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Peter Schiff: Buy Less; Pay More

Peter Schiff: Buy Less; Pay More

Via SchiffGold.com,

We got a much better than expected retail sales report for August. That sparked a selloff…

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This article was originally published by Zero Hedge

Peter Schiff: Buy Less; Pay More

Via SchiffGold.com,

We got a much better than expected retail sales report for August. That sparked a selloff in gold and silver as the markets continue to anticipate Fed monetary tightening. But was this report really fantastic news? Peter Schiff breaks down the report and says it’s actually just telling us consumers are paying more to buy less.

Retail sales were up a healthy 0.7% last month. The expectation was for a 0.8% decrease. Taking out autos, retail sales rose 1.8%, and x-autos and gas, retail sales were up 2%.

The moment this report came out, gold and silver got hammered, and the dollar caught a bid.

People are excited because they think aha! the consumer is strong and therefore the Fed is going to tighten policy, which of course is complete nonsense. Because even if the Fed were to tighten policy, what they are going to do hardly constitutes ‘tighten’ in the traditional sense of the word.”

The Fed is only talking about tapering its quantitative easing program. Instead of buying $12o billion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, the central bank will buy less than that number. How much less, we don’t even know.

All they’re going to do is be a little less easy than they are right now. But under no definition of monetary policy is less easy when you’re already super easy, and now you’re slightly less super easy — that’s not tight. That type of ‘tightening’ is not positive for the dollar. It is not negative for gold. But again, that is the way markets are reacting to it because they’re simply looking back at time, and they know, that oh, when the Fed is tightening you don’t want to fight the Fed. When the Fed is raising rates and fighting inflation you want to own the dollar. You don’t want to be in gold. Except the Fed is not going to do that in the traditional sense because it can’t because it’s inflated too big a bubble to actually do that.”

Peter said the Fed may not even be able to taper. The extent of the tightening may just be talking about tapering.

But even if they taper, the balance sheet continues to grow.”

Tapering doesn’t stop quantitative easing. Peter said by the time the Fed finally tapers to zero, the balance sheet will likely be at $10 trillion, if not higher.

Now what are they going to do? Are they going to try to shrink their balance sheet again? Are they going to do another quantitative tightening? How far are they going to get? Will they be able to go down to $9 trillion or $8 trillion before the wheels come off the bus again and they’re back to an even bigger QE program than they had before and then the balance sheet doubles to $20 trillion? …

The point is the balance sheet is growing in perpetuity. It’s impossible to shrink it. Even if you temporarily manage to shrink it, all you’re simply doing is setting the stage for the next QE program that’s going to blow it up to new highs. Because the minute you try to take away the drugs, the economy goes into convulsions.”

So, there’s no sense in getting all excited about some economic data that may signal Fed tightening when it will quickly be reversed with a return to another round of easy money policy.

Peter made another important point regarding retail sales. Just because the number is higher doesn’t mean consumers are buying more stuff. Retail sales numbers are not adjusted for price.

There are two ways retail sales can go up.

  1. Consumers buy a larger quantity of stuff.

  2. The price of the stuff they’re buying goes up.

The question is: are retail sales up because consumers are buying more, or is it simply another sign of rising prices?

You can’t tell from the data. But obviously, if you’re living in the real world, it’s obvious what’s going on. I think the bigger component of the increase in retail sales is the price of the stuff people are buying. So, it is the fact that they’re paying more that is driving these numbers up. Not that they’re buying more.”

The huge, unexpected plunge in consumer sentiment in August backs Peter up. The culprit was inflation. Americans are putting off plans to buy big-ticket items such as cars and other durable goods.

If consumers aren’t buying household durables; if they’re not buying cars; why are retail sales so strong? Well, probably because the stuff they are buying is so much more expensive now than it used to be that retail sales are up because prices are up. But that is nothing to celebrate. That is not a sign of economic strength.”

And that raises a question: how much longer can over-indebted consumers keep paying these upward-spiraling prices?

They can’t. They’re going to have to start cutting back on a lot of what they buy because the stuff they do buy is going to be so much more expensive.”

