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ChargePoint Stock Deserves to Double from Here

Even with the electric vehicle revolution in full swing, not everyone sees the bull thesis for ChargePoint (NYSE:CHPT). Indeed, CHPT stock was cut in…

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This article was originally published by Investor Place

Even with the electric vehicle revolution in full swing, not everyone sees the bull thesis for ChargePoint (NYSE:CHPT). Indeed, CHPT stock was cut in half from the the beginning of 2021 to mid-September, so clearly investor sentiment is at a low point.

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This could present an opportunity for folks with a tolerance for volatility. After all, the essence of contrarian investing is to get excited when others are fearful.

Could the pessimism surrounding CHPT stock be misplaced? The answer is probably yes, since the U.S. government is leaning toward policies that should benefit ChargePoint.

That, along with the company’s impressive revenue growth, indicate the share price is lower than it ought to be. Over the long run, this situation should correct itself, leading to excellent returns for patient shareholders.

A Closer Look at CHPT Stock

There’s something about the $20 price point — it’s like a magnet for CHPT stock in 2021.

Without a doubt, this must be frustrating for the long-term stockholders. As you may recall, ChargePoint shares propelled as high as $44.50 in January of this year.

The sentiment was riding high, but it wasn’t the best time to take a long position. CHPT stock slipped to $20 in March.

Believe it or not, the stock rose and fell back to that same $20 level in April, and then again in May, and once more in August. As of Sept. 23, it was back to $20 and change yet again.

At least we can say there’s strong support at that level.

The sellers can’t expect to fend the buyers off forever. $30 and eventually $40 are reasonable price targets — CHPT has been there before, and the bulls can anticipate a revisit of these price levels.

ChargePoint Can Electrify the Nation

One great thing about investing in ChargePoint is that it allows you to be brand-agnostic.

To put it another way, you can hold the stock and be part of the vehicle electrification movement without betting on any specific automaker.

Yet you’d still have to believe in the future of electric vehicles. It’s a reasonable sector to invest in — at least, Bank of America analyst Martyn Briggs seems to think so.

As you may be aware, President Joe Biden’s administration aims to have 50% of vehicles produced in the U.S. be electric by 2030.

To achieve this ambitious goal, according to Briggs, “you’re going to need to see a lot of up– of supply-chain shifts. Obviously a lot of manufacturing capacity, huge amounts of battery manufacturing in particular to achieve that that we can come to.”

It’s not difficult to connect the dots and see how an electric vehicle charger maker like ChargePoint would benefit from this.

Briggs makes no bones about it: “Net-zero targets are real, and they’re not going away.” And if the government is going to enforce a transition to zero-carbon, zero-emission mobility, Briggs considers vehicle electrification “an obvious low-hanging fruit.”

More Ports, More Revenues for CHPT Stock

Speaking of low-hanging fruit, the CHPT stock bulls can simply point to ChargePoint’s outstanding second-quarter 2021 fiscal data. In a time when the government hopes to advance vehicle electrification, ChargePoint is making strides on the financial front.

For the second fiscal quarter, ChargePoint grew its revenue by 61% year-over-year. Plus, for the full year, the company raised its revenue guidance by 15% to a range of $225 million to $235 million.

Moreover, ChargePoint’s network of charging stations is expanding quickly. The company’s count of activated ports exceeded 118,000 as of July 31. And by the by, this is a global phenomenon — ChargePoint counted more than 5,400 of its charging ports in Europe.

It looks like the Biden administration is going to push hard for vehicle electrification. This should provide a long-term tailwind for ChargePoint. Is this a guarantee that CHPT stock will rally in the short term? Definitely not, as near-term price fluctuations are bound to happen.

But as Briggs said, the net-zero targets are real. They’re not going away, so investors must adjust their strategies accordingly. Given the company’s impressive fiscal data, an informed investor’s strategy could certainly include a position in ChargePoint.

On the date of publication, David Moadel did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

David Moadel has provided compelling content – and crossed the occasional line – on behalf of Crush the Street, Market Realist, TalkMarkets, Finom Group, Benzinga, and (of course) InvestorPlace.com. He also serves as the chief analyst and market researcher for Portfolio Wealth Global and hosts the popular financial YouTube channel Looking at the Markets.

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Author: David Moadel

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Energy & Critical Metals

Pilbara Minerals Reaches Records Prices for Lithium Spodumene

Pilbara Minerals’ (ASX:PLS) third auction on the Battery Material Exchange (BMX) digital platform for 10,000t (SC5.5%) spodumene went off at a record…

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Pilbara Minerals’ (ASX:PLS) third auction on the Battery Material Exchange (BMX) digital platform for 10,000t (SC5.5%) spodumene went off at a record $US2,350/t.

It outshines auction two on September 14, which went off at a then-incredible $US2,240/t to singlehandedly spark a historic 86.5% month-on-month increase for average spod pricing industry-wide.

The average price for SC6% cargoes this time last year was ~$US380/t.

In the December half of 2020 – when pricing was still weak — Pilbara Minerals sold 114,239t of spodumene concentrate in contracts for revenues of ~$59m.

It has now raked in ~$US54m alone from these three spot cargoes totalling 28,000t.

“As with the previous two auctions, strong interest was received in both participation and bidding by a broad range of buyers,” Pilbara Minerals says.

“Parties placed 25 bids online during the 45-minute auction window, with the Company considering the bidding to be very strong in light of the deferred delivery date.”

 

 

The post Pilbara Minerals just sold the most expensive cargo of lithium spodumene ever appeared first on Stockhead.

