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Central Banks: Gold’s Greatest Ally

Central Banks: Gold’s Greatest Ally

Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/22/2020 – 09:55

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning,

You’re likely aware of the price action in gold lately. Gold has rallied from $1,591 per ounce on April 1 to $1,907 per ounce as of today. That’s almost a 20% gain in a little over six months, even with selloffs along the way.

Today’s price of $1,907 per ounce is nearly double the low of $1,050 per ounce at the end of the last bear market in December 2015. That’s highly impressive, but it’s only the beginning.

The history of gold bull markets (1971–80 and 1999–2011) shows that the most powerful gains come toward the end of the bull market, not at the beginning.

That means even if you’ve missed out on the gold rally so far, you could still score huge gains as gold trends toward $10,000 per ounce or higher over the next four years.

$14,000 gold is entirely possible by 2026. How?

If we simply average the performance of the…

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This article was originally published by Zero Hedge
Central Banks: Gold's Greatest Ally Tyler Durden Thu, 10/22/2020 - 09:55

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning,

You’re likely aware of the price action in gold lately. Gold has rallied from $1,591 per ounce on April 1 to $1,907 per ounce as of today. That’s almost a 20% gain in a little over six months, even with selloffs along the way.

Today’s price of $1,907 per ounce is nearly double the low of $1,050 per ounce at the end of the last bear market in December 2015. That’s highly impressive, but it’s only the beginning.

The history of gold bull markets (1971–80 and 1999–2011) shows that the most powerful gains come toward the end of the bull market, not at the beginning.

That means even if you’ve missed out on the gold rally so far, you could still score huge gains as gold trends toward $10,000 per ounce or higher over the next four years.

$14,000 gold is entirely possible by 2026. How?

If we simply average the performance of the past two bull markets and extend the new bull market on that basis, we would expect to see prices peak at $14,000 per ounce by 2026.

As I’ve stated on multiple occasions, I didn’t just come up with these numbers out of the blue or to be controversial.

They’re simply the implied non deflationary price of gold based on the M1 money supply and assuming it will have a 40% gold backing.

What’s driving this bull market in gold?

It’s not retail investors (apart from a small number who understand the dynamics), and it’s not institutional investors (institutional portfolio allocations to gold are typically about 1–2%).

Instead, the steady buying is coming from central banks (especially Russia and China) and from the super-rich, who typically store their gold in private non-bank vaults in Switzerland and other good, rule-of-law jurisdictions.

The drive toward larger portfolio allocations to gold (in some cases up to 10%) is coming not just from the rich themselves but from their wealth managers and portfolio advisers.

This is a sea change.

For decades, wealth managers have rejected gold and pushed their clients into stocks, corporate credit and alternative investments, including private equity. All of those portfolio allocations backfired when the coronavirus came along. Equity markets have since recovered, due in no small part to massive intervention by the Fed.

The Fed doesn’t entirely explain the rally, but it’s certainly played a critical part. The market is nonetheless set up for another fall. The upcoming election is just one catalyst.

Not only will uncertainty reign until Election Day. It will continue to reign after Election Day.

If Trump wins, the Resistance will not take it well. They will challenge the outcome in court, deny the legitimacy of a Trump victory, and extreme elements in the Resistance will burn American cities.

If Biden wins, his behind-the-scenes handlers will come to the fore with demands for high taxes, more regulation, the Green New Deal and other elements of the Socialist agendas.

Markets are not fully priced for any of this. They’re not priced for anti-Trump chaos, and they’re not priced for the Bernie Bros’ hidden agenda that will be foisted on Biden.

Meanwhile, corporate credit downgrades have been at all-time highs, and that market is being propped up by the Fed in non sustainable ways. Private equity looks increasingly illiquid as IPO markets dry up, and most hedge fund investors have badly underperformed.

This leaves gold as one of the best performing asset classes around.

But it’s still early. Here’s how I expect the process to play out…

As confidence in the dollar erodes due to Fed money printing and congressional super-deficits, investors gradually look for alternative stores of wealth, including gold.

These trends begin slowly and then gather momentum. As the dollar price of gold begins to soar, investors take notice. Even more people invest in gold, driving the price still higher.

