Bravada Gold (BVA.V) has released the assay results of the final few holes drilled on its Wind Mountain project in Nevada. In our interview with President Joe Kizis (which you can read HERE), we already discussed how the first batch of assay results seemed to indicate higher gold grades over thicker intervals than what had been assumed to put the resource estimate together, almost 10 years ago.
Some of the highlights are for instance 65.5 meters containing 0.43 g/t gold (starting at a depth of just 21 meters down hole) including a thicker interval of almost 14 meters of just over 0.7 g/t gold starting at just 50 meters downhole. But as you can see above, hole 110 wasn’t even the best one: hole 111 is also exceptionally strong with almost 78 meters of just under 0.52 g/t gold starting at just 14 meters downhole after the first 14 meters in that same hole also encountered gold mineralization above the cutoff grade (13.7 meters at 0.36 g/t gold). While the true thickness of the system remains unknown at this point, the company expects it to be 70% or higher so it should indeed be easy to really upgrade the existing resource as we should see an uptick in both tonnage as well as the average gold grade, resulting in an increase in the total amount of ounces from the current 924,000 ounces gold and almost 25 million ounces silver (in a 60/40 division between indicated and inferred resource categories.
Disclosure: The author has a long position in Bravada Gold and is participating in the current placement. Please read our disclaimer.gold
Running a Fossil Fuel Business Isn’t What It Used to Be
It’s becoming more and more difficult to be in the fossil fuel business. On both sides of the Atlantic, lawmakers and unelected bureaucrats are turning…
It’s becoming more and more difficult to be in the fossil fuel business. On both sides of the Atlantic, lawmakers and unelected bureaucrats are turning up the heat, so to speak, on companies over the issue of climate change.
In the U.S. House of Representatives, Democrats have launched an inquiry into whether oil companies have participated in so-called “climate disinformation.” Last week, letters were sent to top executives of Exxon Mobil, BP, Chevron and Royal Dutch Shell seeking records, and hearings are scheduled for next month.
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to propose a series of new disclosure requirements all publicly traded companies must make, possibly as soon as year-end, to inform investors about potential climate risks associated with their business.
In Europe, the strategy appears to be to choke off any and all lending to the fossil fuel industry. Next year, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to look into the trading operations of major banks in what’s being called a climate “stress test,” and at least one big activist investor group, ShareAction, is pressuring lenders to cut all ties to fossil fuels.
Of course, none of this accounts for the fact that fossil fuels still supply around 80% of the world’s energy.
Or that many leading oil and gas producers are investing billions in renewable energy, including wind and solar, and energy storage technology. Chevron, in fact, just unveiled plans to triple its investment in lower carbon energies to $10 billion through 2028.
Could Climate Scientists Be Held Liable?
Climate change was top of mind at the Gold Forum Americas conference I attended and spoke at last week in Denver.
In conversations I had with some of my peers, the question was raised whether certain scientists could be held financially liable for spreading their own “climate disinformation,” which has sown fear and prompted policymakers to enact new draconian taxes and regulations.
Here’s how one colleague put it: In nearly every other profession—from physician to engineer to money manager—there are mechanisms in place to hold bad actors accountable. Why is that not the case with scientists, who may make promissory or misleading statements that materially impact individuals and businesses?
The idea sounds farfetched, but it’s not completely unheard of. In 2012, an Italian court found six seismologists guilty of manslaughter for failing to give proper warning of an earthquake that killed some 300 people. This ruling was overturned in 2014, but it had the effect of putting public facing scientists around the world on high alert.
To be clear, I don’t support charging scientists with crimes. Modern technology, as advanced as it is, still cannot successfully predict earthquakes with any degree of certainty.
Fewer, Not More, Hurricanes Making Landfall in the U.S.
Perhaps the same is true of the climate. We are led to believe that climate change is responsible for causing more hurricanes, for instance, but if you look at the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) own data, you’ll find that the number of North Atlantic hurricanes that strike the U.S. every year has been trending down over the past 120 years. To date, the deadliest natural disaster in U.S. history remains the Great Galveston hurricane, which pummeled the Texas city in 1900, several years before Henry Ford even began mass producing the Model T.
U.S. on the Verge of Becoming the Least Vaccinated G7 Country
Up until this point, I haven’t said anything about the media’s role in spreading FUD, or fear, uncertainty and doubt. The cause of a lot of people’s apprehensions can be laid at the feet of not just cable news channels, which sensationalize everything, but also social media platforms, which have allowed misinformation to run wild.