Author: Reuben Adams

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Energy & Critical Metals

Hyliion’s Unique Bet on the Future of Trucking

Hyliion (NYSE:HYLN) is one of the flood of electric vehicle (EV) SPACs that emerged over the past year. HYLN stock, like its peer group, has also had a…

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Hyliion (NYSE:HYLN) is one of the flood of electric vehicle (EV) SPACs that emerged over the past year. HYLN stock, like its peer group, has also had a rough run in 2021 after the initial price spike.

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Unlike most of the EV companies, however, Hyliion has a unique vision. Rather than aiming to build its own EV brand from the ground-up, Hyliion is working on niche solutions to enhance the already-existing trucking industry. It aims for incremental improvement rather than reinventing the wheel.

So, will Hyliion’s new approach find commercial success?

Hyliion’s Products

Currently, Hyliion is working on a few different items to improve trucking efficiency. The company makes powertrains, which can be added to trucks. These are intended to capture power as a vehicle rolls downhill. That retained power charges a battery, which can help assist the vehicle once it needs energy again. However, the high $25,000 sticker price for HYLN’s product counteracts the fuel savings; so far, demand has been limited.

Hyliion is also working on battery packs. However this is a competitive field where it may not have a significant advantage.

The firm’s most promising item is the Hypertruck ERX. This is a unique product. It offers a truck a dual-powered system that runs on both a battery and a natural gas engine. For shorter-trips, it goes purely off the electric battery, offering clean emission-free driving. It has built-in features such as regenerative braking to help conserve and maximize power from the existing battery as well.

Once the vehicle goes beyond its range, however, it switches to using the on-board natural gas engine. Natural gas is much cleaner than diesel. Historically, it’s also been much cheaper, though that’s currently under question given the ferocious rally in natural gas prices over the past few months. Regardless, historically, there’s been a considerable amount of interest in using natural gas for trucking.

A combination natural gas/battery engine could be a best-of-both-worlds solution. It offers many of the efficiency and environmental benefits of electric, while having a much larger range thanks to the natural gas backup. Additionally, it gives trucking companies a relatively simple way to improve their business and improve their environmental profile without having to totally overhaul their whole fleet.

Is There Demand for This Solution?

There’s a bearish talking point on HYLN stock is worth considering. Simply put, there are dozens if not hundreds of companies in the EV space, with many of them focusing on trucking in particular. Yet Hyliion is the only one—or at least the only public one—pursuing this sort of hybrid approach.

Thus, one can reasonably suggest that Hyliion’s solution simply isn’t that promising . The existing trucking industry has operated as it has for decades. It may take a total rethinking of trucking from the ground up to disrupt the existing supply chain. Even if Hyliion can produce incrementally better results, that may not be enough to move the needle.

More broadly, there is a dilemma so many SPAC firms find themselves in. They have little in the way of profits or even recurring revenues yet. So, investors have to believe in the story to maintain their confidence in the firm. That certainly applies to HYLN stock, which has generated minimal revenues up to this point. The company does have a decent balance sheet and a number of pre-orders. Still, it will take more time to see if Hyliion can convert its potential into tangible results.

HYLN Stock Verdict

Hyliion is doing something different. You can argue that either way. Bears say no one else is pursuing this path because it is unlikely to garner much commercial interest. And that’s a fair argument.

On the other hand, there are way too many generic EV companies with a spiffy-looking prototype vehicle and little else. You might have better odds taking a chance on a company that is trying to advance a practical—albeit less flashy—solution to a widespread problem.

Hyliion lacks a lot of glamour you’d find in other EV companies. Relying partly on natural gas fails to check certain environmental, social and governance (ESG) boxes as well. However, if the company can deliver on its promises in terms of efficiency and cost savings, that other stuff shouldn’t matter too much. Hyliion still has to prove out that potential commercial demand. But the concept makes a lot of sense, and the valuation isn’t too demanding at this price, either.

On the date of publication, Ian Bezek did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Ian Bezek has written more than 1,000 articles for InvestorPlace.com and Seeking Alpha. He also worked as a Junior Analyst for Kerrisdale Capital, a $300 million New York City-based hedge fund. You can reach him on Twitter at @irbezek.

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Energy & Critical Metals

Cypress Development kickstarts its pilot plant program

 
Cypress Development (CYP.V) has completed the assembly of the pilot plant which will be used to test the metallurgical characteristics of the Clayton…

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Cypress Development (CYP.V) has completed the assembly of the pilot plant which will be used to test the metallurgical characteristics of the Clayton Valley Lithium project in Nevada. The outcome of the pilot plant program will be very important as Cypress will be testing the use of a chloride-based leaching process in combination with the Chemionex-Lionex process for direct lithium extraction.

This approach worked on a smaller scale basis and the pilot plant program could be seen as the moment of the truth. The flow sheet seems to make sense, and could perhaps mean a breakthrough for clay-hosted lithium projects as the sector will for sure be moving towards a ‘cleaner’ approach to recover the lithium versus the classic acid leaching processes. A successful outcome will further de-risk the project, and the subsequent feasibility study may show superior economics if the company uses a slightly higher lithium price compared to the PEA and PFS studies. Keep in mind the current market price for lithium carbonate exceeds $20,000 per tonne and if that price would have been used in the PFS, the NPV of the Clayton Valley project would have been substantially higher.

The pilot plant programme comes very timely as this appears to be the right time to consider developing a lithium project in North America as the economics will for sure be underpinned by a strong lithium price.


Disclosure: The author has a long position in Cypress Development. Cypress is a sponsor of the website. Please read our disclaimer.

Author: CR Team

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