 4-million-ounce Valentine gold project, which is Atlantic Canada’s largest undeveloped gold resource.

Victoria Lake and Valentine exhibit a similar style of gold-bearing veins and have structural and geological settings in common. Preliminary work on Victoria Lake identified several quartz-arsenopyrite veins returning grab samples ranging from 15.5 to 24.9 g/t gold and 18.6 to 139.3 g/t silver.

In 1995, grab samples from Vein #3 featured 162.7 g/t gold and 220 g/t silver.

Marvel’s Victoria Lake project is bolted onto Marathon Gold’s 4Moz Valentine gold deposit.

In mid-September Marvel acquired an additional 53 mining claims at Victoria Lake comprising 1,325 ha, increasing its land position to 7,650 ha. The company says the acquisition is located along the Exploits Subzone and covers a large, highly prospective structural zone proximal to the Valentine Lake Shear Zone hosting Marathon Gold’s (TSXV:MOZ) Valentine Gold Project with  resources of 4M oz. of gold…

Victoria Lake Gold Project is host to interpreted extensions of the Valentine Lake Shear Zone and two major thrust faults, a wide structural corridor interpreted to play an integral part in the Marathon Gold Deposit.

In fact the claims, acquired via an option agreement with a vendor, contain the highest regional gold-in-till sample — 785 parts per billion (ppb) Au. This high-grade surface gold area was never followed up with additional exploration, making it a juicy target for Marvel Discovery Corp.

“These claim additions were a strategic move, not only in expanding the size and potential, but tying up ground with the highest gold till-in-soil samples in the province of Newfoundland,” Marvel CEO Karim Rayani commented in the Sept. 14 news release. “This shows we are in the right place for a potential discovery adjacent to what will likely become Newfoundland’s next and largest gold mine.”

An important part of Marvel’s Newfoundland narrative is the ground it has acquired near Falcon Gold (TSXV:FG), a sister company to Marvel Discovery also headed by Rayani.

Combined, the two juniors are the largest landowner next to Marathon Gold’s monster 4Moz Valentine gold project, and they each have claims on the Hope Brook gold project.

At Hope Brook, Marvel’s land position straddles both the eastern and western extents of recent land acquisitions by the Sokoman/Benton JV partnership, with Marvel now controlling areas of considerable structural complexity marked by large-scale fold and fault structures, which provide important structural controls (traps) for gold mineralization.

Rock lithologies and structures on the property are also related to those associated with Marathon Gold’s Valentine gold deposit, Sokoman’s Moosehead gold project and New Found Gold’s Queensway gold project — the first mover in the highly prospective Central Newfoundland Gold Area Play.

Marvel’s Hope Brook gold property is contiguous to First Mining and the Sokoman-Benton joint venture.

The Hope Brook mine was in production from 1987 to 1997, producing 752,163 oz. Coastal Gold outlined 6.3Mt at an average grade of 4.68 g/t Au, for 954,000 oz in the indicated and inferred categories.

In a phone call with me on Thanksgiving Monday, Rayani positioned the expanded Hope Brook project (19,075 ha now owned by Marvel) in relation to its neighbors:

“To the north you have Matador which I believe is 800,000 oz, to the south you have another deposit by First Mining optioned to Big Ridge which is another million oz of identified [gold], and we have all of the ground right in the middle so we’re tied onto major structures, we’ve got ground at Valentine Lake, we’ve got ground on three of the largest systems out there.”

He emphasized, “Our objective is to cover off whatever is not covered by government mag [magnetic survey] and fly the rest of it ourselves, then package it up and see what we’re going to do. I would like to try and do as much of the work ourselves and then make a decision as to what we’re going to drill.”

Initial permits have been filed for a first phase of exploration at Hope Brook which includes high-resolution magnetic gradiometry surveys that help to sort structural complexities in geological terranes. The company will also be sending prospecting crews to begin baseline prospecting to determine if the magnetic trends highlighted in regional government surveys are due to similar mineralized structures as those hosting the nearby Sokoman/Benton lithium discovery — the first documented occurrence of lithium in the province of Newfoundland-Labrador.  

