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The Metals Company’s Pilot Program Proves It’s Worth Your Attention

Buzz around The Metals Company (NASDAQ:TMC) stock will remain high in the coming weeks and months. TMC stock has been volatile since its Sept. 10 SPAC…

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This article was originally published by Investor Place

Buzz around The Metals Company (NASDAQ:TMC) stock will remain high in the coming weeks and months. TMC stock has been volatile since its Sept. 10 SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) merger with Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition

Source: Manu Galdamez/ShutterStock.com

The merger didn’t go exactly as planned, which has undoubtedly injected increased volatility into share prices. For better or worse, that has made TMC stock fodder for Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) meme stock proponents seeking to leverage their collective sway. 

But the truly interesting thing about The Metals Company is its business model. So let’s start there in understanding if TMC stock is worth investing in currently. 

Unique Battery Material Sourcing 

The Metals Company plans to source battery metals in what it believes to be the lightest touch method possible. The company is attempting to build a system to recover polymetallic nodules from the seafloor. 

Polymetallic nodules, aka manganese nodules, contain the four essential battery metals—cobalt, nickel, copper, and manganese—in a single ore. 

There are a few things which make seafloor polymetallic nodules unique. The ores themselves lie unattached to the seabed and are formed over millions of years. They absorb minerals from the seawater over these long periods of time.

The seafloor ores also differ from land ores in several important ways. Namely, their production results in 99% less solid waste than land ores and no toxic tailings. 

But the rub here is that The Metals Company is a young company developing battery metal production resources. 

If all goes to plan the returns could be massive. But of course, the opposite remains true. Choosing to invest in the company requires an understanding of the progress the company has made.

The Pilot Stage 

As I mentioned, The Metals Company is a young one. Very recently, on Sept. 24, the company released information related to its pilot processing project

The company’s onshore development team successfully segregated battery metals from seafloor nodules as a result of that project. The team was also able to separate manganese silicate which can be sold directly to the steel production market. 

It’s promising, but investors still need greater context to reasonably judge the company as an investment. So a good place to look is the company’s most recent quarterly report.

The Metals Company’s Financial Position

One of the clearest indications of the company’s operations can be found in this statement: 

“For the three and six months ended June 30, 2021, we had net (loss) income of ($17,175,554) and $14,694,066, respectively, which consisted primarily of ($13,705,000) and $21,175,000 for the three and six month periods respectively, related to the change in the fair value of the Company’s Warrants. The Company also incurred $3,475,137 and $6,490,059 of general and administrative expenses for the three and six month periods ending June 30, 2021.”

The most we can glean here is that TMC is inherently volatile. Its success hinges on the development of seafloor metal resources which will then potentially produce revenues and profits. 

The company does have rights to significant resources, but we really can’t say whether these will be profitable in the future or not. 

Verdict on TMC Stock

If the company is correct about the size of its resource base, it could become a major player in battery production. After all, the company did identify “more than 1.6 billion tonnes (wet) of nodules across two of its contract areas, containing battery metal resource sufficient for 280 million electric vehicles (EVs)—equivalent to the entire US passenger car fleet.”

But it’s very early in the game. Yes, TMC has proven that it can isolate metals from those ores. But investors have little idea of what that will equate to in revenues and profits in the longer term. 

I don’t see why TMC stock should rise immediately—it will take a long time to see results. So I wouldn’t invest now despite rosy projections that TMC will eventually rise above $20 per share.

On the date of publication, Alex Sirois did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Alex Sirois is a freelance contributor to InvestorPlace whose personal stock investing style is focused on long-term, buy-and-hold, wealth-building stock picks. Having worked in several industries from e-commerce to translation to education and utilizing his MBA from George Washington University, he brings a diverse set of skills through which he filters his writing.

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Author: Alex Sirois

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Base Metals

Monsters of Rock: Lithium shares flush with positive sentiment to dominate the gains

Lithium miners were the kings, queens, jacks and aces of the bourse on an avalanche of positive news around the … Read More
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Lithium miners were the kings, queens, jacks and aces of the bourse on an avalanche of positive news around the sector.