In this podcast, Peter also talks about Sweden’s successful COVID policy and the cost of the Iraq war.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 09/21/2021 – 06:30










Author: Tyler Durden

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Stocks, Bonds, Bitcoin, & Bullion All Bid As Billionaire Tax Threat Builds

Stocks, Bonds, Bitcoin, & Bullion All Bid As Billionaire Tax Threat Builds

First things first, when is a wealth tax not a wealth tax?…

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Stocks, Bonds, Bitcoin, & Bullion All Bid As Billionaire Tax Threat Builds

First things first, when is a wealth tax not a wealth tax? When Janet Yellen says so…

The proposal under consideration from Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden (D., Ore.) would impose an annual tax on unrealized capital gains on liquid assets held by billionaires, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Sunday on CNN.

“I wouldn’t call that a wealth tax, but it would help get at capital gains, which are an extraordinarily large part of the incomes of the wealthiest individuals and right now escape taxation until they’re realized,” Ms. Yellen said.

But House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN:

“We probably will have a wealth tax.”

But markets either a) don’t believe a word of it (given the relationship between all these billionaires as benevolent overlords of the political class), or b) don’t give a shit as The Fed will always be there…

And nowhere is this craziness more obvious than here. While Trump’s SPC (DWAC) stalled today (after rallying 800% in 2 days), TSLA and BKKT took over the crown of momentum-driven insanity kings

TSLA topped the trillion-dollar market-cap level for the first time (TSLA was up more than 1 GM today) on headline about HTZ ordering 100,000 TSLA vehicles…

Surpassing FB (ahead of tonight’s earnings) to join the ‘cuatro comas’ club…

Source: Bloomberg

All on the back of a massive gamma bomb.

@Stalingrad_Poor exclaimed:

“TSLA call options strikes up $10,000 in a single day. I’ve never seen this in my life”

NOTE: If unrealized gains are taxed as income (as several Democrats have indicated), Elon Musk would face a $30 billion tax bill for his gains this year!!

And BKKT soaring over 160% on its partnership with Mastercard on crypto rollout…

Bitcoin and Ethereum were both up today on the Mastercard news (and Neuberger Berman has linked up with BlockFi).

Bitcoin topped $63,500…

Source: Bloomberg

And Ethereum rallied back above $4200…

Source: Bloomberg

All the major US equity indices were higher today, led by Nasdaq and Small Caps. The Dow lagged but still closed green…

Record intraday (and closing) highs for The Dow and S&P today.

On a side-note, the S&P/TSX Composite rose again today – a record 14th straight daily gain (a record that stood for 102 years)…

All thanks to yet another major short-squeeze….

Source: Bloomberg

Utes and Financials lagged today while Consumer Discretionary and Energy ripped…

Source: Bloomberg

Treasuries were mixed today with yields lower across the curve aside from 30Y…

Source: Bloomberg

The yield curve (5s30s) steepened back into its recent range…

Source: Bloomberg

The dollar rallied on the day to the top of its recent narrow range…

Source: Bloomberg

WTI hit a new 7-year-high today above $85 before fading back into the red…

Gold jumped back above $1800…

Real yields dropped a little today, leaving room for a considerable move higher in gold still (to around $2000)…

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, the level of “greed” in the market is back at 2021 highs…

Source

“probably nothing” – oh and don’t forget that the last time capital gains taxes were hiked significantly was 1987 (from 20% to 28%) and that didn’t end so well eh?

Tyler Durden
Mon, 10/25/2021 – 16:00



Author: Tyler Durden

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Peppermint delivers key milestones in the last quarter, including the launch of micro-loan platform bizmoPay

Special Report: Peppermint has had another significant quarter, delivering on all key metrics which was highlighted by the launching of … Read More
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Peppermint has had another significant quarter, delivering on all key metrics which was highlighted by the launching of bizmoPay.

Fintech company Peppermint Innovation (ASX:PIL) has had a very productive quarter, with the highlight being the delivery of its alternative non-bank micro-enterprise loan offering, bizmoPay.

In July, the company achieved a significant milestone after being awarded a financial lending licence for bizmoPay by the Philippines Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).

Following that approval, PIL immediately commenced a three-month pilot program for a select number of bizmoto agents to test out the bizmoPay platform.

The aim was to identify and optimise any friction points or blockages to ensure efficient  system operations before it started offering the loan program to more than 56,000 registered bizmoto agents.

The pilot program has rapidly expanded in the last two weeks of September to more than 150 bizmoto agents.

“Having initiated a select 10-agent pilot program to identify friction points in our bizmoPay system, we rapidly expanded the size of the pilot due to the level of interest shown by other bizmoto agents,” commented Peppermint CEO, Chris Kain.

