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#UraniumSqueeze – Prices Continue to Soar as Investors Bet on Higher Demand by Depleting Supplies

The competition for uranium supplies among nuclear power providers has ramped up as of late, as an increasing number of…

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This article was originally published by The Deep Dive

The competition for uranium supplies among nuclear power providers has ramped up as of late, as an increasing number of financial investors bet on a bullish sector.

Raw uranium, also known as yellowcake, has seen prices skyrocket to the highest since 2014, as a newly-created investment trust from Canadian-based Sprott Asset Management snaps up uranium supplies. Since first launching an at-the-money program in August, the asset manager has bought over 10 million pounds of uranium via its Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX: U.UN).

The trust plans to purchase even more uranium, upping its initial ATM financing from $300 million to $1.3 billion, helping push uranium prices even further upwards. When combined with previously purchased uranium from a former fund, Sprott’s total uranium holdings amount to over 28.3 million pounds of the metal, which could provide enough power for France’s entire nuclear industry for a year.

Sprott’s sharp buying tactics will likely create added pressure on utilities, many of which need to ensure adequate supplies necessary for vital energy generation. The latest demand for yellowcake also comes as China is expected to ramp up its nuclear power capacity for the next ten years. As of current, long-term contracts account for 98% of yellowcake required by utility companies in the US; however, that figure is expected to decline to 84% come 2022, followed by a decline to around 55% before 2025, according to projections from Yellow Cake.

According to data obtained from the World Nuclear Association, demand for yellowcake is expected to rise form 162 million pounds to around 206 million pounds before the end of the decade, followed by a further increase to 292 million pounds by 2040. Simultaneously, uranium supplies are expected to decline by about 15% by 2025, followed by a subsequent depletion of at least 50% by the end of the decade, as investment into new mines dries up.

The Covid-19 pandemic also helped erode uranium supplies, as Cameco, one of Canada’s largest mining companies, temporarily halted production at its Cigar Lake mine in response to labour shortages. Since the beginning of the year, Cameco shares have jumped by nearly 70%.

In the meantime, the Sprott uranium trust, which currently trades on the TSX, plans to make its public debut on the NYSE sometime in 2022, which according to Canaccord, could lead to additional purchases. The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust buys physical uranium stored in Canada, the US, and France via WMC Energy. In exchange, Sprott collects a 0.35% management fee, in addition to a 1% commission fee based on the gross value of purchases or sales of uranium.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and the companies mentioned. The author has no securities or affiliations related to this organization. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post Uranium Prices Sent Soaring as Investors Bet on Higher Demand, Depleting Supplies appeared first on the deep dive.

Author: Hermina Paull

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Energy & Critical Metals

Pegasus Resources Expands Its Uranium Assets In Saskatchewan

Pegasus Resources Inc. (TSXV:PEGA) continues to make its presence in the prolific Athabasca Basin uranium camp with the recently announced
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Pegasus Resources Inc. (TSXV:PEGA) continues to make its presence in the prolific Athabasca Basin uranium camp with the recently announced acquisition of three uranium properties at the northwest edge of the Basin. The 54,026 hectare properties comprising 13 mineral claims contain a cumulative total of 535,718 lbs of uranium, and significantly, includes a historic resource estimate of 202,200 tons at 0.119% U308 at an average width of 4.8 metres.

These new properties add to the previously announced Pine Channel uranium property which consists of six mineral claims covering 6,028 hectares and is located at the northern edge of the Athabasca basin, roughly 40 km west of the town of Stony Rapids. The Athabasca Basin in Northern Saskatchewan is host to several of the world’s largest and highest-grade uranium mines, including Cameco’s (TSX: CCO) McArthur River Mine and Cigar Lake Mine.

The Wollaston Northeast property is located in the 20A zone within the prolific Wollaston Domain, 45 kilometres northeast of the Eagle Point Uranium Mine. The property has at least eight known base metals showings and five previously documented uranium occurrences, and is considered highly prospective for basement hosted uranium mineralization.

