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Environmental strategies – Electrifying opportunities (video)

2022 is likely to see further efforts to limit energy consumption, reduce losses, use natural resources more efficiently and more responsibly and protect…



This article was originally published by BNP Paribas Asset Managment Blog ( Investor's Corner)

is likely to see further efforts to limit energy consumption, reduce losses,
use natural resources more efficiently and more responsibly and protect our
environment – all in our joint efforts to transform the global energy system en
route to a low-carbon economy.

Energy transition and environmental
sustainability are two of the investment themes for 2022, as set out in our Investment outlook Shooting the rapids.

Decarbonisation through renewable energy,
digitalisation and the resulting greater energy efficiency, and decentralised
energy production and storage are significant drivers of growth, resulting in
appealing and diverse opportunities for investors.

Watch our video to find out why investors should be part of the energy system’s multi-decade transformation that will be powering our future as well as investment returns

Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients. The views expressed in this podcast do not in any way constitute investment advice.

The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.

Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions).

Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

Writen by Ulrik Fugmann. The post Environmental strategies – Electrifying opportunities (video) appeared first on Investors’ Corner – The official blog of BNP Paribas Asset Management, the sustainable investor for a changing world.

Author: Ulrik Fugmann

Energy & Critical Metals

GEVO Stock is a Risk-On Asset in a Risk-Off Market

I wrote about Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO) in February 2021 when it was heading towards its meme-stock induced 52-week high. As a company that was, and remains,…

I wrote about Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO) in February 2021 when it was heading towards its meme-stock induced 52-week high. As a company that was, and remains, a pre-revenue company, I made a bearish call on GEVO stock.

Source: Shutterstock

That proved to be the right call. Since February, GEVO stock went on a steady trip lower, but had seemed to find a solid level of support.  

However, since December 2021, GEVO stock has cut through that level of support and, as of this writing, sits at $3.50 a share. Realistically, it could go lower.

Now trading below $5, Gevo looks a bit more interesting. However, I have to caution you. This stock is only for speculative investors who have the time and patience to wait for the company to deliver revenue. 

A Bet on Renewable Fuels 

The elevator pitch for Gevo is certainly compelling.

The company is a play on renewable hydrocarbon products, specifically low-carbon liquid transportation fuels that will be sustainable alternatives to traditional fossil fuels.

The company’s process is to transform carbon into liquid hydrocarbons that have a potentially “net zero” GHG footprint. Gevo does this by using a combination of photosynthetic energy, wind energy and biogas energy.

And the company is focusing on three areas that would appear to have high demand. The first is sustainable aviation fuel. The electric vehicle (EV) movement is certainly ramping up, but whatever form that takes, it will be a long time before technology like that is ready for the aviation industry.

Gevo is also making inroads into two other areas: renewable gasoline for commercial fleets and regenerative agriculture that focuses on “growing feedstocks in ways that sequester carbon and improve the soil.”

Managing Revenue Expectations 

First the good news: if the company’s estimates are correct, revenue is on the way. In its December 2021 investor presentation (page 5), Gevo said it has approximately $3 billion in financeable contracts already in place. And the company is negotiating an additional $30 billion in contracts with what the company terms “high-quality” customers.

That’s bullish news. However, the commercial supply arrangements won’t begin until 2024. In the meantime, Gevo is taking steps to get its Net Zero projects constructed..

However, as our own Louis Navellier wrote late last year, Gevo does have $522.4 million in cash on hand. That should sustain the company until it begins to generate revenue. That would be welcome to investors who had become frustrated by share dilution from stock offerings.

However, I would be remiss if I didn’t share with you this reminder from Ian Bezek: “every year since 2012, Gevo’s gross margin has been negative. Consequently, it costs the company more to produce its fuels than it earns from selling them.”

With Friends Like These

I can’t blame investors for getting excited about the prospects for GEVO stock. After all, the presumption was that the Biden administration was going to make clean, renewable energy a priority. However, biofuels continue to have a complicated relationship with the rest of the renewable energy sector. 

In December, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released its proposed Renewable Fuel Standard volumes for 2021 and 2022. Unfortunately, industry experts saw the move as “placing a feather on the renewable fuels pedal” precisely when the Biden administration is trying to push through bold action on climate change.

What to Do With GEVO Stock?

Purely based on its stock price, GEVO stock looks oversold. However, as I noted above whether that makes it a buy depends on your personal risk tolerance. At this point, you’re investing in a company with a business model of questionable sustainability. And in the current market environment that would be the definition of a risk-on asset.

Nevertheless, with the stock trading below $5, it might be worth a speculative investment as part of a clean energy portfolio.

On the date of publication, Chris Markoch did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the Publishing Guidelines.  

Chris Markoch is a freelance financial copywriter who has been covering the market for eight years. He has been writing for InvestorPlace since 2019. 