Here, I’m talking specifically about misinformation related to vaccines.
This topic also came up in Denver. I’m fully vaccinated against Covid and have even received a third booster shot, but many of my colleagues haven’t gotten their first jabs. When I ask why, they invariably say it’s because they don’t trust the government.
If that’s the case, I say, do they own gold or Bitcoin?
That aside, I believe the vaccine is our best hope to get back to life as it was before the pandemic. The planes and airports were packed on my way to and from Denver, but Transportation Security Administration (TSA) data shows that commercial air traffic is still down around 25% on average from the same time in 2019. That’s partly due to the fact that too many Americans are choosing not to get vaccinated.
In fact, the U.S. is about to become the least vaccinated high-income G7 country. Despite the U.S. having the largest stockpile of Covid vaccines, and despite it having a dramatic head start, the country will soon have the lowest vaccination rate of any G7 nation after Japan surpasses it.
Ancillary Fees Helped Keep Airlines Afloat in 2020
I’ll end with some positive financial news from 2020. In a year when air travel demand was clobbered by the pandemic, airlines managed to keep the lights on thanks in large part to ancillary fees. Like sales in general, ancillary fees fell in absolute terms, but they represented a bigger piece of airlines’ total revenue last year.
Low-budget carriers appeared to benefit the most. Non-ticket sales were nearly 56% of Hungary-based Wizz Air’s total sales, the highest of any other company. Spirit Airlines was a close second, followed by Allegiant Air, Frontier Airlines and Ryanair.
More good news came out of Ryanair last week. The Irish low-cost carrier announced that it was lifting its growth target to 50% over the next five years, up from a previous target of 33%. This would mean Ryanair would carry more than 225 million passengers a year by 2026, after expanding into markets such as Italy, Scandinavia and Morocco. By this winter, the carrier hopes to operate about 90% of its pre-Covid capacity. Wheels up!
Curious to know the world’s top 10 airlines of 2021? Click here to see the countdown!
All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by this/these website(s) and is not responsible for its/their content.
Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (06/30/2021): Delta Air Lines Inc., American Airlines Group Inc., Ryanair Holdings PLC, easyJet PLC, Azul SA, Wizz Air Holdings PLC, Spirit Airlines Inc., Allegiant Travel Co., Southwest Airlines Co., Alaska Air Group Inc., Hawaiian Holdings Inc., United Airlines Holdings Inc.gold
John-Mark Staude: Bullish On Uranium & Other Green Metals – The Daily Dive
On today’s Daily Dive, we welcome back John-Mark Staude, CEO of Riverside Resources (TSXV: RRI). Staude joins us today to
The post John-Mark Staude:…
On today’s Daily Dive, we welcome back John-Mark Staude, CEO of Riverside Resources (TSXV: RRI). Staude joins us today to update us on the latest at Riverside, the supply and demand situation with copper, and the current outlook on gold. He also share his take on the Federal Reserve’s recent bond and interest rates policies, what commodities to watch, and the outlook for the market with respect to inflation movements.
Riverside Resources, listed on the TSX Venture exchange under the symbol “RRI”, is a unique take on the resource sector. The company bills itself as a prospect generator, with its business model focused on utilizing its database and experienced technical team to acquire and discover new potential exploration assets. The model has evidently worked very well for the company over its thirteen years of operation, with the firm having conducted a number of spin-outs and transactions that were beneficial to shareholders.
FULL DISCLOSURE: Riverside Resources is a client of Canacom Group, the parent company of The Deep Dive. The author has been compensated to cover Riverside Resources on The Deep Dive, with The Deep Dive having full editorial control. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security.
The post John-Mark Staude: Bullish On Uranium & Other Green Metals – The Daily Dive appeared first on the deep dive.gold inflation commodities reserve metals interest rates tsx tsxv tsx venture uranium
7 Stocks to Buy for the Likely Fed Tapering in December
An active investor’s portfolio is significantly dynamic. For every major event, there are stocks to buy, sell or avoid. One such portfolio-shaping event…
An active investor’s portfolio is significantly dynamic. For every major event, there are stocks to buy, sell or avoid. One such portfolio-shaping event is around the corner: The Federal Reserve is expected to taper in response to inflation.