Investors like to say that the price of gold is going up. But what is really happening is that the value of the dollar is going down (it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of gold).

This is the real inflation and the real dollar collapse most investors miss at the early stages.

Eventually, confidence in the dollar is lost completely, central bankers need to restore confidence, and they turn to some type of gold standard to do so.

We’re a long way from that point right now.

But if central banks, the super-rich and their advisers are all jumping on the gold bandwagon, what are you waiting for?

Gold’s worst-ever bear market (2011–15) is behind us, and gold is positioned for new highs of over $3,000 per ounce in the short run and much higher over the next several years.

The time to go for the gold is now.

Precious Metals

O2Gold Shares Rise 7.14% After Reporting Intersects 20.11 g/t Gold Over 0.7 Metres At Aurora

O2Gold (TSXV: OTGO) last night reported on its first drill results from its Aurora Property in Colombia…

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O2Gold Shares Rise 7.14% After Reporting Intersects 20.11 g/t Gold Over 0.7 Metres At Aurora

O2Gold (TSXV: OTGO) last night reported on its first drill results from its Aurora Property in Colombia. The firm had previously halted trading in its equity due to the assay results received.

The first drill hole reported by the company comes from the Aurora Tunnel within the Main Aurora Vein, where O2Gold encounter 20.11 g/t gold and 3.30 g/t silver over 0.7 metres, within a larger interval of 9.19 g/t gold and 1.89 g/t silver over 1.6 metres. Mineralization was encountered at just 97.4 metres of depth.

The hole, referred to as AUR-21-001, also encountered 12.30 g/t silver over 3 metres, at a depth of just 8.70 metres within fragmented quartz veins. The hole was drilled to a total depth of 220 metres.

The hole marks the first within an ongoing 8,000 metre drill campaign, which currently has two drills turning on the firms property. Four holes have been completed to date, with assays pending on three holes presently.

O2Gold last traded at $0.21 on the TSX Venture.


Information for this briefing was found via Sedar and O2Gold Inc. The author is currently long the equity. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security. The author holds no licenses.

The post O2Gold Intersects 20.11 g/t Gold Over 0.7 Metres At Aurora appeared first on the deep dive.

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Top Silver Stocks To Watch This Week

Will These Silver Stocks Go Up? The market for silver stocks has…
The post Top Silver Stocks To Watch This Week appeared first on Gold Stocks to Buy,…

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Will These Silver Stocks Go Up?

The market for silver stocks has been quite an interesting one to watch in the market in recent times. The pandemic caused silver assets to skyrocket in price throughout the last year and a half. The percentage gains for many silver assets were higher than gold stocks. This brought a lot of new investors to the metal that may have overlooked it before. One other recent event also brought a lot of new people to silver investing. You have certainly heard of the GameStop situation where Reddit traders boosted the price of the stock.

Well in early February the same thing happened to silver prices as a result of retail traders according to the mainstream media. But Reddit traders quickly stated that it was not their doing. This caused the price of the metal to pull back. What this did do, was attract a lot of new eyes and investors to silver related assets. The price of silver has been able to remain relatively stable at the moment.

So what else is affecting silver prices? Jobless reports often affect the price of silver and gold. It will be interesting to see the effect that unemployment and the economy has on the metal in the future. There are many great silver stocks to watch at the moment despite the volatility in the market. Let’s take a look at four silver stocks that show market potential right now.

Top Silver Stocks To Watch

  1. First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG)
  2. Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE: FSM)
  3. Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE: EXK)

First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG)

First Majestic Silver Corp. is a mining company that primarily focuses on acquisition of land, exploration, development, and production of mineral assets. The company’s biggest projects include silver production in Mexico. Currently, First Majestic has 100% interest in the San Simas mine, Santa Elena mine, and holds interest a variety of other land too.

On August 16th, First Majestic reported its second quarter financial results for 2021. The company’s revenue achieved a new record, at $154.1 million. Its average realized silver price per ounce increased quarter over quarter as well.

