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Leon Cooperman: “When The Market Finally Goes Down, It Will Move So Fast Your Head Will Spin”

Leon Cooperman: "When The Market Finally Goes Down, It Will Move So Fast Your Head Will Spin"

Leon Cooperman is a frequent guest on CNBC,…

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This article was originally published by Zero Hedge
Leon Cooperman: "When The Market Finally Goes Down, It Will Move So Fast Your Head Will Spin"

Leon Cooperman is a frequent guest on CNBC, probably because since he only manages his own money, he can more or less say what he pleases without the risk of alienating LPs (though that doesn't seem to bother Kyle Bass, Jeff Gundlach, and other industry big shots who appear on the network). And what we heard Thursday was mostly more of the same from Cooperman, who declared himself a "fully invested bear" while lamenting the idiocy of contemporary markets.

Coop says he's keeping an eye out for "a lot of things...for a signal of change," including Fed Speak, inflation, market action, the action at gold or bitcoin, the dollar exchange rate and interest rates overall.

"Market structure is broken," Cooperman added.

"When there's a real fundamental reason for the market to go down, it's going to go down so fast you're head is going to spin. There's no stabilizing forces in the market right now. When the market goes down, it'll move so fast your head will spin. It's all algorithms."

He acknowledged that his biggest position is a "contrary view", adding that he was long-energy heading into 2021.

"The Fed is creating the environment for this to go forward. There's a theory going around that the government can't allow interest rates to rise because they can't afford it...but I don't buy into that theory. There's got to be an interest on bonds...otherwise there's no financial incentive...I'd rather take a chance on a common stock."

"I don't want to take a chance on a bond, I don't want to see my capital confiscated," he added.

Cooperman expanded on his complaints about the Fed.

"I see a lot of negatives to this interest rate policy" Cooperman complained. If the Fed doesn't normalize rates, the central bank could "lose control" of markets, potentially sending equities into a devastating freefall.

"The Fed is creating the environment to allow this to go forward"

The only certainty in this market, according to Cooperman, is that some day, things will change: "Things will change when it's least expected, but right now the cyclical conditions are in favor of the market."

Cooperman also had some choice words for Treasures, which he dismissed as "totally mispriced" with negative real world rates, and for bitcoin, which Cooperman said "doesn't make a great deal of sense". "I have a great respect for Barry Diller, he was on recently and he said bitcoin is a 'con job'. The one thing I do know is it's not in the interest of the US government to support the development of a rival currency."

The discussion then turned to bitcoin: "if you don't understand bitcoin, it means you're old," Cooperman said.

Cooperman added that bitcoin does not make a great deal of sense, and recommended that investors who are nervous about the world consider investing in gold instead.

"I would be very careful with bitcoin," Cooperman concluded, eliciting laughter and amusement from the crypto community on twitter.

Tyler Durden Thu, 09/09/2021 - 11:15

Precious Metals

Central Bank Of Afghanistan Says Over $12 Million Cash Seized From Homes Of Former Officials

Central Bank Of Afghanistan Says Over $12 Million Cash Seized From Homes Of Former Officials

Representatives of the Taliban have continued…

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Central Bank Of Afghanistan Says Over $12 Million Cash Seized From Homes Of Former Officials

Representatives of the Taliban have continued to publicized funds which they say were unlawfully appropriated by corrupt former national government officials, among them ex-President Ashraf Ghani and officials close to him.

The Central Bank of Afghanistan this week announced the Taliban seized more over $12 million in cash and gold from the homes of ex-government officials, which comes on the heels of last weekend a raid by Taliban militants on the home of the man who servied as Ghani's vice president, Amrullah Saleh. A video from the search of the residence purported to show that the former longtime Afghan politician had about $6 million in cash and at least 15 gold bars stashed in his home.

Illustrative AP file image

There's long been reports and confirmation out of the Pentagon and US officials who've admitted to flying entire crates and bricks of cash into the country over the past couple decades of war. It's believed that the abundance of foreign and military-supplied aid that poured into the war-torn country to the tune of trillions often went to line the pockets of corrupt officials, amid complaints that nothing ever really got done in terms of intended infrastructure projects for the public.