The timing of the rate hike is still uncertain. However, there seems to be clarity on the point that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering around December. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has already said that it could start to reduce its monthly bond purchases in 2021.
The good part is that the Fed is communicating some indications of its plans. This is likely to ease the nerves of market participants.
However, by nature, asset markets are sensitive to news. Even if there is no meaningful correction, some volatility is likely to occur when the Fed begins tapering.
Therefore, it makes sense to adjust your portfolio. In my view, this is a good time to book profits in stocks that have witnessed a significant run-up in the last few quarters. At the same time, investors could benefit from exposure to low-beta stocks, or stocks that trade at attractive valuations.
With that in mind, investors should consider these seven stocks to buy ahead of a likely Fed tapering in December:
- Walmart (NYSE:WMT)
- JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM)
- Pfizer (NYSE:PFE)
- Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC)
- Chevron (NYSE:CVX)
- AT&T (NYSE:T)
- Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM)
Stocks to Buy: Walmart (WMT)Source: fotomak / Shutterstock.com
WMT stock has traded sideways in 2021. With a low beta, some exposure to Walmart shares can be considered before a potential Fed tapering.
It’s also worth noting that the consumption sector is a key growth driver for the U.S. economy. With retail spending being a key part of consumption expenditures, Walmart stock is attractive.
Additionally, the approaching holiday season can accelerate sales for the fourth quarter in 2021 as well as Q1 2022.
Deutsche Bank recently pointed out that Walmart’s membership program is gaining momentum. The subscription service, which was launched one year ago, now has 32 million U.S. members. Deutsche Bank further believes subscription growth is at an “inflection point.” As subscribers swell, it will further boost the company’s cash flows.
It’s also worth noting that for Q2 2022, the company reported 5.2% comparable sales growth. Additionally, its e-commerce growth has remained strong. Walmart is creating omnichannel presence coupled with inroads in the grocery segment.
WMT stock also has a current dividend yield of 1.52%. If comparable store sales growth remains robust, a dividend increase can be expected.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM)Source: Roman Tiraspolsky / Shutterstock.com
Over a 12-month period, JPM stock is higher by 61%. However, the stock has remained sideways for the last six months. At a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.09x, the stock might be poised for another breakout after the current consolidation.
Another important point to note is that a possible tapering and a rate hike in 2022 is likely to be positive for the financial sector. Throughout the pandemic, non-core banking services have been a key earnings driver.
For Q2 2021, the bank reported non-interest revenue of $18.5 billion and net-interest income of $12.9 billion. However, with the visibility of a rate hike, the core banking segment is likely to witness improved performance.
Once net-interest income margin starts trending higher, banking stocks are likely to witness a meaningful rally. At the same time, investment banking and wealth management revenue will probably remain steady.
JPM stock is also a quality dividend stock for the portfolio. It currently offers an annualized dividend of $3.60, which translates into a healthy dividend yield of 2.3%.
Overall, JPMorgan is well-positioned from a fundamental perspective. If economic activity remains steady along with a rate hike done in baby-steps, JPM stock has ample upside headroom.
Stocks to Buy: Pfizer (PFE)Source: photobyphm / Shutterstock.com
PFE stock is also attractive with its low volatility and robust dividend yield of 3.5%. At a forward P/E ratio of 12.12x, the stock seems positioned for further upside in the coming quarters.
For the current year, Pfizer expects revenue of $33.5 billion from the Covid-19 vaccine. The company expects to ramp up manufacturing and should be able to produce three billion doses of the vaccine by the end of 2021. As a third dose of the vaccine is being recommended for at-risk groups, the outlook for Pfizer is bright for 2022.
At the same time, the company has been delivering healthy growth excluding the Covid-19 vaccine. Through 2025, Pfizer expects revenue to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6%. This seems entirely likely considering the company’s deep pipeline of candidates. Currently, it has 40 products in Phase two and 23 products in Phase three.
Last month, Pfizer also announced the acquisition of Trillium Therapeutics for a consideration of $2.26 billion. The acquisition will diversify the company’s oncology pipeline. With Pfizer likely to generate healthy cash flows from sales of its Covid-19 vaccine, there is ample financial headroom to pursue inorganic growth.
Overall, PFE stock is trading at attractive levels and a strong breakout on the upside is due.
Northrop Grumman (NOC)Source: Kristi Blokhin / Shutterstock.com
NOC stock is another low-beta name that’s trading at an attractive forward P/E of 13.7x. Additionally, the stock offers an annualized dividend of $6.28.