Much of the recent renewed interest in uranium in the region is due to recent discoveries within the Wollaston Domain where the Eagle Point deposits are hosted within its basement rocks. In addition to the Eagle Point Mine, the area also hosts the historic Rabbit Lake Mine and Cameco/Orano Key Lake Mine, the world’s largest high-grade uranium mine.

The 12,397 hectare Bentley Lake Uranium Property consisting of three mineral claims, and is located 35 kilometres northeast of the edge of the Athabasca Basin, within a transition zone between the Wollaston and Mudjatic Domains. This trend is host to several major uranium deposits, including Cigar Lake, Roughrider, McArthur River and Midwest. It is located at the transition zone between the Wollaston and Mudjatik geological domains.

The third property is located approximately 40 kilometres northeast of the edge of the Athabasca Basin and within the Charlebois-Higginson Lake Uranium District. The 6,908 hectare Mozzie Lake Uranium Property consists of three mineral claims and has a historical resource estimate of 204,200 tons at 0.119% U308, with an average width of 4.8 metres, and containing 535,718 lbs of uranium. What makes the Mozzie Lake Property particularly compelling, aside from the historical resource estimate that Pegasus’s exploration efforts may be able to increase significantly, are the pegmatite deposits of the Charlebois-Higginson Lake Uranium District.

Since being initially explored from the 1940’s through to the 1960’s, there has been virtually no exploration on the property. Previous work in the region, as well as on the Pinkham Lake property at Mozzie Lake, indicated that the pegmatite deposits may also host mineralization which contains rare-earth-element bearing minerals. Rare earth minerals are in high demand today due to the needs of the various technology, consumer electronics, and electric vehicle manufacturing industries. PEGA plans to examine the property’s rare earth potential as part of its uranium exploration program at Mozzie Lake.

Pegasus will next review the historical data on the properties to determine an exploration strategy and work programs, and will provide shareholders with updates in the near future. The company’s recent announcements of the uranium assets have certainly rekindled interest in PEGA shares, and its market capitalization has increased by almost 50% to $7.98 million in recent weeks, signifying that investors are enthused about the direction management has taken.

PEGA last traded at $0.095 on the TSX Venture exchange.


FULL DISCLOSURE: Pegasus Resources is a client of Canacom Group, the parent company of The Deep Dive. The author has been compensated to cover Pegasus Resources on The Deep Dive, with The Deep Dive having full editorial control. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security.

The post Pegasus Resources Expands Its Uranium Assets In Saskatchewan appeared first on the deep dive.

Author: Phil Gracin

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Energy & Critical Metals

Fantasy Garage?

    In Jay Leno’s first career, he was a stand-up comic. His second career was as a talk-show host. The income he earned over 40 years of those first…

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In Jay Leno’s first career, he was a stand-up comic. His second career was as a talk-show host. The income he earned over 40 years of those first two jobs allowed him to amass one of the world’s great collections of automobiles. This hobby has led to the third phase of his career: Jay Leno’s garage.

It’s a YouTube channel, a CNBC show, and a set of car care products and other swag (among my various ratty weekend t-shirts is one from Leno’s Garage).

It looks like a lot of work managing a collection like that: It is intimidating, expensive, and time-consuming. You need a full-time mechanic on staff. Every time you take a car out for a ride, you have to consider the financial ramifications of that mileage and depreciation. Just keeping that many car batteries charged and all of those tires from getting flat spots or bubbles is a full-time job.

Classic cars are like tattoos: One is either too many or not enough.

I cannot imagine ever doing that. Despite myself, I have accumulated a few cars that are now worth more than I paid for them. During the pandemic lock-down, I entertained myself by buying and selling a few (Sold: MB SL, and BMW M235i). I am loathed to sell any of them. But if I am going to keep up this hobby, I have to find a better way to house these. I see how others have allowed this to get out of hand and run amuck, and I want to avoid that fate.