This past week's Central Bank of Afghanistan statement revealed the following:

"A certain amount of cash found at the residence of Mr. Amrullah Saleh, the first Vice-President of the previous government and a number of previous high ranking government officials was submitted to Da Afghanistan Bank by the authorities of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan."

The bank said further in the accusatory announcement: "The total of the aforementioned cash amounts to USD twelve million three hundred sixty-eight thousand two hundred forty-six (12368246) and a number of gold bricks most of which were found at Amrullah Saleh’s residence".

Likely the Taliban will continue to release evidence of uncovering piles of cash, jewelry, and gold at former Afghan officials' residence, in order to underscore the self-serving nature of the prior corrupt US propped-up government. This all appears intended to humiliate the country's past government which had been propped up by the US and NATO.

The Taliban has meanwhile vowed that it will serve the people in a transparent manner, and according to the principles of Islam, which has lately included the establishment of a 'morality police'.

Tyler Durden Sun, 09/19/2021 - 21:30
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BPM finds two walk-up drill targets at its Claw gold project

Special Report: BPM Minerals has won the historical data lottery after identifying two walk-up drill targets at its Claw Gold … Read More
The post BPM…

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BPM Minerals has won the historical data lottery after identifying two walk-up drill targets at its Claw Gold Project in WA.

The company found the Lewi and Chickie anomalies by reviewing all the available open file data sets from exploration drilling completed by Reynolds Australia Metals more than 30 years ago.

The historical data included 138 air core and rotary air blast holes for a total of 3,882m targeting the same structure that hosts Capricorn Metals’ (ASX:CMM) Mount Gibson gold project.

“It is rare for a junior exploration company to acquire such highly prospective ground directly along-strike from a 2-million-ounce gold project,” BPM Minerals (ASX:BPM). CEO Chris Swallow said.

“Perhaps even rarer is to find walk-up RC drill targets from an initial data review.

“We have signed a contract for an aeromagnetic survey to be completed later this year.”

Chickie and Lewi anomalies

Key intercepts from the historic drilling at the Chickie anomaly include:

  • 11m at 0.1 parts per million gold (46-57m) including 1m at 0.54 parts per million gold (48-49m);
  • 1m at 0.24 parts per million gold (72-73m EoH); and
  • 10m at 0.17 parts per million gold (50-60m EoH).

At the Lewi anomaly, several anomalous values up to 90 parts per billion gold were reported within the weathering profile.

And the fresh rock – the potential primary source of mineralisation – was never tested below the regolith anomaly.

Plus, the Lewi anomaly is less than 1km from the Mount Gibson project.

Pic: The Claw gold project, with newly identified gold anomalies overlain prospective geology.

Rare exploration opportunity

The company is confident that the Claw project presents a rare exploration opportunity to cover the interpreted southern extension of the Mount Gibson shear zone.

Particularly since 80% of the tenement area regolith is covered and the project is largely unexplored.

The upcoming aeromagnetic survey is planned for Q4 once the Claw tenement has been granted in the coming weeks.

The company will then conduct an RC drilling program of around 3,000m, targeting primary gold mineralisation in the fresh rock.




This article was developed in collaboration with BPM Minerals, a Stockhead advertiser at the time of publishing.


This article does not constitute financial product advice. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions.

The post BPM finds two walk-up drill targets at its Claw gold project appeared first on Stockhead.

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Precious Metals

What Is Congress Doing To Retirement Accounts?

What Is Congress Doing To Retirement Accounts?


What happened:

In the proposed infrastructure bill, as well as the…

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What Is Congress Doing To Retirement Accounts?


What happened:

In the proposed infrastructure bill, as well as the proposed tax increases to fund it, Congress is messing with retirement accounts.

Here are some of the worst proposals currently on the table.

IRA accounts will not be allowed to invest in anything based on account holder’s status.

That applies to investments that require “accredited investor” status, certain financial credentials, or a minimum net worth, such as many private investments (i.e not publicly listed companies). You have two years to get out of current investments that violate this rule.