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Energy & Critical Metals

Nio’s Underperformance Makes It One of the Best Chinese EV Stocks for 2022

The electric vehicle transition that is well and truly underway has made investors sit up and take a look at some promising opportunities. Even as most…

The electric vehicle transition that is well and truly underway has made investors sit up and take a look at some promising opportunities. Even as most stocks capitalized on this frenzy in 2021, some, including NIO (NYSE: NIO) stock, have missed the bus.

A Nio (NIO) sign outside of the company's facilities in Shanghai, China.Source: Andy Feng /

This is despite the Shanghai-headquartered Chinese EV start-up making all the right noises and navigating through the supply constraints without much damage.

NIO Stock Under Grey Sky In 2021

Nio is locally called Weilai, which roughly translates to “Blue Sky Coming.” But far from clear skies, NIO had a forgettable year in 2021, with the stock cratering despite lacking any strong negative catalysts. The company did have its fair share of fundamental woes, but the issues were more industry-wide in nature than company-specific.

NIO had a relatively stronger pandemic year in 202, and had a rip-roaring start to 2021. Catalyzed by a hugely successful “NIO Day 2020” event held on Jan. 9, 2021, the stock ran up to an all-time high of $66.99 in the session that followed the annual event.

The stock pulled back from the peak immediately after, dragged down by a $1.3 billion convertible note offering announced Jan. 11, 2021.

Despite a couple of attempts to break the downtrend throughout the year, it broadly moved lower before bottoming for a time at $30.71 on May 13. The weakness in the interim was exacerbated by the broader market pullback amid the reemergence of the Covid-19 pandemic and NIO’s announcement to temporarily stall production for five working days, beginning March 29, citing the chip shortage. The company also trimmed its quarterly production forecast.

Although NIO stock came back up from the mid-May lows, the multiple rebound attempts could not take the stock anywhere near its previous peak. The weakness looks all the more glaring because most other EV stocks were on a strong recovery path after bottoming in mid-May.

nio stock performance from Jan 2021Source: Charts by TradingView

From the perspective of deliveries, except in October, when a steep drop was seen, the company managed to hold up fairly well. Nio also reported:

“The vehicle delivery in October was significantly impacted by reduction in production volume as a result of the restructuring and upgrades of manufacturing lines and the preparation of new products introduction from September 28 to October 15, as well as certain supply chain volatilities.”

The Chinese EV maker forayed into Norway, marking its first overseas expansion, in 2021.

NIO Day 2021 Disappoints

As a dismal year drew to a close, NIO investors stayed loyal to the company and pinned their hopes on a turnaround, thanks to several impending catalysts. The main one of these catalysts, however, did not pan out as they would have liked.

As opposed to the 2020 event, Nio Day 2021 was light on announcements. The company announced its fifth production model – the ET5, a midsized sedan with a starting price of 328,000 yuan ($51,670). But barring the newest model, the annual affair just did not have much to write home about.

And now, the new year hasn’t started well for the financial markets, and Nio shares have been languishing along with the broader market.

How NIO Stock Fared Vs. Competition

NIO shares have been an underperformer relative to the competition since 2021. Domestic rivals such as XPeng (NYSE:XPEV), Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) and BYD (OTCMKTS BYDDF) have all either recorded far smaller losses or managed modest gains in the same period. EV giant Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), despite the recent pullback, has been a standout performer.

Performance Since Jan. ’21 (% Change)
Li Auto

EV startups such as Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN), Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) and Fisker (NASDAQ:FSR) have yet to generate any meaningful revenues. The market, however, has willingly assigned premium valuations to the stocks on the promise of future outperformance.

Many EV companies are still working on becoming profitable, after all, so a better valuation metric to evaluate these stocks will be the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio.

On a trailing-12-month basis (TTM), NIO’s P/S ratio is at 6.7 compared to 22.7 for Tesla, 16.4 for XPeng and 9.4 for Li Auto. Only Warren Buffett-backed BYD has a better TTM P/S ratio of 2.2.

As far as Tesla is concerned, one may argue that it has the potential to diversify its revenue streams due to the multiple areas it operates in. Tesla’s fiscal-year 2021 results reveal that 88% of the annual revenue came from its automotive business, while the rest was from its charging infrastructure and services. Analysts expect self-driving software revenue to be a major revenue earner when it finally is adopted on a large scale.

NIO’s recent quarterly results for the three months ended Sept. 30 show that a little over 88.1% came from its automotive business and the remainder from services. The Chinese company has been laying emphasis on its autonomous driving technology, named Nio Autonomous Driving (NAD). This was announced in January 2021 along with the unveiling of the ET7 sedan.

Just as it has done with battery swapping, the company plans to offer its Autonomous Driver Assistance System as a service offering for a monthly subscription fee.

Impending Catalysts for NIO Stock

Near term, NIO’s January deliveries number due on Feb. 1 could serve as a catalyst. Can the company see an uptick from the 10,489 vehicles it delivered in December? Notable deviation from the number is unlikely, given the company is delivering from the same pool of vehicle models as it did in the previous month. Given that the company has not sounded out any dragging factors, marked downside from the level is also unlikely.