Still, If I were to imagine having more than a few cars in my garage — not as investments, but as machines, I would happily take out for a spin, depreciation be damned — I imagine it might look something like this:

1. 1957 Mercedes-Benz 300SL Gullwing
2. 1963 Aston Martin DB5
3. 1963 Corvette Stingray Split Window Coupe
4. 1967 Ferrari 275 GTB/4
5. 1972 Ferrari 246 Dino
6. 2003 BMW Z8
7. 2005 Ford GT
8. 2016 Bentley Continental GT V8-S
9. 2017 Ferrari California T 70th Anniversary
10. 2018 Mercedes-AMG GT R

Trucks
1978 Toyota Land Cruiser FJ40/43
1958 Land Rover 109 Series II 4×4
1987 Freightliner Unimog 419

Others
1935 Auburn 851 SC Boattail Speedster
1949 Talbot-Lago T26 Record Cabriolet by Dubos
1957 BMW 507
1960 Ferrari 250 GT Pinin Farina Coupe
1962 Porsche 356B Twin Grille Roadster
1999 Ferrari 550 Maranello
1983 Ferrari BB 512i
2018 Ferrari 812 Superfast

That’s my fantasy garage . . .

The post Fantasy Garage? appeared first on The Big Picture.

Author: Barry Ritholtz

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The Ethical Investor: ESG moves, lessons from the energy crisis and JP Equities’ stock tips

The Ethical Investor is Stockhead’s weekly look at ESG moves on the ASX. This week’s special guest is JP Equity … Read More
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The Ethical Investor is Stockhead’s weekly look at ESG moves on the ASX. This week’s special guest is JP Equity Partners’ director and partner, Nic Brownbill.

The world is in the grip of an ongoing global power crisis that has seen energy prices soaring by thousands of percentage points.

From China to Europe and now India, the cost of energy is surging drastically. The price of natural gas has even quadrupled in some parts of the world.

 

Source: IEA via Reuters

 

But economists are now warning this might be just the first of many power crunches the world will see as we transition into the new economy.

According to a research paper by CommBank’s analyst Vivek Dhar, there are two main root causes that led to the crisis — a strong demand recovery from the pandemic, and an acute shortage of two key power-producing fuels – natural gas and thermal coal.

As economies reopen, there is a sudden pent up demand from consumers which meant that factories were forced to switch on their production capacity at short notice. This was exacerbated by a colder than usual European autumn, as the continent potentially faces a more-freezing-than-usual winter season.

In China, the crisis mainly stemmed from an undersupply in local production of coals, according to Dhar, adding that coal supply has been hampered in China because of the government’s own environmental protection regulations.

So what can we learn from all this?

Dhar reckons that we are transitioning into the new economy too fast, too soon.

“What the recent energy crisis has shown is that the energy transition needs to be planned carefully,” Dhar wrote.

“This will mean significant investment in renewable generation, batteries, electricity grids and hydrogen.”

But he thinks the roll-out of a decarbonised grid and role of gas need to be clearly defined too.

“Under-investing in gas infrastructure relative to its role in coming years will only serve to make Europe’s energy market more vulnerable to prolonged gas shortages, and increase dependence on Russia.”

Like Europe, China’s decarbonisation ambition will need to be planned as well, Dhar said.

“If coal mines and coal power plants are closed before a renewable replacement is in place, power shortages in China could be an ongoing concern.”
 

What’s happening in Australia

Australians have chosen climate change as the top ESG priority, according to the latest survey conducted by global ESG consultant, SEC Newgate.

And more than half of the 1,000 Aussies surveyed said they were happy with the direction the government is taking on the environment.

ESG Rio
Source: Survey by SEC Newgate

 

Aussie respondents also nominated retailers Coles Group (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) as the top local companies when it came to doing well on ESG metrics.

These results should provide food for thought for PM Scott Morrison, who’s currently caught in a political wrangle with the Nationals in setting our 2050 climate goals.

The PM has told Liberal colleagues that he wants to bring a binding 2050 net zero commitment to the COP26 Summit in Glasgow next month, without having to upgrade Australia’s 2030 commitments.