The biggest trigger was probably the incredible rise in value for Tesla overnight, which soared beyond a US$1 trillion valuation on news Hertz would order US$4 billion worth of electric vehicles from the automaker.

As the leading electric vehicle maker in the western world, and with a big presence also in China and energy storage, Tesla is one of the biggest end users of lithium products globally.

Its boss Elon Musk, now the richest man ever, has a fair bit of sway on the market as well.

On top of that Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS), up 525% over the past 12 months since spodumene prices bottomed out at under US$400/t (it sold a batch for upwards of US$2000/t last month), gained 7.66% after formally announcing plans to develop a lithium chemical plant in a JV with South Korea’s POSCO.

Core Lithium (ASX:CXO) declared the start of construction on its Finniss Lithium Mine in the Northern Territory. That will be shipping concentrate from the end of 2022.

$550 million capped Neometals (ASX:NMT) was up 14% after announcing its battery recycling demonstration plant in Hilcenbach, Germany, had been fully commissioned.

The one time lithium miner is up 405% over the past year.

Vulcan Energy (ASX:VUL), Sayona (ASX:SYA), Liontown (ASX:LTR) and Orocobre (ASX:ORE) were among the lithium miners to dine out on the day’s news, while rare earths miner Lynas (ASX:LYC) was also up.

On the flippity flip, iron ore miners were weak with Fortescue (ASX:FMG) and Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) cancelling out a gain from BHP (ASX:BHP), while Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) cancelled out the gains it made with yesterday’s announcement the Wodgina lithium mine would be coming back online with news it ate a 48% price discount on iron ore sales in the September Quarter.

MinRes’ average realised prices fell from US$178/t to around US$78/t between the June and September Quarters.

The bright green is all lithium baby. Pic: Commsec

 

Base metals inventories falling, but can it be sustained?

Base metals were back up on Monday, with production cuts in energy starved China and Europe hitting primary supply.

Inventories held by the major exchanges are being chewed up.

While price moves among the miners was muted, nickel rose 3.2% to climb back over US$20,000/t overnight after hitting US$21,000/t briefly last week.

“Nickel rallied after Eramet disclosed a 19% drop in ferronickel production from its operations in New Caledonia,” ANZ analysts said in a note.

“The market is also showing signs of tightness, with cash contracts closing at their biggest premium to futures in two years. LME inventories are down nearly 50% since April.”

LME stockpiles for copper hit their lowest level since 1974 last week, but Commbank analyst Vivek Dhar says it is too early to say whether the market is as tight as it seems, or whether some traders are hoarding to capitalise on high prices.

The market is expected to be in a small deficit at the end of this year to a 328,000t surplus in 2022 on rising supply (about 1.3% of global demand).

Mined supply is expected to increase 2.1% this year and 3.9% in 2022, but Dhar warned copper miners had a history of underwhelming.

“The rising forecasts for copper mine production reflect 5 major copper projects due to arrive by the end of 2022,” Dhar said.

“That compares with just two major copper projects in the last 4 years.

“Given the track record of mine disruptions (i.e. labour strikes, power and water scarcity and geopolitics) and the decline in copper grades, elevated copper mine production growth forecasts don’t tend to last long.

“We think it’s worth considering that new mine supply may take longer than currently expected to hit the market.”

The post Monsters of Rock: Lithium shares flush with positive sentiment to dominate the gains appeared first on Stockhead.







Author: Josh Chiat

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Energy & Critical Metals

Chart of the Day: Plenty of immediate upside targets for Ionic Rare Earths

Let’s get into it. Iconic Rare Earthss (ASX:IXR) is a bullish set up from a technical perspective. It’s in an … Read More
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Let’s get into it.

Iconic Rare Earthss (ASX:IXR) is a bullish set up from a technical perspective.

It’s in an uptrend. The moving averages are sloping up.

It’s shown us that when it wants to the market can get a hold of it – as evidenced by the fierce run from 1.5c to 6c at the start of this year.