Next up will be the company’s quarterly results, which are expected in early March. The earnings release, however, is likely to be a non-event.

What could truly move the needle on the stock are updates on the two new production models — the ET7 and ET5. The company has suggested a strong order book for the latter model, which is seen as a potent threat to Tesla’s best-selling Model 3 sedan.

Barring any hiccups in production and ramp of these models, Nio stock looks poised to stage a strong recovery in 2022. Added cushion is likely to come from the aggressive international expansion the company has charted out.

Optimistic forecasts about EV adoption in China as well as overseas is also a macro factor that could work in Nio’s favor, especially if it can sort out its production problem.

The Bottom Line on NIO Stock

NIO’s shares are trading at their lowest level since late 2020. Technically, for the stock to reverse course, it has to fill the gap made earlier this week and move above the $27.40 overhead resistance. Further up the $33-$34 area could serve as major resistance levels.

For those investors who are looking for a bargain EV value buy, NIO could be the best fit for their portfolios. The stock looks relatively cheap vis-à-vis the other publicly listed Chinese EV makers. Fundamentally too, NIO appears to have an edge over its domestic rivals in terms of its product lineup and service offerings.

With so many catalysts lined up, it appears that investors will soon come around to appreciate the true value that NIO stock offers and a rerating could be in the offing in the medium- to long-term.

On the date of publication, Shanthi Rexaline did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the Publishing Guidelines. 

Shanthi is a contributor to as well as a staff writer with Benzinga. Equipped with a Bachelor’s degree in Agriculture and an MBA with specialization in finance and marketing, she has about two decades of experience in financial reporting and analysis, and specializes in the biopharma and EV sectors. 

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Energy & Critical Metals

Portofino Reported 412 ppm Lithium Sample Results From Allison Lake Property: 2-Times the Lithium Previously Reported

Portofino Resources(TSXV: POR)(OTCQB: PFFOF) updated stakeholders earlier in January regarding a systematic channel sampling program on its Allison Lake North lithium and rare elements property…

Follow-up analysis shows a two-fold increase in lithium and rubidium values compared to older estimates.

Portofino Resources (TSXV: POR)(OTCQB: PFFOF) updated stakeholders earlier in January regarding a systematic channel sampling program on its Allison Lake North lithium and rare elements property. In addition to reporting impressive lithium and tantalum values, the company also found elevated values for Niobium and Rubidium as well.

Back in September 2021, the company submitted 35 channel samples and 11 select grab samples for independent chemical and mineral analysis. The more recent follow-up analysis showed 412 ppm lithium and 857 ppm rubidium values from select channel samples. These results also included values of 143 ppm tantalum. 

This corresponds to the tantalum concentrations found from the SJ Pegmatite occurrence close to Allison Lake, results which were described as being “economically interesting” in an older, 2003 Ontario Geological Survey (OGS) report.

Further grab sample details  

Initial grab samples from Portofino taken back in September returned values of 398 ppm lithium, 90.5 ppm cesium, 1040 ppm rubidium, and 135 ppm tantalum. These grab sample results represent a two-fold increase in both lithium and rubidium found in the earlier 2003 OGS report. 

Additionally, these results demonstrate a ten-fold increase in tantalum compared to that same OGS report, which had originally showed values of up to 190 ppm lithium, 90 ppm cesium, 587 rubidium, and just 12.9 ppm tantalum.

This is an exciting, unexplored project located within a very active lithium and rare earths exploration region, where systematic and methodical exploration programs are needed to unlock the potential of this project,said Portofino Resources’ CEO David Tafel.

Geological details about Portofino’s Allison Lake project

Portofino Resources announced back in April that it would acquire the Allison Lake property for a sum of $78,000 in cash and common shares, paid over a three-year period. CEO David Tafel said the project represented a highly strategic acquisition for the company, especially as the Canadian government looks to ramp up its domestic rare-earth and lithium supplies.

The overall Allison Lake project totals 1,618 hectares and is located 100 km east of the Red Lake town in northwestern Ontario. The surrounding area hosts a number of well-known lithium and rare-earth discoveries, including the PAK and Spark deposits, each of which contains millions of tonnes of estimated lithium oxide. 

The broader Allison Lake batholith contains a high degree of rare-earth mineralization along its outer rim. Portofino’s Allison Lake property is located between the broader Allison Lake batholith and the Jubilee Lake rock formations and exhibits key attributes for lithium-bearing pegmatite dykes.

Besides Allison Lake, Portofino’s other lithium properties include the recently acquired Greenheart Lake project located near Ignace, Ontario and the Yergo Project in Argentina. Located near the historical 3D (NEO Lithium/Zijin) lithium deposit, the Yergo project is set to commence drilling immediately upon receipt of a drilling permit.



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