The IRA will also be prevented from investing in anything in which the owner has 10% or larger ownership, or is an officer.

This is terrible for Self-Directed IRAs — more on these below. Fortunately, it does not currently apply to 401(k)s.

Restrictions on Roth funding and conversions

The Roth structure allows after-tax contributions to retirement plans which then grow tax free. Since you paid taxes up front, you do not owe taxes on distributions, even if the value has grown substantially from good investments.

Congress is proposing to prohibit any after-tax contributions to Roth structures in workplace plans, and ban converting after-tax money paid into a regular plan into a Roth plan (this tactic can currently help avoid Roth contribution limits).

It would also ban ALL Roth conversions for workplace plans for singles who make over $400,000 per year, and couples who make more than $450,000 — but this would not go into effect until after December 31, 2031.

Converting to Roth triggers a taxable event, meaning you pay the taxes on the account now and not on distributions. This can be preferable if you think your investments will grow enough that you would owe more taxes later on distributions than you would owe currently if the account value was taxed today.

Contribution Limits and Minimum Required Disbursements

According to the House Ways and Means summary, “the legislation prohibits further contributions to a Roth or traditional IRA for a taxable year if the total value of an individual’s IRA and defined contribution retirement accounts generally exceed $10 million as of the end of the prior taxable year.”

This applies “to single taxpayers (or taxpayers married filing separately) with taxable income over $400,000, married taxpayers filing jointly with taxable income over $450,000, and heads of households with taxable income over $425,000 (all indexed for inflation).”

Under those circumstances, the owner of the account would be forced to take a 50% distribution of the combined value of all applicable plans over $10 million (i.e. if the accounts have $11 million total, the minimum required distribution is $500,000).

It becomes even more restrictive if the accounts exceed $20 million in value.

What this means:

This all translates into less choice and flexibility for individuals planning their retirements.

But it does not eliminate the benefits of the two main self-directed retirement structures that can benefit the self-employed, and people with side income.

What you can do about it:

For a long time we have presented self-directed retirement accounts as a good way to plan for retirement.

A Self-Directed IRA owns one, and exactly one, asset: a limited liability company (LLC) that you manage. That’s why they are called “Self-Directed”. And through that LLC, you can invest your retirement savings in a wide array of assets — precious metals, real estate, cryptocurrency, private businesses*, and much more, in the US, or overseas.

It’s a fairly straightforward setup: you establish an account with the custodian, then establish an LLC in a zero-tax state (like Wyoming or Florida) where the IRA is the owner (member) of the LLC, but YOU are the manager.

You’ll also want to open a bank account for the LLC. Afterward, the custodian transfers your retirement funds to the LLC, putting you in the driver’s seat for determining how the funds are invested.

The contribution limits for the Self-Directed IRAs themselves are not that high, however — only $6,000 (under age 50) or $7,000 (50 and older), so the earlier you start contributing to it, the better.

*If this legislation passes in its current form, the main change to the Self-Directed IRA is that you will no longer be allowed to invest in private companies which require an investor to be accredited, hold certain credentials, or have a minimum net worth.

That is really unfortunate, but it does not entirely negate the benefits of this retirement structure.

Plus, this restriction does NOT currency apply to Solo 401(k)s.

Solo 401(k) is an option to consider if you’re self-employed, or if you generate “side hustle” income.

With a Solo 401(k), you wear BOTH the employer and the employee hats, so you contribute in both roles. A Solo 401(k) allows for contribution levels ranging from $58,000 to $64,500 per year in 2021, depending on your age — offering incredible flexibility, and the ability to significantly lower your personal income tax burden.

Just like a Self-Directed IRA, a Solo 401(k) gives you a much wider array of investment options — real estate, precious metals, private businesses, etc. — that can help maximize your return.

Of course, none of this is definite yet. This is how the legislation currently looks, but there is no guarantee that it will pass in its current form. This is a heads-up about what changes could soon be coming for your retirement accounts.

Keep in mind that we are not tax or investment professionals, and this is not tax or investment advice. You should always consult with a trusted professional, familiar with your particular situation.

Tyler Durden Sun, 09/19/2021 - 20:00
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