“Marvel and our sister company Falcon Gold have made a lot of noise as of late not only in acquiring sizable land positions tied on to major structures but also following the structures to find what we believe are hidden gems that have been overlooked and passed by. Sokoman-Benton’s new Lithium discovery is less than 10 km away and is a testament to our business model,” Rayani stated in the Sept. 20 news release.

Blackfly

The Atitokan gold camp in Ontario is one of the country’s most prolific, and the Blackfly project is one of the camp’s earliest gold occurrences, dating as far back as 1897.

The property is in a highly enriched gold neighborhood, located within the Marmion Lake fault zone about 14 kilometers from Agnico Eagle’s Hammond Reef gold deposit, which hosts an estimated 3.32 million ounces of gold in reserves.

Marvel’s Blackfly project is 14 km from Agnico Eagle’s Hammond Reef gold deposit, with 3.32Moz in gold reserves.

Marvel’s mission is to see whether the historical exploration around the Blackfly mine has more to offer. So far the results look promising.  

Drilling commenced on June 24, with nine diamond drill holes out of 16 completed to date for 1,116m. Drilling has concentrated around the historical shaft area with four holes drilled at the Blackfly Northeast Zone.

Visible gold has been discovered in a number of surface samples and in multiple drill holes, a very good sign that MARV may have hit upon a gold system of yet to be determined size. Four sub-parallel gold mineralization trends have been confirmed by drilling.

Specks of visible gold in hole BF21-19 drilled at the Blackfly Northeast Zone.

“We’re just waiting on the final numbers.” Rayani told me, adding that there is a new zone he expects will report better results than former operator Terra-X.

According to Terra-X’s assessment report, the lineament containing the Blackfly vein has alteration and mineralization traceable over a 4.4-km strike length, as shown by the distribution of samples collected along it.

The best gold values from this lineament occur within the historical work, where Terra-X’s grab samples included results of 167 g/t and 85.6 g/t Au.

Conclusion

Marvel represents an intriguing opportunity for investors looking for an undervalued junior in one of the most exciting gold plays on the planet, the Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland.

Larger players like New Found Gold and Marathon Gold have seen success at the drill bit and their market capitalizations have grown accordingly. NFG currently trades at $8.82 per share with a market cap of $1.3 billion while MOZ has a market value of $734 million @ a share price of $3.02. Most of the money here, imo, has already been made. Penny stocks like Marvel offer much better opportunity for share price appreciation.

Central Newfoundland is shaping up to be a classic area play, with over a dozen companies having established a presence there, either buying up claims around the big gold deposits, like Queensway and Valentine, conducting exploration programs or in the case of Marvel Discovery Corp., both. Marvel has applied for exploration permits at Hope Brook and has significantly expanded its land position at Victoria Lake.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see further consolidation in the Central Newfoundland Gold Area Play. If a company like NFG, backed by big money, with Eric Sprott and merchant bank Palisades Goldcorp owning a combined 51% of the shares, were to start making acquisitions, the boost to smaller juniors like Marvel could be dramatic.

Over at Blackfly, Marvel’s mission is to see whether the historical exploration around the Blackfly mine has more to offer. So far the results look promising.  

Nine diamond drill holes have been completed to date for 1,116m. Drilling has concentrated around the historical shaft area with four holes drilled at the Blackfly Northeast Zone.

Visible gold has been discovered in a number of surface samples and in multiple drill holes, a very good sign that MARV may have hit upon a gold system of yet to be determined size. 

Marvel Discovery Corp. has everything we like to see in a gold junior, starting with a great property in an established gold jurisdiction. However, the company understands it’s never a good idea to put all your eggs in one basket. Management has acquired claims close to the big players in the Exploits Subzone of Central Newfoundland. The company already has one of the best prospecting teams in the province, and from what I’ve seen so far, great management that understands the lifeblood of a junior is a steady flow of news. Rayani hinted there will be more announcements from MARV before the year is out. Stay tuned.

Marvel Discovery Corp.
TSXV:MARV, Frankfurt:O4T1, OTCQB:MARVF
Cdn$0.10, 2021.10.15
Shares Outstanding 73.8m
Market cap Cdn$7.9m
MARV website 

Richard (Rick) Mills
aheadoftheherd.com
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