Kain said the pilot program was so in demand that by October 12, PIL had issued 359 loans across its three different loan products – Platinum Plus, Platinum and Silver.

During the quarter, PIL also recorded cash receipts of $472,000, which was an 83% increase on the previous quarter.

The company is well funded, with a strong cash position in the bank of $2.7m at quarter end.

 

BizmoPay

The granting of a financial lending licence by the Philippines SEC allows bizmoPay to offer alternative non-bank micro-enterprise loans to qualified bizmoto agents, registered bizmoto network members, and enterprise platform partners.

bizmoPay services fully complement the commercialisation of Peppermint’s proprietary technology platform which targets four key business sectors – mobile payments, ecommerce, delivery and logistics and mobile financial services.

Based on data analysis from the first 45 days of the bizmoPay pilot program, loan recipients on average increased their transactional volume by approximately eight times across the bizmoto ecosystem of services.

“We’re starting to get a picture of an overall positive impact on the agents’ ability to conduct transactions across the platform, which is exactly what we wanted to do,” Kain told Stockhead.

And of course, the more transactions across the platform, the greater revenue that the company earns.

The bizmoPay pilot program started with only the Platinum Plus and Platinum loan products, with the shorter term and lower value Silver bizmoPay loan product commencing trials in the last week of September.

As such, no meaningful data were able to be collected for the Silver bizmoPay loan type.

The program yielded significantly different results in terms of transactional volumes and values across the first 45 days.

On average across the board, the total number of bizmoPay loan recipients completed 13 transactions during the first 45 days of the bizmoPay pilot program, and processed $1.05 per day in transactional value.

“That volume of transactions would represent an additional $22 million per annum in revenue if extrapolated across our 56,000 registered bizmoto agents,” said Kain.

“We’re also on schedule to deploy the next phase of our commercial roll-out for bizmoPay next month, whereby recipients will be able to apply for their micro-enterprise loans via their mobile app.”

Several agents significantly outperformed the average transactional volume during the first 45-day pilot period, including 20 agents who performed more than 50 transactions.

At the higher end, five agents completed more than 100 transactions, while one agent undertook more than 250 transactions.

Peppermint expects to expand bizmoPay’s agents to more than 56,000 users when the pilot is completed, with a target of $30m in micro loans over the next three years.

The graph below is an extrapolation of what the different average performance of each loan type would yield if applied across selected numbers of the registered bizmoto agent base over the same initial 45 day period of the bizmoPay pilot program:

Kain expects this simple and easy to use feature will be incredibly popular with many of its bizmoto agents.

The non-bank lending space in the Philippines is currently undergoing massive changes, especially in the mobile app space where users have exploded as more people access non-bank loan finance through their mobiles.

To capitalise on this momentum, Kain said the next level of regulatory licensing that Peppermint would be chasing is an Electronic Money Issuer (EMI) licence.

With an EMI  licence in place, he believes that Peppermint could turbocharge its capabilities in the digital transaction space.

“An EMI licence will allow us to facilitate any e-money transaction and service open-loop e-wallet accounts, providing all Filipinos – not just bizmoto agents – with a convenient and secure way to receive digital money and access digital services,” Kain said.

“Every Filipino will have the chance to receive a bizmoPay loan, paid to their bizmoto e-wallet to access the bizmoto ecosystem and agent services. We believe this will stimulate significant transaction volumes over the bizmoto platform.”

In February, the company told the market that its phase 2 objective was the launch of bizmoPay.

“We’ve done that and ticked that box, so now we’re moving to phase 3, an EMI licence which is Peppermint’s next objective in delivering financial inclusion to the Filipino people.”

 

Other significant milestones

In March, PIL signed an API agreement with the Bank of the Philippine Islands, which saw PIL’s proprietary bizmoto platform integrated into the bank’s operating systems.

The integration will begin during Q4 2021, with the product expected to go live later in 2021 or early 2022.

PIL’s strategic Merchant Biller Agreement  with Cebuana Lhuillier back in April allowed its bizmoto agents to cash in money and top up their mobile wallets at any of the 2,500 Cebuana shop fronts across the country.

The API that serves as the gateway for Cebuana Lhuillier to send funds has now been developed, with a projected go-live date later this year or early Q1 2022.

Integration of the bizmoto platform with GCash as a payments facilitator is also underway, and expected to be launched in December.

Once the GCash offer is live, bizmoto agents, riders and merchants will have exposure to approximately 46 million registered GCash users throughout the Philippines.