 

Chart of the Day: Ionic Rare Earths (ASX:IXR)

There are no immediate gaps on the chart to worry about that need to be filled.

The company surpassed 4c resistance yesterday on increasing volume, which was a positive sign. However, after touching 4.5c in intra-day trade, it has now settled back to close at 4.2c, leaving a daily selling candle.

That infers that a test of 3.8 – 4c may be on the cards.

In our view that would make attractive buying.

Given the negative response to the scoping study in late April, there are plenty of immediate upside targets, the most immediate being 4.7c, with further potential to those March highs above 6c.

Back the other way, and we don’t need to hold this below 3.5c.

The company is well funded – reporting over $11m on balance sheet at their last quarterly – with an updated quarterly anticipated before the end of the month.

We are long as of yesterday, and will manage the trade to the above risk, looking for 4.7c first, with potential to above 6c if things go their way.

Steve Collette of Collette Capital Pty Ltd (ABN 56645766507) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (No. 1284431) of Sanlam Private Wealth (AFS License No. 337927), which only provides general advice.

Collette Capital only makes services available to professional and sophisticated investors as defined by the Corporations Act, Section (s)708(8)C and 761G(7)C.

The Collette Capital Wholesale IMA Strategy has returned +24.83% p.a. net of all fees as at the end of September 2021 since inception in January 2015 (using the Time Weighted Return method of calculating returns).

Learn more at www.collette.capital

The post Chart of the Day: Plenty of immediate upside targets for Ionic Rare Earths appeared first on Stockhead.


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Energy & Critical Metals

Hastings could be next in line to produce rare earths in Australia with plant approval in Onslow

Rare earths player Hastings Technology Metals (ASX:HAS) has just secured environmental approval for construction of the downstream processing plant at…

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Rare earths player Hastings Technology Metals (ASX:HAS) has just secured environmental approval for construction of the downstream processing plant at its Yangibana rare earths project in Onslow in WA.

It’s a solid step on the path to production, with the plant set to perform hydrometallurgical processing of rare earths oxide concentrate from Yangibana into mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) containing high levels of neodymium and praseodymium concentrate (NdPr).

NdPr are vital components used to manufacture permanent magnets that are required in advanced technology products ranging from electric vehicles to wind turbines, robotics, medical applications and digital devices.

And Yangibana contains one of the most highly valued NdPr deposits in the world, with NdPr:TREO ratios of up to 52%.

Australia’s next rare earths producer?

The Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment (DAWE) approval follows DevelopmentWA Board sign-off last month for the company to enter discussions for an option to lease Ashburton North Strategic Industrial Area (ANSIA) Lot 600.

“This is a significant milestone for our Yangibana Rare Earths Project and further endorses Hastings’ decision last year to decouple the processing plant from the Yangibana mine site,” executive chairman Charles Lew said.

“The Commonwealth environmental approval will allow Hastings to construct the Onslow Rare Earths Plant for a full production rate of 15,000 tonnes of MREC per annum, unlocking the high-quality and NdPr-rich rare earths carbonate that we will produce at Yangibana.”

“Importantly, the Commonwealth approval is another positive step in Hastings’ journey to become Australia’s next rare earth producer.”

“Debt financing talks are advancing well and scheduled for conclusion before the end of this year and early stage civil works at the Yangibana mine site are in progress.”

Pic: Location of ANSIA highlighting the site chosen for the Onslow rare earths plant.

Plant construction kicks off in 2022

The company says that building the plant at ANSIA – which is around 15kms south-west of Onslow – is key to its downstream processing program because it offers access to piped natural gas, a plentiful supply of water and grid power.

Plus, the ANSIA location reduced the volumes of consumables and reagents needed to be transported to the Yangibana mine site by up to 80%.

Construction of the plant is due to begin in 2022, after the completion of early works at Yangibana mine site – and in line with Hastings’ target to produce its first MREC in early 2024.

The post Hastings could be next in line to produce rare earths in Australia with plant approval in Onslow appeared first on Stockhead.




Author: Emma Davies

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