The downside risk seems limited for the stock at current levels. Global defense spending also keeps trending higher, giving Northrop Grumman shares upside potential.
As of Q2 2021, Northrop reported an order backlog of $76.6 billion. For the current year, the company has a sales guidance of about $36 billion. Therefore, the order backlog provides two years of revenue and cash flow visibility.
It’s also worth noting that for the first six months of 2021, the company’s space systems reported revenue growth of 32% to $5.3 billion. Mission systems sales increased at a healthy 8% for the same period. These segments are likely to be Northrop Grumman’s key revenue and cash flow drivers.
Further, for the first half of 2021, the company reported transaction-adjusted free cash flow (FCF) of $1 billion. This implies an annualized FCF of $2 billion. Therefore, dividends are sustainable. As a matter of fact, the company increased dividends by 8% in the last quarter. Overall, NOC stock is one of the the top stocks to buy as the Fed tapering looms.
Stocks to Buy: Chevron (CVX)Source: Tada Images / Shutterstock.com
Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicates that the actual gross domestic product (GDP) is quickly approaching the potential GDP. With a recessionary gap, the economy still has potential for accelerated growth.
I am therefore bullish on oil, and CVX stock looks appealing after an extended period of consolidation. A key reason to like the stock is the annualized dividend of $5.36, which translates into a yield of 5.54%.
Chevron’s assets have a low breakeven point. Therefore, even at oil prices of $60 per barrel, the company is positioned to deliver healthy cash flows. Further, Chevron has a strong balance sheet with a net-debt ratio of 21%.
It’s worth noting that the company’s reserve-to-replacement ratio has averaged 99% over the last five years. With a healthy financial profile, Chevron is positioned to maintain production and boost reserves. The company already has a diverse portfolio of unexplored assets.
High financial flexibility will also allow Chevron to invest in the renewable energy sector over the next few years. The company plans to significantly ramp up volumes in renewable natural gas and biodiesel.
CVX stock has a relatively high beta of 1.3. However, at a forward P/E of 14.39x, the stock seems to have a low downside risk.
AT&T (T)Source: Jonathan Weiss/Shutterstock
T stock has significantly underperformed in the last year. At a forward P/E of 8.47x, the stock looks attractive with minimal downside risk. On the other hand, value could be unlocked with the upcoming split from its media division.
It’s true that AT&T disappointed income investors with the announcement that dividends will be cut by half after Warner Media splits off. However, I expect the dividend cut factor will be largely offset by value creation from a leaner organization.
An important point to note is that AT&T has invested extensively in the mobility segment in the last five years. This is already showing results with healthy subscriber addition in the post-paid and fiber segment.
Even HBO Max and HBO subscribers have increased at a healthy pace. AT&T has guided for 70 to 73 million global subscribers by the end of 2021. Once the merger with Discovery is completed, the combined entity will be one of the biggest spenders in content creation.
Therefore, there are ample upside catalysts for T stock. Further, with some volatility expected in the broad markets, this low-beta stock looks appealing.
Stocks to Buy: Newmont Corporation (NEM)Source: Piotr Swat/Shutterstock
It might come as a surprise that I am talking about a gold miner before a Fed tapering. But I believe there are a few important factors that make Newmont a worthwhile buy.
First, NEM stock has a low beta and a dividend yield of 3.98%, which is sustainable. Further, the stock trades at an attractive forward P/E of 17.73x.
It’s also worth noting that the Fed tapering is likely discounted in gold prices. Even after the first rate hike in 2022, real interest rates will remain negative. This is positive for gold and other precious metals.
From a business perspective, Newmont Mining has a quality asset base. The company is positioned for steady gold production over the next decade. At the same time, Newmont expects a gradual decline in all-in sustaining costs in the next few years.
Therefore, the gold miner is worth holding for the long-term. The company also has a strong balance sheet and is positioned for free cash flow in excess of $2 billion for the year.
The stock is underperforming and therefore presents a good opportunity for investors to consider fresh exposure. Even if the stock is sideways, healthy dividends make NEM stock worth adding to a portfolio.
On the date of publication, Faisal Humayun did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.
Faisal Humayun is a senior research analyst with 12 years of industry experience in the field of credit research, equity research and financial modelling. Faisal has authored over 1,500 stock specific articles with focus on the technology, energy and commodities sector.
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