President and CEO Keith Neumeyer said, “As a result of the higher revenues, our quarterly dividend increased by approximately 33% when compared to the prior quarterly payment. The mining units generated $29.4 million in mine operating earnings due to strong production and higher realized metal prices.” With this in mind, is AG stock a contender for your list of silver stocks to watch?

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE: FSM)

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. is a mining corporation with a focus on exploration, extraction, and processing of precious metals. It actively explores for gold, silver, zinc, and lead. Its main properties include the Caylloma and San Jose mines, as well as the Lindero gold project in Argentina.

On June 28th, Fortuna and Roxgold Inc. announced a business combination. President and CEO of Fortuna Jorge A. Ganoza said, “The successfully completed business combination creates a low-cost intermediate gold and silver producer with four operating mines and a permitted development project. The company will benefit from a robust exploration pipeline and expanded presence in the Americas and West Africa, two of the fastest growing precious metals producing regions in the world.”

On September 20th, the company announced changes in its management team. David Volkert retired as the VP of Exploration in Latin America, which goes into effect on September 30th. Other than this, the company has not released a large amount of recent updates. So now it will be interesting to see where FSM stock goes from here. Will you add FSM to your silver stock watchlist?

Endeavour Silver Corp. (NYSE: EXK)

Endeavour Silver Corp. is a silver stock that just went up in the market. This company acquires land, explores it, and develops it. Endeavour works on the processing, refining, and reclamation at its mineral properties. Most of Endeavour’s primary assets are located in both Mexico and Chile. Endeavour for the most part only searches for silver and gold at its mines.

Back in August, the company announced its second-quarter financial results. The CEO of the company, Dan Dickson said, “From a financial standpoint, our Q2 performance was stronger than the respective period last year, as revenue, cash flow and earnings were all higher. However, our operating costs are clearly not where we want them to be. We are working to optimize our operating cost profile in the second half of 2021.”

Endeavour’s metal production grew 80% during the quarter, and its gold production grew 92%. These numbers were in line with Endeavour’s guidance for the year. Its net revenue in the second quarter was up 136% to $47.7 million. Now the company has completed the acquisition of the Bruner Gold Project in Nye County, Nevada. With this in mind, will you add EXK to your mining stock list?

Silver Stocks To Watch

There are plenty of silver stocks to watch in the market in 2021. Some think that there is not an opportunity to invest in silver stocks at the moment, but there are still many companies with potential in the market.

The post Top Silver Stocks To Watch This Week appeared first on Gold Stocks to Buy, Picks, News and Information | GoldStocks.com.

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Precious Metals

Inca One Gold Posts Record Production Figures For August 2021

Records continue to be beat by Inca One Gold (TSXV: INCA), whom this morning reported its best-ever processing results. The
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Records continue to be beat by Inca One Gold (TSXV: INCA), whom this morning reported its best-ever processing results. The firm managed to post record production for the month of August, with production improving 163% on a year over year basis.

Production in August hit 6,838 tonnes, or 221 tonnes per day, the best ever monthly performance for the company. Production occurred at both of the firms plants, and beat the previous record of 6,581 tonnes.

Gold produced came in at 2,309 ounces, while ore deliveries amounted to 6,982 tonnes – which points to the potential for a very strong September for the company as well. Gold production was up 57% year over year, while deliveries improved 131%.

“It validates our business model and operational aptitude that we were able to so quickly and effectively deploy the working capital received from our second Gold Prepayment Facility received in the first week of August,” commented CEO Ed Kelly. “The Company, now armed with sufficient working capital, its only 10% off its record processing pace set in 2018,” he continued.

The results continue to be driven by the working capital the firm was able to access via a $9.0 million gold pre-payment facility. A similar facility drove record results for the firm in the months of May and July earlier this year, with the working capital expected to continue to provide strong results for the firm on a go-forward basis.

Inca One Gold last traded at $0.34 on the TSX Venture.


FULL DISCLOSURE: Inca One Gold Corp is a client of Canacom Group, the parent company of The Deep Dive. The author has been compensated to cover Inca One Gold Corp on The Deep Dive, with The Deep Dive having full editorial control. Not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do additional research and consult a professional before purchasing a security.

The post Inca One Gold Posts Record Production Figures For August 2021 appeared first on the deep dive.

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