PIL’s bizmoTinda website meanwhile, has been improved to include multi-vendor customer and multi-vendor merchant functionality, allowing  users to register as multiple vendors or multiple merchants.

The bizmoTinda allows users to sell their own items, with the convenience of having their own website.

Other milestones during the quarter include launching a blog newsroom with the aim of providing non-ASX sensitive information and news updates about the company’s activities to shareholders.

PIL also executed a direct marketing campaign around bizmoPay during the quarter, introducing the concept of a “Planet bizmoto” community among its agents.

The primary objectives of the “Planet bizmoto” community are to experience unique value, be loyal to the brand and transact frequently within the bizmoto ecosystem.

This article was developed in collaboration with Peppermint, a Stockhead advertiser at the time of publishing.

This article does not constitute financial product advice. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions.

The post Peppermint delivers key milestones in the last quarter, including the launch of micro-loan platform bizmoPay appeared first on Stockhead.



Author: Special Report

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Lefroy Exploration secures major nickel frontier land package in WA

Special report: In line with its multi-commodity gold and base metals strategy, Lefroy Exploration has pegged five exploration licence applications ……

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In line with its multi-commodity gold and base metals strategy, Lefroy Exploration has pegged five exploration licence applications over a new nickel project named Glenayle.

The Glenayle Project covers a massive contiguous 2735sqkm of the Proterozoic age Salvation Basin that is intruded by multiple dolerite sills which extend over the entire land package.

These dolerite sills are part of the Warakurna Large Igneous Province (LIP), which extends west to the Bangemall Basin and east to include the Giles layered intrusive complex. More importantly, they are considered prospective for nickel mineralisation.

Glenayle represents a first mover approach by Lefroy (ASX:LEX) into a frontier nickel-copper exploration project with its stake over the Warakurna LIP.

New wholly owned subsidiary to list on ASX in 2022

The Glenayle tenement package is held by a new wholly owned LEX subsidiary, Johnston Lakes Nickel (JLN), which Lefroy aims to list on the ASX in 2022 subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.

JLN will also hold other nickel assets currently held by LEX at Lake Johnston and at Carnilya South in the Lefroy Gold Project.

The company expects the tenements to be granted in Q4, 2022.

While the explorer aims to expand its portfolio in search for nickel, the focus remains on exploration at Eastern Lefroy and the Burns gold-copper prospect.

A rare opportunity

LEX managing director Wade Johnson said it is not often that an opportunity like this presents itself.

“It is a monster land package,” he said.

“We have taken the first mover approach into a new area that has seen very little exploration.

“We are very keen to further develop and apply knowledge learned about nickel mineralisation in large igneous provinces that will provide exploration targeting criteria for target selection,” he said.

“Glenayle adds another wholly owned project to the LEX greenfields exploration portfolio and complements our other nickel assets at Lake Johnston and Carnilya South.”

The Glenayle project relative to the other company projects and key geological rock units in Western Australia. Pic: Supplied

Identified in desktop assessment

The Glenayle nickel project was identified after a desktop assessment to identify new areas in Western Australia considered prospective for nickel mineralisation.

Prior geological knowledge of the area from a field reconnaissance trip in 1998 by Wade Johnson and the subsequent review of the research paper by Pirajno and Hoatson (2012) supported LEX’s acquisition.

What’s next?

Lefroy has kicked off compilation and assessment of previous surface geochemistry, geophysical and drilling data from WAMEX at Glenayle.

The location of drill core from the only three diamond holes drilled at Glenayle is being sourced, with two of the three holes being located.

Geophysics, and in particular interpretation of gravity survey data, will play a key role in guiding exploration targeting within the project.

Development of a detailed aeromagnetic and gravity dataset is underway and will be the primary exploration tool in the interpretation of the distribution of the mafic rocks such as feeder sills, layered intrusions and dykes within the Salvation Basin.

This will then be followed by targeted stratigraphic diamond drilling in 2023.

The company will apply for funding support through the WA State Governments Exploration Incentive Scheme (EIS) for this drilling where applicable.

LEX has also commenced land access negotiations with the determined Native Title group.

 


 

 

This article was developed in collaboration with Lefroy Exploration, a Stockhead advertiser at the time of publishing.

 

This article does not constitute financial product advice. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions.

The post Lefroy Exploration secures major nickel frontier land package in WA appeared first on Stockhead.





Author: Special Report

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