Nationals Leader and also Deputy PM, Barnaby Joyce, said however that he was willing to back the 2050 targets only if funding for regional producers and farmers were made as part of the deal.
 

Special guest JP Equities’ Nic Brownbill shares his views and ESG stocks

Nic Brownbill, a partner at JP Equity, told Stockhead that decarbonisation is a mega global investment opportunity, one that JP Equity wants to be all in on.

How big is the potential for ESG investing?

“We see the whole decarbonisation theme as the next mega global investment opportunity. An estimated $41 trillion is required to decarbonise the planet. It’s going to be a bigger opportunity than the crypto market, because unlike cryptos, the carbon market is going to be mandated by governments, major asset managers and pension funds.”

Which segment of the ESG market do you see outperforming?

“Some companies will fall short in trying to make their carbon targets, so the balance will need to be met with carbon credits. I think carbon emissions will eventually be metricated, and the carbon offset market is going to be a way for major companies to offset their emissions.”

Would that investment opportunity catch on in Australia?

“I believe the Australian market hasn’t really caught on to the opportunity of this yet. But I think something will really start to emerge from the COP26 conference in November, where you’ll see a sustained mega theme starting to unfold in this country.

“I think we will start to see a complete emergence of Australian companies in the carbon space over the next few months and beyond.”

What are the ASX stocks that JP Equity likes in the carbon credit space?

One ASX stock that we’ve been watching very closely is  Fertoz (ASX:FTZ). They’re a leading North American fertiliser manufacturer that produces a unique low-emission rock phosphate product that increases crop yield by 15%.

“Importantly, it can generate significantly lower CO2 emissions in manufacturing compared with other commercial fertilisers.

“This presents a really significant opportunity because agriculture as a sector accounts for 24% of all human generated greenhouse emissions. Fertoz is one of the first movers in the carbon credit market, and since May this year has been issuing carbon offset credit certificates.

“It’s not a matter of if, but when disclosure of carbon emissions will become metricated. And as a result, Fertoz is getting some strong enquiries from other companies looking to offset their footprints by buying carbon credits.”

Any other ASX stocks you like in the ESG space?

“We’re also bullish on Mpower (ASX:MPR). The company is Australia’s leading specialist in renewable energy, battery storage and micro-grid business. It has a focus on five megawatt solar farms, and is in the process of creating an initial portfolio of 20 sites across Australia in the coming years.

“That gives them an aggregate capacity of around 100 megawatts, and an estimated value of more than $150 million. It’s now down to what the team can deliver in some of those projects to build up the portfolio.”

 

Notable ASX ESG-related news during the week

Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO)

The energy giant announced that it was targeting a 50% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2030, and a 15% reduction by 2025 from a 2018 baseline of 32.6Mt.

Around $7.5 billion in direct capital expenditure will be spent on decarbonising Rio Tinto’s assets from 2022 to 2030, including $0.5 billion per year from 2022 to 2024.

Strandline Resources (ASX:STA)

The company released its Sustainability Report for 2021, outlining its commitment to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UNSDGs).

STA said it’s focused on managing development risks at its Coburn project in WA to safeguard workers and ensure environmental compliance.

Lithium Power (ASX:LPI)

The company has appointed global consulting firm Deloitte to ensure a robust ESG program at its Maricunga project in Chile.

Deloitte has been tasked to imbed sustainable protocols in LPI’s lithium extraction operations, and to establish ambitious standards for LPI to become a carbon neutral producer, while keeping high standards on the social aspects.

Jadar Resources (ASX:JDR)

The company also said it has completed its maiden Sustainability Plan, with strategies aligned to the UNSDGs.

 

The views, information, or opinions expressed in the interview in this article are solely those of the interviewee and do not represent the views of Stockhead.

Stockhead has not provided, endorsed or otherwise assumed responsibility for any financial product advice contained in this article.

The post The Ethical Investor: ESG moves, lessons from the energy crisis and JP Equities’ stock tips appeared first on Stockhead.




Author: Eddy Sunarto

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